Duplex
285 Clinton St · Lockport, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity. Live in one unit and rent out the other. 3/3 unit located on a corner lot! Plenty of living space, room for parking and separate utilities. So much potential!
Key facts
- Fully leased
- Spacious layouts
- Central location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit building with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Unit rents: one unit at $1,000; the other at $925; Owner pays trash collection and water; rent includes trash collection and water; Operating expenses include trash and water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage; One additional parking space
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story multifamily building; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Stone foundation; Existing (previously built) structure
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 33 x 82
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens; Oven/range
- Bedrooms: Two-bedroom units (both units)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full bath per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring in varied areas; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $348/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.5% in Lockport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in NY, #3,669 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Lockport City School District (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #452 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $159k implies a 206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.76%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,392
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Lock St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 2,492 (+2%) | 0mo | $96,000 | $39 | 70 |
| 179 Lock St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,275 (-7%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $88 | 56 |
| 247 Lock St | 0.45mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,240 (-8%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $83 | 50 |
| 35 Pound St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,163 (-12%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $69 | 39 |
| 389 East Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 2,720 (+11%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $79 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $20,064
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $80,792
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14094
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,208 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,779/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $696
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,208 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,104 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,104 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,208 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-03-03$159,000 Active
-
2022-09-05historical
-
2022-06-03$142,500 Active
-
2019-02-15soldstatus $52,000 Closed Sale or Rented 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Live in one unit and rent out the other. 3/3 unit located on a corner lot! Plenty of living space, room for parking and separate utilities. So much potential!
-
2019-01-12status Pending Sale 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Live in one unit and rent out the other. 3/3 unit located on a corner lot! Plenty of living space, room for parking and separate utilities. So much potential!
-
2019-01-08status Under Contract- Do Not Show 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Live in one unit and rent out the other. 3/3 unit located on a corner lot! Plenty of living space, room for parking and separate utilities. So much potential!
-
2018-12-21price $57,500 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Live in one unit and rent out the other. 3/3 unit located on a corner lot! Plenty of living space, room for parking and separate utilities. So much potential!
-
2018-11-12$59,900 Active 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Live in one unit and rent out the other. 3/3 unit located on a corner lot! Plenty of living space, room for parking and separate utilities. So much potential!
-
2006-11-22soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,779 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,233 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$454/yr (+$38/mo · 25.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,779
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,120
- − Management
- −$2,120
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $6,150
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,476
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lockport City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617670
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,793
- Composite
- 39.28/100
- National rank
- #3997
- State rank
- #452 of 590 in NY
Livability — Lockport
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #232
- US rank
- #3669
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lockport, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 157,377 people
- City population
- 50,153
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,153
- Household income
- $75,427
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1112.0
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.57%
- Current HPI
- 303.6109
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+189.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Listed $159,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-09-05 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2022-06-03 Listed $142,500 WNYREIS
- 2019-02-15 Sold (MLS) $52,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-01-12 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-01-08 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-12-21 Price Changed $57,500 WNYREIS
- 2018-11-12 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
- 2006-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,779 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…