21201 NE 58th St #24 · Camas, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath, home in a beautiful 55+ park just outside town, beautiful views. Enjoy lots of space and serene views from this property. Very nice kitchen, inside laundry, 3 bdrms/2 baths, vaulted ceilings, light and bright, carport plus extra paved parking. RV storage available. Park fee of $455 includes sewer & water. No dogs, no rentals. Wonderful place to live!
Key facts
- Built in hutch
- Patio area
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size in park: under 3,000 sq ft range
- HOA & community: Located in Green Mtn Mobile Ranch (senior community); Land lease applies (monthly lot rent of $700; land lease expires August 31, 2026)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport and driveway
- Utilities: Electric service; Shared well water; Shared septic
- Home design: Manufactured home in park (Moduline Ardmore model); Single-story (main level entry); Not attached to another property; No notable view
- Construction: Built in 1995; Composition roof; Skirting foundation
- Exterior features: T-111 siding; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Range hood; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level) with vaulted ceiling; Second bedroom (main level) with ceiling fan; Third bedroom (main level) with bookcases
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling indicated
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Vaulted ceilings; Built-in bookcases; Built-in dining room features; Laundry area (main level); Washer and dryer included
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with washer and dryer included; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $124k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 1.7% in Camas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#181 in WA, #4,740 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pioneer Elementary School (546 students, 54% FRL); Frontier Middle School (800 students, 60% FRL); Union High School (2,021 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 461 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $882 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $128k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.84%
- DSCR
- 3.48
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,000
- List price
- $127,500
- Delta
- 40.11%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21201 NE 58th St #45 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+13%) | 3mo | $107,000 | $72 | 75 |
| 21201 NE 58th St #41 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-12%) | 20mo | $106,000 | $92 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $77,991
- Equity at exit
- $19,011
- IRR
- 56.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.93×
- Total profit
- $176,155
- Equity at exit
- $11,024
Cash invested: $35,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98682
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 461
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$669
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $387/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$642
- Net cashflow
- $1,661
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,733 | -5% $1,697 | +0% $1,661 | +5% $1,625 | +10% $1,589 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,420 | -5% $1,540 | +0% $1,661 | +5% $1,782 | +10% $1,903 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,725 | -0.5pp $1,694 | base $1,661 | +0.5pp $1,628 | +1.0pp $1,595 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,875
- Closing costs
- $3,825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21912 NE 68th St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1552 | $3,600 | $2.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 9333 N Incline Dr Camas, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,495 | $1.94 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7021 N 89th Ave Camas, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1601 | $3,024 | $1.89 | 2d | 31 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $127,500 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $127,500 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $127,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $127,500 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $127,500 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $127,500 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $127,500 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $127,500 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $127,500 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $127,500 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $127,500 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $127,500 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $127,500 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-14$127,500 Active 827-char remark
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2018-11-20soldstatus $78,500 Sold 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
Very nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath, home in a beautiful 55+ park just outside town, beautiful views. Enjoy lots of space and serene views from this property. Very nice kitchen, inside laundry, 3 bdrms/2 baths, vaulted ceilings, light and bright, carport plus extra paved parking. RV storage available. Park fee of $455 includes sewer & water. No dogs, no rentals. Wonderful place to live!
-
2018-10-14status Pending 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
Very nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath, home in a beautiful 55+ park just outside town, beautiful views. Enjoy lots of space and serene views from this property. Very nice kitchen, inside laundry, 3 bdrms/2 baths, vaulted ceilings, light and bright, carport plus extra paved parking. RV storage available. Park fee of $455 includes sewer & water. No dogs, no rentals. Wonderful place to live!
-
2018-10-03$85,900 Active 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
Very nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath, home in a beautiful 55+ park just outside town, beautiful views. Enjoy lots of space and serene views from this property. Very nice kitchen, inside laundry, 3 bdrms/2 baths, vaulted ceilings, light and bright, carport plus extra paved parking. RV storage available. Park fee of $455 includes sewer & water. No dogs, no rentals. Wonderful place to live!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $387 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$862/yr (+$72/mo · 222.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,687
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,142
- − Property taxes
- −$387
- − Insurance
- −$638
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,935
- − Management
- −$2,935
- − Depreciation
- −$3,709
- Taxable income
- $18,942
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,546
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen School District (Clark)
- NCES district ID
- 5302700
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,418
- Composite
- 42.53/100
- National rank
- #6859
- State rank
- #164 of 291 in WA
Livability — Camas
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #4740
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clark County · 513,189 people
- City population
- 35,867
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,305
- Household income
- $99,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1618.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 529,610 people
- By 2030
- 563,242 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 625,905 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 681,558 · +28.7%
- By 2075
- 805,967 · +52.2%
- By 2100
- 877,450 · +65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.95%
- Current HPI
- 307.0529
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+48.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $127,500 RMLS
- 2018-11-20 Sold (MLS) $78,500 RMLS
- 2018-10-14 Pending — RMLS
- 2018-10-03 Listed $85,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2026): $387 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…