536 King St · Olean, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity with endless potential! Situated on a rare . 83-acre city lot, this 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a generously sized lot along with a detached 2-car garage. Full of character and charm, the property features a wraparound porch, metal roof, and spacious layout ready for new life and vision. The home does require structural repairs and is being sold AS-IS with no guarantees regarding repair-ability. Priced with condition in mind, this property may be best suited for cash only. A restoration project with strong upside potential - A great opportunity!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Wraparound porch
- Rare city lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story house; Existing (previously built) property
- Construction: Composite siding; Metal roof; Stone foundation; Has a basement with dirt floor, partial finish, exterior entry and walk-up access
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Blacktop driveway; Irregular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 122 x 235
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Includes a home office and living spaces (total of 9 rooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Home office
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 8.0% in Olean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Olean City School District (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #511 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.33%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,492
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 935 Queen St | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 | 1,956 (-2%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $123 | 71 |
| 935 Forness Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,920 (-4%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $104 | 69 |
| 1357 Goodrich Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 | 2,067 (+3%) | 13mo | $295,000 | $143 | 61 |
| 730 King St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,236 (+12%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $127 | 55 |
| 832 Prospect Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,100 (+5%) | 21mo | $191,100 | $91 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $30,405
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.37×
- Total profit
- $79,445
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14760
- Home prices YoY
- -7.7%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,536 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,457/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $64,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,457 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,457 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,427
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$2,457
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,474
- − Management
- −$1,474
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $7,174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,722
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olean City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621720
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,365
- Composite
- 34.81/100
- National rank
- #5104
- State rank
- #511 of 590 in NY
Livability — Olean
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #5930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Olean, NY
- City population
- 17,272
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,272
Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,623 people
- By 2030
- 67,751 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 59,488 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 51,601 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 35,025 · -51.1%
- By 2100
- 21,243 · -70.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.85%
- Current HPI
- 237.327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $64,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+16.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,457 · -42.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…