211 White St · Danville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property. Tenant was paying $650 a month on a year lease ending on 4/1/2026. Great deal to start your portfolio. Roof has been replaced in 2022.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1902
- Listed 73 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 5.3% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#91 in VA, #2,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
- Danville City Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #128 of 131 in VA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 89% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Danville city in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Danville County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.07%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,296
- List price
- $68,900
- Delta
- 36.99%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 Myrtle Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 874 (+2%) | 3mo | $43,500 | $50 | 65 |
| 221 W Thomas St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 902 (+5%) | 2mo | $22,500 | $25 | 60 |
| 1482 Myrtle Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-6%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 837 Noble Ave #1 | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-12%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $46 | 52 |
| 320 Walker St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+6%) | 15mo | $29,000 | $32 | 52 |
| 1478 Claiborne St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+9%) | 15mo | $40,000 | $43 | 44 |
| 1550 Washington St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 940 (+10%) | 14mo | $120,000 | $128 | 34 |
| 1498 Myrtle Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (+15%) | 20mo | $85,000 | $86 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $15,506
- Equity at exit
- $10,273
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $47,768
- Equity at exit
- $5,957
Cash invested: $19,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24540
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,043 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$361
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $178/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $458 | -5% $439 | +0% $419 | +5% $400 | +10% $380 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $337 | -5% $378 | +0% $419 | +5% $460 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $454 | -0.5pp $437 | base $419 | +0.5pp $401 | +1.0pp $383 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,225
- Closing costs
- $2,067
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1353 N Main St Apt 6 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $650 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 224 Clement Ave Unit 2B Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 117 Ida St Danville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,163 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 128 Lowell St Danville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 601 Bridge St Unit 212 Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 501 Craghead St Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 315 Lynn St Apt 404 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 442 Main St Unit 306 Danville, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 442 Main St Unit 207 Danville, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $68,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $68,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $68,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $68,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $68,900 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
Great investment property. Tenant was paying $650 a month on a year lease ending on 4/1/2026. Great deal to start your portfolio. Roof has been replaced in 2022.
-
2026-04-06$69,900 Active 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
Great investment property. Tenant was paying $650 a month on a year lease ending on 4/1/2026. Great deal to start your portfolio. Roof has been replaced in 2022.
-
2022-09-28soldstatus $65,000
-
2022-06-24soldstatus $15,000
-
2013-05-29soldstatus $9,000 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
Owner financing available. Good investment property. Has previously rented for $300.
-
2012-11-13$14,900 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
Owner financing available. Good investment property. Has previously rented for $300.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $178 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 216.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,859
- − Property taxes
- −$178
- − Insurance
- −$344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,001
- − Management
- −$1,001
- − Depreciation
- −$2,004
- Taxable income
- $4,128
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$991
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,040/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danville City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101110
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,952
- Composite
- 30.23/100
- National rank
- #6298
- State rank
- #128 of 131 in VA
Livability — Danville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #2952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danville, VA
- County
- Danville City · 59,055 people
- City population
- 59,055
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,013
- Household income
- $47,924
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1170.0
Population outlook (Danville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,989 people
- By 2030
- 40,432 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 39,255 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 38,035 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 35,612 · -13.1%
- By 2100
- 30,365 · -25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Danville
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.1) · D 60.1% · R 39.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.1 2020: D+22.1 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+22.1 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.79%
- Current HPI
- 235.1746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+362.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $68,900 DRRAR
- 2026-04-06 Listed $69,900 DRRAR
- 2022-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2013-05-29 Sold (MLS) $9,000 DRRAR
- 2012-11-13 Listed $14,900 DRRAR
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $178 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…