212 ASH St S · Omak, WA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Historic 1926 home in the heart of Omak in need of a complete rehab inside and out. Good project that has the possibility for a good return on time and investment. Easy access to city services.
Key facts
- 7,100 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1926
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: City; Lot: approximately 0.163 acres (lot features from public records)
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Rehab Loan
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking (1 uncovered space)
- Security: Partially fenced (listed under security features)
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Omak); Sewer connected (City of Omak); Power by PUD
- Home design: Single-family residence, 1 story; Built on lot; Faces east; Property condition: Fair
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Metal roof; Poured concrete foundation; Effective year built: 1926; Structure type: House; One level
- Exterior features: Partially fenced lot; Curbs and paved streets; Level topography; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen without eating space; Appliances: see remarks
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Flooring: see remarks
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level); 1 bathtub; 1 shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Water heater (electric, located in basement); Unfinished basement; Has heating (Forced air)
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer details: see remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($290/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.4% in Omak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#386 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
- Omak School District (town): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #227 of 291 in WA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 234 units permitted in Okanogan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okanogan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $125k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.73%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,674
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 N Cedar St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 996 (-1%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $105 | 86 |
| 129 Cedar St N | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-5%) | 6mo | $281,000 | $293 | 74 |
| 429 3rd Ave W | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,014 (+0%) | 19mo | $236,000 | $233 | 72 |
| 324 Railroad Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-7%) | 4mo | $174,000 | $186 | 65 |
| 702 West Ridge Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,026 (+2%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $224 | 64 |
| 122 W 4th Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 862 (-15%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $122 | 64 |
| 504 Granite St S | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+4%) | 14mo | $188,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 311 Dayton St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,112 (+10%) | 23mo | $169,900 | $153 | 44 |
| 718 Ridge Dr E | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,066 (+6%) | 17mo | $236,000 | $221 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-18,658
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-14,026
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98841
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,010/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 193-char remark
-
2026-06-15$125,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,010 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,010 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,503
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,010
- − Insurance
- −$1,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,160
- − Management
- −$1,160
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,757
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$422
- After-tax cash flow
- $711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omak School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306220
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,421
- Composite
- 35.56/100
- National rank
- #9729
- State rank
- #227 of 291 in WA
Livability — Omak
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #386
- US rank
- #15185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omak, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,376
Population outlook (Okanogan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,288 people
- By 2030
- 39,265 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 37,110 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 35,389 · -12.2%
- By 2075
- 31,609 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 26,647 · -33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 16% Native American 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Okanogan
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.0) · D 41.1% · R 56.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -15.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.0 2020: R+13.8 2016: R+21.3 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.79%
- Current HPI
- 190.8789
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+212.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1986-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,010 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…