111 Carroll St · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom, 2 1/2 bath, updated kitchen, fireplace, covered parking, fenced yard, nice shady lot, all appliances remain 318-218-5846 for appt
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Fenced yard
- Shady lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 2006; Single-family property
- Construction: 1671 finished living area
- Exterior features: Located in the Springlake and University Terrace subdivisions
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.56%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5822 River Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,717 (+3%) | 1mo | $239,000 | $139 | 83 |
| 333 Levin Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,658 (-1%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $121 | 81 |
| 127 Vidor Ln | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,563 (-6%) | 3mo | $244,500 | $156 | 71 |
| 180 Charles Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,606 (-4%) | 2mo | $179,995 | $112 | 70 |
| 135 Carroll St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,875 (+12%) | 1mo | $232,500 | $124 | 70 |
| 522 Levin Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,609 (-4%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $120 | 69 |
| 2025 Horton Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,655 (-1%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $82 | 69 |
| 329 Tallow Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,797 (+8%) | 3mo | $194,000 | $108 | 68 |
| 505 Meadowbrook Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,781 (+7%) | 1mo | $99,000 | $56 | 66 |
| 106 Bruce Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,827 (+9%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $120 | 65 |
| 174 Lynn Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-7%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $128 | 58 |
| 251 Roma Dr | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,724 (+3%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $102 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,024
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $19,663
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71105
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,720 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $253
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 Southfield Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,395 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 6122 Burgundy Dr Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2222 | $2,500 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 119 Charles Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $1,800 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 243 Justin Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 186 Charles Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,675 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2011 Audubon Pl Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1932 | $1,800 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2033 Horton Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 216 Pennsylvania Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1199 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 204 Leo Ave Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1846 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7800 Youree Dr Shreveport, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1031 | $1,724 | $1.67 | 13d | 41 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$165,000 Active
-
1990-10-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,063 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,063 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,063
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,651
- − Management
- −$1,651
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $403
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$97
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,179
- Household income
- $67,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1007.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.75%
- Current HPI
- 129.572
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $165,000 FSBO.com
- 1990-10-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,063 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…