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5241 Meadowick Ln
D+ Composite 49.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$290,000

5241 Meadowick Ln · Abilene, TX 79606
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,708 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1982 8,364 sqft lot Est $284k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great South side home with wonderful floor plan, large rooms and lots of natural light. Split Bedrooms. Cherry Hardwood floors in living area. Carpet installed in May, fresh paint and new dishwasher make this home ready to move in. Cozy wood burning fireplace. Nice yard. Sprinklers. Storage Shed.

Key facts

  • Spacious living area
  • Fireplace
  • 8,364 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSPACIOUS LIVING AREAFIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession in 30-60 days; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Audio and video surveillance present
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual water meter; Cable available; Concrete (utility/driveway material)
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Built in 1982; Subdivision: Hunters Creek Add
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Easements for utilities

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; Walk-in closets; Brick fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
  • Recommended offer: $286k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
  • Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ward El (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 494 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+40.7%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,997/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1181% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $285,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.74%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$283,528
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5201 Sherbrooke Ln 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,728 (+1%) 1mo $299,000 $173 91
2517 Button Willow Pkwy 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,768 (+4%) 0mo $239,900 $136 81
4858 Mary Lou Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,718 (+1%) 5mo $285,000 $166 78
3034 Broken Bough Trl 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,595 (-7%) 2mo $299,900 $188 73
2618 Button Willow Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,551 (-9%) 1mo $190,000 $123 70
4701 Circle Nineteen 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,739 (+2%) 2mo $330,000 $190 65
2941 Red Oak Cir 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,811 (+6%) 2mo $289,000 $160 64
2833 Stonecrest Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,829 (+7%) 4mo $285,000 $156 63
5733 Legacy Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,843 (+8%) 0mo $399,900 $217 61
12 High Life Cir 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-9%) 4mo $279,000 $180 56
2317 Gilmer Ave 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,887 (+10%) 1mo $279,900 $148 53
70 Courtyard Ln 0.69mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,629 (-5%) 3mo $228,900 $141 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-14,936
Equity at exit
$43,240
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$80,284
Equity at exit
$25,074

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79606

Rents YoY
40.7%
Active inventory
288
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,997 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$473 /mo · $5,680/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$629
Net cashflow
$253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,677
Max offer price $290,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $417 -5% $335 +0% $253 +5% $171 +10% $89
Rent -10% $16 -5% $134 +0% $253 +5% $371 +10% $490
Rate -1.0pp $399 -0.5pp $327 base $253 +0.5pp $178 +1.0pp $101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4925 Greenslope Dr Unit C Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,900 $1.73 13d 1 0.53mi
5733 Legacy Dr Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1843 $5,000 $2.71 5d 1 0.53mi
2510 Gilmer Ave Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1974 $2,995 $1.52 44d 1 0.61mi
3134 Winterhawk Dr Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,795 $1.55 7d 1 0.83mi
3826 Crest Way Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1721 $2,695 $1.57 44d 1 1.16mi
2701 S 40th St Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,995 $1.67 21d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $290,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $290,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $290,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $290,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $290,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $290,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $290,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $290,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $290,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $290,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $290,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $290,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $290,000 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $290,000 Active 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-21
    listed $290,000 Active
  18. 2023-08-16
    historical
  19. 2021-12-30
    soldstatus
  20. 2019-06-17
    soldstatus
  21. 2019-06-14
    soldstatus Sold 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Great South side home with wonderful floor plan, large rooms and lots of natural light. Split Bedrooms. Cherry Hardwood floors in living area. Carpet installed in May, fresh paint and new dishwasher make this home ready to move in. Cozy wood burning fireplace. Nice yard. Sprinklers. Storage Shed.

  22. 2019-05-25
    status Pending 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Great South side home with wonderful floor plan, large rooms and lots of natural light. Split Bedrooms. Cherry Hardwood floors in living area. Carpet installed in May, fresh paint and new dishwasher make this home ready to move in. Cozy wood burning fireplace. Nice yard. Sprinklers. Storage Shed.

  23. 2019-05-15
    historical Active Option Contract 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Great South side home with wonderful floor plan, large rooms and lots of natural light. Split Bedrooms. Cherry Hardwood floors in living area. Carpet installed in May, fresh paint and new dishwasher make this home ready to move in. Cozy wood burning fireplace. Nice yard. Sprinklers. Storage Shed.

  24. 2019-05-07
    price $167,000 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Great South side home with wonderful floor plan, large rooms and lots of natural light. Split Bedrooms. Cherry Hardwood floors in living area. Carpet installed in May, fresh paint and new dishwasher make this home ready to move in. Cozy wood burning fireplace. Nice yard. Sprinklers. Storage Shed.

  25. 2019-01-14
    listed $168,900 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Great South side home with wonderful floor plan, large rooms and lots of natural light. Split Bedrooms. Cherry Hardwood floors in living area. Carpet installed in May, fresh paint and new dishwasher make this home ready to move in. Cozy wood burning fireplace. Nice yard. Sprinklers. Storage Shed.

  26. 2013-12-18
    soldstatus 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Southside home with great yard areas, landscaping, mature trees and outdoor storage! 3 bed, 2 bath split bedroom home w newer cherry hardwood floors in living area, tiled kitchen and bathrooms, gas heat and woodburning fireplace! Stainless microhood, range and dishwasher. Roof 2011; Great floor plan and in located in Ward, Madison, Cooper schools.

  27. 2013-12-17
    soldstatus
  28. 2013-11-14
    historical 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Southside home with great yard areas, landscaping, mature trees and outdoor storage! 3 bed, 2 bath split bedroom home w newer cherry hardwood floors in living area, tiled kitchen and bathrooms, gas heat and woodburning fireplace! Stainless microhood, range and dishwasher. Roof 2011; Great floor plan and in located in Ward, Madison, Cooper schools.

  29. 2013-09-24
    listed $149,900 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Great Southside home with great yard areas, landscaping, mature trees and outdoor storage! 3 bed, 2 bath split bedroom home w newer cherry hardwood floors in living area, tiled kitchen and bathrooms, gas heat and woodburning fireplace! Stainless microhood, range and dishwasher. Roof 2011; Great floor plan and in located in Ward, Madison, Cooper schools.

  30. 2008-03-31
    soldstatus
  31. 2008-03-28
    soldstatus
  32. 2008-02-25
    historical
  33. 2008-01-06
    listed $144,500
  34. 1995-03-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,680 · $473/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,680 · $473/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,967
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$5,680
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,877
− Management
−$2,877
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$1,599
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$384
After-tax cash flow
$3,418/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Abilene ISD
NCES district ID
4807440
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,782
Composite
27.71/100
National rank
#6909
State rank
#575 of 826 in TX

Livability — Abilene

Score
75/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#4037

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Abilene, TX
County
Taylor County · 136,672 people
City population
136,672
Metro
Abilene, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,182
Household income
$79,196
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
1181.0

Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,270 people
By 2030
150,050 · +3.3%
By 2040
159,417 · +9.7%
By 2050
168,883 · +16.3%
By 2075
194,436 · +33.8%
By 2100
203,163 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Taylor

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.33%
Current HPI
179.2555
Rent YoY
▲ 40.73%
Metro
Abilene, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $290,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-08-16 Rental Removed NTREIS
  • 2021-12-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-06-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-06-14 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2019-05-25 Pending NTREIS
  • 2019-05-15 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2019-05-07 Price Changed $167,000 NTREIS
  • 2019-01-14 Listed $168,900 NTREIS
  • 2013-12-18 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2013-12-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-11-14 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2013-09-24 Listed $149,900 NTREIS
  • 2008-03-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-03-28 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2008-02-25 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2008-01-06 Listed $144,500 NTREIS
  • 1995-03-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,680 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…