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264 Japonica Ave
A- Composite 81.38
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$55,000

264 Japonica Ave · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1966 Fair condition 7,405 sqft lot $54/sqft · 46% below area Est $102k · 46% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 Bedroom 1 bath four-sided brick home featuring a kitchen with stove, washer/dryer hookups, and a fenced backyard. Great potential for a rental investment or renovation project. Add this property to your investment portfolio today!

Key facts

  • Kitchen with stove
  • Washer dryer hookups
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

FOUR-SIDED BRICKFENCED BACKYARDKITCHEN WITH STOVEWASHER DRYER HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 5.2% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: W.S. Hornsby Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 567 students, 98% FRL); Laney High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 684 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 4% at this address vs 16% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richmond County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30% ✓
Cap rate
19.26%
Cash-on-cash
46.33%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,751
List price
$55,000
Delta
-45.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
395 Azalea Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+2%) 19mo $40,000 $38 76
109 E E Walker St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+8%) 6mo $50,000 $45 64
608 Albany Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 900 (-12%) 13mo $120,000 $133 62
1319 Solomon Pl 0.33mi 3/1.0 936 (-8%) 18mo $101,833 $109 56
127 E Hale St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-12%) 2mo $55,000 $61 54
429 Fairhope St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,115 (+9%) 2mo $202,000 $181 54
419 Fairhope St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,155 (+13%) 5mo $168,000 $145 47
119 Telfair St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-5%) 17mo $45,000 $46 46
257 Watkins St 0.74mi 3/1.0 973 (-5%) 15mo $69,900 $72 45
526 Laney Walker Blvd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,160 (+14%) 22mo $58,900 $51 36
121 Greene St 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,164 (+14%) 10mo $187,500 $161 31
821 1st St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 909 (-11%) 22mo $75,500 $83 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.18% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$57,493
Equity at exit
$42,461
10-year hold
IRR
49.5%
Equity multiple
9.57×
Total profit
$131,989
Equity at exit
$84,939

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
14 active · 8 under contract
Months of supply
10.5 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$122,000 ($132/sqft)
Median days on market
69 d
This list price
7% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-24.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 30901

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Rents YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax from tax record
−$91 /mo · $1,096/yr
Insurance
−$23
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$595

Break-even live

Break-even rent $510
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $626 -5% $610 +0% $595 +5% $579 +10% $563
Rent -10% $495 -5% $545 +0% $595 +5% $644 +10% $694
Rate -1.0pp $622 -0.5pp $609 base $595 +0.5pp $580 +1.0pp $566

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
710 Wallace St Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 1d 1 0.17mi
411 Artmus St Augusta, GA 4.0 2.0 1404 $1,275 $0.91 7d 1 0.33mi
510 Laney Walker Pl Augusta, GA 4.0 1.5 1174 $1,250 $1.06 10d 1 0.34mi
420 E Boundary Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 950 $800 $0.84 10d 1 0.36mi
329 E View Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,300 $1.03 164d 1 0.48mi
112 Telfair St Unit A Augusta, GA 4.0 3.0 1400 $2,300 $1.64 155d 1 0.54mi
112 Telfair St Unit B Augusta, GA 4.0 3.5 1400 $1,625 $1.16 31d 1 0.54mi
517 Dupont St Unit B Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,150 $0.93 10d 1 0.66mi
517 Dupont St Unit B Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1232 $1,150 $0.93 16d 1 0.66mi
517 Dupont St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,100 $0.89 16d 1 0.66mi
517 Dupont St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,100 $0.89 10d 1 0.66mi
222 Telfair St Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,050 $0.70 10d 1 0.67mi
222 Telfair St Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,195 $0.85 41d 1 0.67mi
134 Broad St Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 184d 1 0.69mi
204 Ellis St Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 1029 $1,350 $1.31 155d 1 0.69mi
136 Broad St Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 184d 1 0.69mi
821 Forsythe St Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $895 $1.19 155d 1 0.70mi
828 Forsythe St Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 808 $950 $1.18 50d 1 0.70mi
106 Tybee Ct Augusta, GA 3.0–4.0 2.0 1336 $1,071 $0.80 10d 4 0.70mi
133 Broad St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $975 $0.97 184d 1 0.71mi
133 Broad St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $975 $0.97 164d 1 0.71mi
250 Telfair St Apt A Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 17d 1 0.75mi
250 Telfair St Apt A Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 10d 1 0.75mi
211 Broad St Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 43d 1 0.76mi
515 3rd St Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 7d 1 0.80mi
515 3rd St Apt B Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 7d 1 0.80mi
305 Walker St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 925 $925 $1.00 164d 1 0.81mi
305 Walker St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 925 $925 $1.00 184d 1 0.81mi
320 3rd St Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 1117 $1,200 $1.07 184d 1 0.81mi
248 Broad St Unit B Augusta, GA 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,195 $1.08 10d 1 0.81mi
309 3rd St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 10d 1 0.83mi
112 3rd St Apt F Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 1d 1 0.86mi
108 3rd St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 1d 1 0.87mi
108 3rd St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 164d 1 0.87mi
108 3rd St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 184d 1 0.87mi
410 4th St Unit A Augusta, GA 2.0 1.5 925 $985 $1.06 164d 1 0.92mi
338 Bay St Augusta, GA 2.0 2.5 1476 $1,400 $0.95 0d 1 0.94mi
619 Broad St Augusta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 946 $1,950 $2.06 0d 30 1.37mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $55,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $55,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-10-30
    price $55,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-10-29
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-10-28
    statusdays on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-10-27
    status $60,000 Pending 12 DOM
  14. 2026-10-26
    days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-10-26
    days on market $60,000 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-10-24
    days on market $60,000 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-10-23
    days on market $60,000 Active 9 DOM
  18. 2026-10-22
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  19. 2026-10-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  20. 2026-10-20
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  21. 2026-10-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  22. 2026-10-18
    pricedays on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
  23. 2026-10-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
  24. 2026-10-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
  25. 2026-10-15
    remarks 232-char remark
  26. 2026-10-15
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $55,000 Active 1 DOM
  27. 2025-11-10
    historical
  28. 2025-11-10
    historical
  29. 2025-11-10
    historical
  30. 2025-09-18
    listed $65,500
  31. 2025-09-18
    listed $65,500
  32. 2023-11-05
    historical $900
  33. 2023-10-11
    listed $900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,096 · $91/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,147
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$1,096
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,672
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,601
After-tax cash flow
$5,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $25,500–$45,900 screening

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home requires moderate renovations to bring it up to date. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathroom, and HVAC system. Upgrades in these areas will significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental.

Deferred maintenance Est. $60,000–$180,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — No roof visible in photos
  • Major Hvac (hvac) — No HVAC unit visible in photos
  • Major Windows (windows) — No windows visible in photos
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel visible in photos
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing fixtures visible in photos
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior walls or siding visible in photos

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — Worn and outdated
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — Worn and outdated
  • Major HVAC unit — Appears old and possibly inefficient

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
  • Both Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
  • Both Upgrading HVAC system — Improves both resale and rental value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 4/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary W.s. Hornsby Elementary School F GA #1,204/1,228 Nat'l #41,309/41,679 Middle W.s. Hornsby Middle School F GA #468/470 Nat'l #13,937/14,009 High Laney High School F GA #394/424 Nat'l #16,861/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County
NCES district ID
1304380
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,069
Composite
13.43/100
National rank
#9524
State rank
#154 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
County
Richmond County · 200,753 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
16,484
Household income
$25,163
Rent vs Own
76.1% rent · 23.9% own
Severe rent burden
18% of renters

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
200,753 people
By 2030
200,232 · -0.3%
By 2040
196,813 · -2.0%
By 2050
190,347 · -5.2%
By 2075
172,496 · -14.1%
By 2100
146,284 · -27.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% White 15% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-16.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-10-14 Listed $55,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $65,500 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $65,500 Hive MLS
  • 2023-11-05 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-11 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,096 · -10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…