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804 Richeson Rd
B Composite 74.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$92,500

804 Richeson Rd · Potosi, MO 63664
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 894 sqft · Other public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1943 0.30 ac lot $103/sqft · 34% below area Est $141k · 34% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment or a great place to call home! This 3 bedroom 1 bath home sits on a large lot with mature trees, garage and large carport that will hold 2 cars. Home needs some updating but its a sturdy home with hardwood floors under the carpet in most rooms. There is a main floor laundry room and newer windows in the home. Home has a country kitchen with tons of potential. Small deck off of the kitchen, which overlooks the back yard.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Newer windows
  • Mature trees

Tags

LARGE LOTMATURE TREESMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOMNEWER WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($939 rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.7% in Potosi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#287 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Potosi R-III (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #53 of 324 in MO (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($640 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,725 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.55%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,075
List price
$92,500
Delta
-34.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$62,099
Equity at exit
$83,331
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
7.70×
Total profit
$173,554
Equity at exit
$179,707

Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63664

Home prices YoY
25.1%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$939 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$485
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $404/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $705
Max offer price $92,500
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $237 -5% $211 +0% $185 +5% $158 +10% $132
Rent -10% $110 -5% $148 +0% $185 +5% $222 +10% $259
Rate -1.0pp $231 -0.5pp $208 base $185 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $136

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,125
Closing costs
$2,775
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $92,500 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $92,500 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $92,500 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $92,500 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $92,500 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $92,500 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $92,500 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $92,500 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $92,500 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,500 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,500 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,500 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $92,500 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,500 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,500 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,500 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $92,500 444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (444 chars)

    Great Investment or a great place to call home! This 3 bedroom 1 bath home sits on a large lot with mature trees, garage and large carport that will hold 2 cars. Home needs some updating but its a sturdy home with hardwood floors under the carpet in most rooms. There is a main floor laundry room and newer windows in the home. Home has a country kitchen with tons of potential. Small deck off of the kitchen, which overlooks the back yard.

  18. 2026-04-22
    listed $105,000 Active 444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (444 chars)

    Great Investment or a great place to call home! This 3 bedroom 1 bath home sits on a large lot with mature trees, garage and large carport that will hold 2 cars. Home needs some updating but its a sturdy home with hardwood floors under the carpet in most rooms. There is a main floor laundry room and newer windows in the home. Home has a country kitchen with tons of potential. Small deck off of the kitchen, which overlooks the back yard.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$404 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$897 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$493/yr (+$41/mo · 121.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,270
− Mortgage interest
−$5,181
− Property taxes
−$404
− Insurance
−$462
− Repairs & maintenance
−$902
− Management
−$902
− Depreciation
−$2,691
Taxable income
$727
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$175
After-tax cash flow
$2,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Potosi R-III
NCES district ID
2925500
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$34,151
Composite
41.22/100
National rank
#3536
State rank
#53 of 324 in MO

Livability — Potosi

Score
65/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#13297

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Potosi, MO
Population (ZIP)
9,060

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,761 people
By 2030
22,923 · -3.5%
By 2040
20,992 · -11.7%
By 2050
18,849 · -20.7%
By 2075
13,749 · -42.1%
By 2100
9,016 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.2) · D 17.1% · R 82.3%
2008→2024 swing
-65.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -65.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+18.6 2008: D+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 59.56%
Current HPI
296.5011
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $92,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $404 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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