CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
202 E 2nd St
D- Composite 36.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

202 E 2nd St · Superior, WI 54880
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,669 sqft · Other · 192 Days on market
Built 1959 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCTION This house has good bones and the possibilities are here to make this 3 bedroom 2 bath, a highly sought after home. Picture grabbing a great cup of coffee, selecting your favorite icecream, then curling up ithe enclosed porch to watch the sailboats float by. Or create an inviting VRBO. 2+1 car garage. Call for a viewing today.

Key facts

  • Brand new roof
  • Deck over the garage
  • Rec room

Tags

FULL ON VIEW OF LAKE SUPERIORBRAND NEW ROOFINCLOSED PORCHDECK OVER THE GARAGEREC ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (21.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Superior — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in WI, #337 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-.
  • Superior School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #290 of 342 in WI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 110 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $160k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $177,188 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.90%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-43,216
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-47,565
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54880

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,772 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$226 /mo · $2,714/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$-100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,898
Max offer price $207,320
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $28 -5% $-36 +0% $-100 +5% $-163 +10% $-227
Rent -10% $-239 -5% $-170 +0% $-100 +5% $-30 +10% $40
Rate -1.0pp $14 -0.5pp $-42 base $-100 +0.5pp $-158 +1.0pp $-217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1806 John Ave Unit 1 Superior, WI 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,850 $1.16 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,900 Active 191 DOM
  3. 2026-04-29
    price $224,900 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION This house has good bones and the possibilities are here to make this 3 bedroom 2 bath, a highly sought after home. Picture grabbing a great cup of coffee, selecting your favorite icecream, then curling up ithe enclosed porch to watch the sailboats float by. Or create an inviting VRBO. 2+1 car garage. Call for a viewing today.

  4. 2026-04-28
    price $224,900 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION This house has good bones and the possibilities are here to make this 3 bedroom 2 bath, a highly sought after home. Picture grabbing a great cup of coffee, selecting your favorite icecream, then curling up ithe enclosed porch to watch the sailboats float by. Or create an inviting VRBO. 2+1 car garage. Call for a viewing today.

  5. 2026-03-18
    price $229,000 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION This house has good bones and the possibilities are here to make this 3 bedroom 2 bath, a highly sought after home. Picture grabbing a great cup of coffee, selecting your favorite icecream, then curling up ithe enclosed porch to watch the sailboats float by. Or create an inviting VRBO. 2+1 car garage. Call for a viewing today.

  6. 2026-03-17
    price $229,000 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION This house has good bones and the possibilities are here to make this 3 bedroom 2 bath, a highly sought after home. Picture grabbing a great cup of coffee, selecting your favorite icecream, then curling up ithe enclosed porch to watch the sailboats float by. Or create an inviting VRBO. 2+1 car garage. Call for a viewing today.

  7. 2025-11-21
    listed $249,000 Active 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION This house has good bones and the possibilities are here to make this 3 bedroom 2 bath, a highly sought after home. Picture grabbing a great cup of coffee, selecting your favorite icecream, then curling up ithe enclosed porch to watch the sailboats float by. Or create an inviting VRBO. 2+1 car garage. Call for a viewing today.

  8. 2025-11-20
    listed $249,000 Active 344-char remark
    Show marketing remark (344 chars)

    PRICE REDUCTION This house has good bones and the possibilities are here to make this 3 bedroom 2 bath, a highly sought after home. Picture grabbing a great cup of coffee, selecting your favorite icecream, then curling up ithe enclosed porch to watch the sailboats float by. Or create an inviting VRBO. 2+1 car garage. Call for a viewing today.

  9. 2019-07-18
    soldstatus $160,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,714 · $226/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,437 · $286/mo
Expected delta
+$723/yr (+$60/mo · 26.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,263
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,714
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,701
− Management
−$1,701
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$5,119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,228
After-tax cash flow
$34/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Superior School District
NCES district ID
5514670
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,659
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7711
State rank
#290 of 342 in WI

Livability — Superior

Score
86/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#337

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Superior, WI
County
Douglas County · 30,312 people
City population
30,312
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
30,312
Household income
$68,275
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1018.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,505 people
By 2030
41,269 · -2.9%
By 2040
37,829 · -11.0%
By 2050
34,043 · -19.9%
By 2075
25,892 · -39.1%
By 2100
19,487 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.3) · D 52.0% · R 46.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.9pp toward R · 2008: 33.2pp · 2024: 5.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.3 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+7.6 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.80%
Current HPI
226.557
Rent YoY
▲ 2.76%
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $224,900 SAAR
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $224,900 LSAR
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $229,000 SAAR
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $229,000 LSAR
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $249,000 LSAR
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $249,000 SAAR
  • 2019-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,714 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…