109 N Thompson St · Jackson, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$81,370
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Opportunity to own this single-family home built in 1960 featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Attractive home with good curb appeal. One car detached garage. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * * The seller does not have access to the property. The property is occupied and the occupants are not to be disturbed or contacted under any circumstances. Interior inspections are not available and property is being sold as is. Please do not trespass.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $81k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $81k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Jackson Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #458 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $562 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 308 days — a 12% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 308 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.53%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,799
- List price
- $81,370
- Delta
- -50.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 S Webster St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (-5%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $106 | 78 |
| 123 N Higby St | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,168 (-6%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $133 | 77 |
| 221 N Higby St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,348 (+8%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $174 | 74 |
| 311 Hibbard Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (+8%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $120 | 71 |
| 1109 W Franklin St | 0.32mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,176 (-6%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $191 | 70 |
| 342 N Grinnell St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (+9%) | 0mo | $169,900 | $125 | 66 |
| 330 N West Ave | 0.37mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,330 (+7%) | 2mo | $125,500 | $94 | 65 |
| 611 Oakhill Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,238 (-1%) | 1mo | $74,250 | $60 | 65 |
| 1002 W Ganson St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $88 | 61 |
| 1905 W Franklin St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,179 (-6%) | 1mo | $212,500 | $180 | 59 |
| 718 Center St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,151 (-8%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $117 | 55 |
| 2126 W Franklin St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (-10%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $172 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-1,617
- Equity at exit
- $12,133
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $13,619
- Equity at exit
- $7,035
Cash invested: $22,784 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49202
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,007 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$427
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $181
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,342
- Closing costs
- $2,441
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 720 W Michigan Ave Jackson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $900 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 653 Oakhill Ave Jackson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 159 W Pearl St Unit 202 Jackson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $81,370 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $81,370 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $81,370 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $81,370 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $81,370 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $81,370 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $81,370 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $81,370 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $81,370 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $81,370 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $81,370 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $81,370 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $81,370 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $81,370 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $81,370 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $81,370 Active 288 DOM
-
2025-08-15$81,370 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Great Opportunity to own this single-family home built in 1960 featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Attractive home with good curb appeal. One car detached garage. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * * The seller does not have access to the property. The property is occupied and the occupants are not to be disturbed or contacted under any circumstances. Interior inspections are not available and property is being sold as is. Please do not trespass.
-
2025-08-15$81,370 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Great Opportunity to own this single-family home built in 1960 featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Attractive home with good curb appeal. One car detached garage. * * * SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to pay Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. * * * The seller does not have access to the property. The property is occupied and the occupants are not to be disturbed or contacted under any circumstances. Interior inspections are not available and property is being sold as is. Please do not trespass.
-
2017-04-19soldstatus $55,000
-
2017-04-12soldstatus $55,000
-
2017-04-12soldstatus $55,000 Closed
-
2017-03-23status Pending
-
2017-02-27price $59,900
-
2017-01-19$65,500 Active
-
2017-01-18$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,086
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,558
- − Property taxes
- −$1,850
- − Insurance
- −$407
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$967
- − Management
- −$967
- − Depreciation
- −$2,367
- Taxable income
- $970
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$233
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,938/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619620
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,344
- Composite
- 17.99/100
- National rank
- #8986
- State rank
- #458 of 540 in MI
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #4970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MI
- City population
- 85,581
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,763
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 156,365 people
- By 2030
- 153,123 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 144,981 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 135,671 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 113,833 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 86,592 · -44.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -175.30%
- Current HPI
- 170.3682
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+35.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-15 Listed $81,370 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-15 Listed $81,370 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-12 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-04-12 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-03-23 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-02-27 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-01-19 Listed $65,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-01-18 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,850 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…