7601 Delavan Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$140,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom home with large backyard.
Key facts
- 8,058 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1956; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (first floor); Two additional bedrooms (first floor)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor; All bedrooms on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $141k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $141k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($974 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.24%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,311
- List price
- $140,900
- Delta
- -0.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7622 Delavan Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+2%) | 6mo | $132,000 | $118 | 88 |
| 7625 Delavan Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-0%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $133 | 86 |
| 7534 Bywood St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,107 (+1%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $162 | 77 |
| 7901 Richland Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,108 (+1%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $104 | 60 |
| 7410 Glen Manor Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+4%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $197 | 56 |
| 7966 Safebuy St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,109 (+1%) | 9mo | $194,900 | $176 | 54 |
| 7938 Safebuy St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,108 (+1%) | 14mo | $198,000 | $179 | 52 |
| 7518 S Finch Cir | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,176 (+7%) | 14mo | $129,000 | $110 | 52 |
| 7973 Ritz St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,076 (-2%) | 3mo | $89,900 | $84 | 51 |
| 7925 Crestview Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-6%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $155 | 51 |
| 7429 Springdale St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (+12%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $154 | 46 |
| 7229 Springdale St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,247 (+14%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $156 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $46,832
- Equity at exit
- $81,951
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $117,460
- Equity at exit
- $143,209
Cash invested: $39,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77028
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 353
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,690 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$739
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,202/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $351 | -5% $311 | +0% $271 | +5% $231 | +10% $191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $137 | -5% $204 | +0% $271 | +5% $338 | +10% $404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $342 | -0.5pp $307 | base $271 | +0.5pp $234 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,225
- Closing costs
- $4,227
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8015 Elbert St Unit A Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,650 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 7804 Crestview Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7418 Bywood St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7601 Springdale St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7914 Laura Koppe Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7973 Ritz St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,250 | $2.09 | 8d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7830 Nashville St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 8d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7119 Bywood St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7945 Henson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,665 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7947 Henson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,349 | $1.24 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8113 Denton St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8216 Richland Dr Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8006 Lynette St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,475 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 8213 Linda Vista Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,625 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9410 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8158 Sunbury St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8117 Saint Louis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,335 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8119 Saint Louis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,349 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5609 Denmark St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,595 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $1,399 | $1.56 | 2d | 5 | 1.27mi |
| 7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,436 | $1.41 | 14d | 8 | 1.31mi |
| 7839 Sandy St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,575 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 235 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $740 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 222 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $700 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-02status $140,900 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$140,900 Active 474-char remark
-
2024-03-27soldstatus
-
2021-01-08soldstatus
-
2021-01-07soldstatus Sold 35-char remark
Show marketing remark (35 chars)
3 bedroom home with large backyard.
-
2020-11-30status Pending 35-char remark
Show marketing remark (35 chars)
3 bedroom home with large backyard.
-
2020-11-24$75,000 Active 35-char remark
Show marketing remark (35 chars)
3 bedroom home with large backyard.
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,893
- − Property taxes
- −$3,202
- − Insurance
- −$704
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,623
- − Management
- −$1,623
- − Depreciation
- −$4,099
- Taxable income
- $1,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$273
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,109
- Household income
- $38,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1177.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 38%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Current HPI
- 267.7798
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.55%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+87.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $140,900 HARMLS
- 2024-03-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-07 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2020-11-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-11-24 Listed $75,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,202 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…