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212 ASH St S
C- Composite 53.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

212 ASH St S · Omak, WA 98841
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,009 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1926 7,100 sqft lot Est $188k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Historic 1926 home in the heart of Omak in need of a complete rehab inside and out. Good project that has the possibility for a good return on time and investment. Easy access to city services.

Key facts

  • 7,100 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1926

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: City; Lot: approximately 0.163 acres (lot features from public records)
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Rehab Loan

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking (1 uncovered space)
  • Security: Partially fenced (listed under security features)
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Omak); Sewer connected (City of Omak); Power by PUD
  • Home design: Single-family residence, 1 story; Built on lot; Faces east; Property condition: Fair
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Metal roof; Poured concrete foundation; Effective year built: 1926; Structure type: House; One level
  • Exterior features: Partially fenced lot; Curbs and paved streets; Level topography; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen without eating space; Appliances: see remarks
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Flooring: see remarks
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level); 1 bathtub; 1 shower
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Water heater (electric, located in basement); Unfinished basement; Has heating (Forced air)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer details: see remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($290/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (3.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.4% in Omak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#386 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
  • Omak School District (town): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #227 of 291 in WA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 234 units permitted in Okanogan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okanogan County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $125k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,858 (3.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.73%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$187,674
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 N Cedar St 0.13mi 2/1.0 996 (-1%) 7mo $105,000 $105 86
129 Cedar St N 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-5%) 6mo $281,000 $293 74
429 3rd Ave W 0.24mi 2/1.0 1,014 (+0%) 19mo $236,000 $233 72
324 Railroad Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 936 (-7%) 4mo $174,000 $186 65
702 West Ridge Dr 0.67mi 2/1.0 1,026 (+2%) 2mo $230,000 $224 64
122 W 4th Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 862 (-15%) 7mo $105,000 $122 64
504 Granite St S 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+4%) 14mo $188,000 $179 55
311 Dayton St 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,112 (+10%) 23mo $169,900 $153 44
718 Ridge Dr E 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,066 (+6%) 17mo $236,000 $221 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-18,658
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-14,026
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98841

Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,010/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 193-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $125,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,010 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,010 · $167/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,503
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,010
− Insurance
−$1,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,160
− Management
−$1,160
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$1,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$422
After-tax cash flow
$711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Omak School District
NCES district ID
5306220
Math proficiency
29% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,421
Composite
35.56/100
National rank
#9729
State rank
#227 of 291 in WA

Livability — Omak

Score
63/100
State rank
#386
US rank
#15185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omak, WA
Population (ZIP)
9,376

Population outlook (Okanogan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,288 people
By 2030
39,265 · -2.5%
By 2040
37,110 · -7.9%
By 2050
35,389 · -12.2%
By 2075
31,609 · -21.5%
By 2100
26,647 · -33.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 16% Native American 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Okanogan

2024 margin
R (+15.0) · D 41.1% · R 56.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -15.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.0 2020: R+13.8 2016: R+21.3 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.79%
Current HPI
190.8789
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1986-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,010 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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