228 Farmers Row · Gluckstadt, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$264,100
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Location to everything in Gluckstadt! 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home in Red Oak Plantation Beautifully remodeled master Bathroom Large living room w/ fireplace , well appointed kitchen, breakfast area. Large fenced in backyard.
Key facts
- Large living room
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $264k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $264k).
- Recommended offer: $232k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.9% in Gluckstadt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.99%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,491
- List price
- $264,100
- Delta
- -7.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Hunters Row | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (+6%) | 9mo | $289,000 | $185 | 64 |
| 107 Planters Row | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+5%) | 22mo | $268,000 | $174 | 60 |
| 101 Hayfield Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,655 (+12%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $178 | 59 |
| 116 Planters Row | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+7%) | 22mo | $274,700 | $174 | 58 |
| 168 Hunters Row | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,665 (+13%) | 24mo | $279,900 | $168 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-16,444
- Equity at exit
- $39,378
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $16,576
- Equity at exit
- $22,835
Cash invested: $73,948 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39110
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 628
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,694 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,385
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,433/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$566
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $580 | -5% $506 | +0% $431 | +5% $356 | +10% $281 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $218 | -5% $324 | +0% $431 | +5% $537 | +10% $644 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $564 | -0.5pp $498 | base $431 | +0.5pp $362 | +1.0pp $293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,025
- Closing costs
- $7,923
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 Owen St Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,900 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 132 Hanover St Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,650 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 212 Stillhouse Creek Dr Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,900 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 140 Millhouse Dr Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $2,400 | $1.70 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 109 Millhouse Dr Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,395 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 145 Stillhouse Creek Dr Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,600 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 112 Copper Ridge Ct Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,495 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 173 Clearview Dr W Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,473 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 104 Fairwind Way Madison, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $3,000 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $264,100 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $264,100 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $264,100 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $264,100 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $264,100 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $264,100 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Great Location to everything in Gluckstadt! 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home in Red Oak Plantation Beautifully remodeled master Bathroom Large living room w/ fireplace , well appointed kitchen, breakfast area. Large fenced in backyard.
-
2026-03-30historical $2,100
-
2026-03-24price $269,100 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Great Location to everything in Gluckstadt! 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home in Red Oak Plantation Beautifully remodeled master Bathroom Large living room w/ fireplace , well appointed kitchen, breakfast area. Large fenced in backyard.
-
2026-02-01$275,000 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Great Location to everything in Gluckstadt! 3 Bedroom 2 Bath home in Red Oak Plantation Beautifully remodeled master Bathroom Large living room w/ fireplace , well appointed kitchen, breakfast area. Large fenced in backyard.
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2025-09-30$2,100
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2021-10-08historical
-
2016-05-04soldstatus
-
2016-04-29soldstatus
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2016-02-19$173,500
-
2013-05-22soldstatus
-
2013-05-16soldstatus
-
2013-01-20$157,900
-
2011-09-27$161,000
-
2007-06-15soldstatus
-
2007-06-06soldstatus
-
2007-03-21$160,000
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2005-02-02soldstatus
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2005-01-27soldstatus
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2004-12-21$144,900
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2002-09-09soldstatus
-
2002-08-26soldstatus
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2002-07-03$129,500
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2001-06-27soldstatus
-
1998-06-09soldstatus
-
1997-06-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,433 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,433 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,794
- − Property taxes
- −$2,433
- − Insurance
- −$1,320
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,587
- − Management
- −$2,587
- − Depreciation
- −$7,683
- Taxable income
- $930
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$223
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,947/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gluckstadt
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gluckstadt, MS
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,443
- Household income
- $125,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 227.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.99%
- Current HPI
- 154.6909
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+103.9% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $264,100 MLSU
- 2026-03-30 Rental Removed $2,100 MLSU
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $269,100 MLSU
- 2026-02-01 Listed $275,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-30 Listed for Rent $2,100 MLSU
- 2021-10-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2016-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-04-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2016-02-19 Listed $173,500 MLSU
- 2013-05-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-05-16 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-01-20 Listed $157,900 MLSU
- 2011-09-27 Listed $161,000 MLSU
- 2007-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-06-06 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2007-03-21 Listed $160,000 MLSU
- 2005-02-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-01-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2004-12-21 Listed $144,900 MLSU
- 2002-09-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-08-26 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2002-07-03 Listed $129,500 MLSU
- 2001-06-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,433 · +84.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…