🏷️ Likely Rental
285 Clinton St · Lockport, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Fantastic Investment or House-Hacking Opportunity in the Heart of Lockport! Discover 285 Clinton St, a well-maintained and fully separated two-family duplex that delivers immediate income with incredible versatility. The upper unit is occupied by a reliable tenant and generates a solid one thousand dollars per month from day one. Meanwhile, the spacious lower unit is completely vacant and freshly prepped. This makes it perfect for an owner-occupant looking to live affordably while the upstairs rent covers a significant portion of the expenses, or for an investor ready to place a new tenant at today's market rates.
Key facts
- Central location
- Two-family duplex
- Fully separated
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
- This rent per unit is only 18% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $740 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $370/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.0% in Lockport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in NY, #3,669 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Lockport City School District (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #452 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 589 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 82d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $155k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.46%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,853
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -35.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Lock St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 2,492 (+2%) | 3mo | $96,000 | $39 | 68 |
| 179 Lock St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,275 (-7%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $88 | 53 |
| 247 Lock St | 0.45mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,240 (-8%) | 9mo | $187,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 35 Pound St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,163 (-12%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $69 | 36 |
| 389 East Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 2,720 (+11%) | 24mo | $215,000 | $79 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $23,534
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $87,511
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.8 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $155,700 ($77/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 48 d
- This list price
- 44% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +28.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 14094
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 589
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,235 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,779/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $740
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,236 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,118 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,118 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,235 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $828 | -5% $784 | +0% $740 | +5% $696 | +10% $652 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $563 | -5% $652 | +0% $740 | +5% $828 | +10% $917 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $818 | -0.5pp $779 | base $740 | +0.5pp $700 | +1.0pp $659 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Dayton St Lockport, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 107d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4 Mc Cue Ave Unit Upper Lockport, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 62d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 80 Charlotte St Unit 1 Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $975 | — | 97d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 83 South St Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $950 | — | 62d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 480 South St Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 0d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 35 South St Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $900 | — | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 321 Washburn St Unit 1 Lockport, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,150 | — | 63d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 42 Waterman St Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $950 | — | 99d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 47 Waterman St Apt 2 Lockport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 10d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 47 Waterman St Unit 3 Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 119d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 67 Waterman St Lockport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $750 | — | 99d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 172 High St Lockport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 86d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 172 High St Apt B Lockport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $730 | $2.09 | 110d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 327 High St Lockport, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 690 | $1,920 | $2.78 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6 Tudor Ln Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 11 Beattie Ave Lockport, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,800 | $1.46 | 82d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 70 Harvey Ave Unit 5 Lockport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $895 | — | 10d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 271 Locust St Lockport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $975 | — | 10d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1 Tudor Ln Lockport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 189 West Ave Unit 1 Lockport, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,130 | — | 6d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Owner pays trash collection and water for tenantsRent includes trash collection and waterOperating expenses include professional management, trash, and water/sewerTwo-unit multifamily property with both units occupied (one unit leased through 01/31/2027)
Exterior
- Parking
- One garage spaceAdditional parking available
- Utilities
- Public water connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- Two-story buildingResale propertyVinyl siding
- Construction
- Asphalt roofVinyl siding construction
- Exterior features
- City street frontageNear public transitRectangular residential lot (approx. 33 x 82)
Interior
- Kitchen
- Oven/range in units
- Bedrooms
- Two 2-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
- Flooring
- CarpetVinylVaried flooring
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms total (each unit has 1 full bathroom)
- Heating & cooling
- Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features
- Full basementGas water heater
- Laundry & utility
- Separate gas meters for each unitSeparate electric meters for each unit
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $155,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $155,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $155,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $155,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $155,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $155,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $155,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $155,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $155,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $155,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $155,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $155,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-08-19remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-08-19pricedays on market $155,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-03-03$159,000 Active
-
2022-09-05historical
-
2022-06-03$142,500 Active
-
2019-02-15soldstatus $52,000 Closed Sale or Rented 188-char remark
-
2019-01-12status Pending Sale 188-char remark
-
2019-01-08status Under Contract- Do Not Show 188-char remark
-
2018-12-21price $57,500 188-char remark
-
2018-11-12$59,900 Active 188-char remark
-
2006-11-22soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,779 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,199 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$420/yr (+$35/mo · 23.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,779
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,146
- − Management
- −$2,146
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $6,783
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,628
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,252/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This two-family property requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major roof — Aged appearance
- Major foundation — Visible wear on the foundation
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both repair and replace siding — New siding will improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
- Both repair and replace roof — A new roof will improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
- Both repair foundation — A repaired foundation will improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lockport City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617670
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,793
- Composite
- 39.28/100
- National rank
- #3997
- State rank
- #452 of 590 in NY
Livability — Lockport
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #232
- US rank
- #3669
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lockport, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 204,149 people
- City population
- 50,153
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,153
- Household income
- $75,427
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.57%
- Current HPI
- 303.6109
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+181.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-18 Listed $155,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $159,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-09-05 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2022-06-03 Listed $142,500 WNYREIS
- 2019-02-15 Sold (MLS) $52,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-01-12 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-01-08 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-12-21 Price Changed $57,500 WNYREIS
- 2018-11-12 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
- 2006-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,779 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…