CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2504 River Rd #7426
D- Composite 38.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +2.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$86,900

2504 River Rd #7426 · Wisconsin Dells, WI 53965
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 735 sqft · Condo · 8 Days on market
Built 2007 $118/sqft · 25% below area Est $116k · 25% under $625/mo HOA · 53% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your Golf & Waterpark Getaway Awaits- tee off surrounded by the amazing Wisconsin Dells area fall colors or take the kids & slide down one of Chula Vista's slides at the indoor/outdoor waterpark. This Chula Vista Fairway Golf Condo provides an awesome vacation destination & investment option. Looking for a business getaway for your clients or employees? Guests will love the ample sleeping options including a lofted bedroom above the primary sleeping area, full kitchen & gas fireplace! Relax with morning coffee on the balcony while taking in golf course views. Is it a fun-filled day at the waterpark, 18 holes, or head on down the road to experience all that downtown WI Dells has to offer! Choose the optional rental program or keep it all to yourself!

Key facts

  • Cozy gas fireplace
  • Full kitchenette
  • Lofted bedroom

Tags

GOLF COURSE VIEWSFULL KITCHENETTECOZY GAS FIREPLACEDUAL SLEEPING AREASLOFTED BEDROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $87k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-289 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $45k (48.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (48.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 1.5% in Wisconsin Dells — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#100 in WI, #2,661 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, commute F.
  • Wisconsin Dells School District (town): math 44% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #135 of 342 in WI (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; 126 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent.
Recommended offer $45,078 (48.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
2.30%
Cash-on-cash
-14.25%
DSCR
0.37
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,230
List price
$86,900
Delta
-20.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-42.4%
Equity multiple
-0.32×
Total profit
$-32,088
Equity at exit
$12,957
10-year hold
IRR
-65.9%
Equity multiple
-1.06×
Total profit
$-50,012
Equity at exit
$7,514

Cash invested: $24,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53965

Active inventory
195
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,185 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$456
Tax est. 1.5%
$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$625
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$-289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,551
Max offer price $45,078
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-229 -5% $-259 +0% $-289 +5% $-319 +10% $-349
Rent -10% $-383 -5% $-336 +0% $-289 +5% $-242 +10% $-195
Rate -1.0pp $-245 -0.5pp $-267 base $-289 +0.5pp $-312 +1.0pp $-334

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,725
Closing costs
$2,607
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$625 · $7,500/yr
Likely covers
watergas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $86,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $86,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $86,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $86,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $86,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $86,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 695-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on marketlisting id $86,900 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $92,900 Active 283 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,900 Active 282 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,900 Active 281 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $92,900 Active 278 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $92,900 Active 277 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,900 Active 276 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,900 Active 275 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,900 Active 274 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $92,900 Active 273 DOM
  18. 2025-08-30
    listed $92,900 Active 783-char remark
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    Your Golf & Waterpark Getaway Awaits- tee off surrounded by the amazing Wisconsin Dells area fall colors or take the kids & slide down one of Chula Vista's slides at the indoor/outdoor waterpark. This Chula Vista Fairway Golf Condo provides an awesome vacation destination & investment option. Looking for a business getaway for your clients or employees? Guests will love the ample sleeping options including a lofted bedroom above the primary sleeping area, full kitchen & gas fireplace! Relax with morning coffee on the balcony while taking in golf course views. Is it a fun-filled day at the waterpark, 18 holes, or head on down the road to experience all that downtown WI Dells has to offer! Choose the optional rental program or keep it all to yourself!

  19. 2025-08-29
    listed $92,900 Active 748-char remark
    Show marketing remark (748 chars)

    Your Golf & Waterpark Getaway Awaits- tee off surrounded by the amazing Wisconsin Dells area fall colors or take the kids & slide down one of Chula Vista?s slides at the indoor/outdoor waterpark. This Chula Vista Fairway Golf Condo provides an awesome vacation destination & investment option. Looking for a business getaway for your clients or employees? Guests will love the ample sleeping options including a lofted bedroom above the primary sleeping area, full kitchen & gas fireplace! Relax on the balcony while taking in golf course views. Is it a fun-filled day at the waterpark, 18 holes, or head on down to experience all that downtown WI Dells has to offer! Choose the optional rental program or keep for yourself!

  20. 2025-08-22
    historical $92,900 783-char remark
    Show marketing remark (783 chars)

    Your Golf & Waterpark Getaway Awaits- tee off surrounded by the amazing Wisconsin Dells area fall colors or take the kids & slide down one of Chula Vista's slides at the indoor/outdoor waterpark. This Chula Vista Fairway Golf Condo provides an awesome vacation destination & investment option. Looking for a business getaway for your clients or employees? Guests will love the ample sleeping options including a lofted bedroom above the primary sleeping area, full kitchen & gas fireplace! Relax with morning coffee on the balcony while taking in golf course views. Is it a fun-filled day at the waterpark, 18 holes, or head on down the road to experience all that downtown WI Dells has to offer! Choose the optional rental program or keep it all to yourself!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,226
− Mortgage interest
−$4,868
− Property taxes
−$1,304
− Insurance
−$434
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,138
− Management
−$1,138
− HOA
−$7,500
− Depreciation
−$2,528
Taxable loss
−$4,684
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,124
After-tax cash flow
$-2,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wisconsin Dells School District
NCES district ID
5517040
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$47,233
Composite
35.91/100
National rank
#4810
State rank
#135 of 342 in WI

Livability — Wisconsin Dells

Score
78/100
State rank
#100
US rank
#2661

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wisconsin Dells, WI
County
Adams County · 10,818 people
City population
10,818
Metro
Madison, WI
Population (ZIP)
10,818
Household income
$66,667
Rent vs Own
26.1% rent · 73.9% own
Severe rent burden
220.0

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,560 people
By 2030
17,523 · -5.6%
By 2040
14,888 · -19.8%
By 2050
12,359 · -33.4%
By 2075
8,662 · -53.3%
By 2100
6,000 · -67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.8) · D 34.6% · R 60.4% · Other 5.0%
2008→2024 swing
-44.2pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -25.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.8 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+21.8 2012: D+8.7 2008: D+18.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.85%
Current HPI
234.2781
Rent YoY
Metro
Madison, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-30 Listed $92,900 METROMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $92,900 SCWMLS
  • 2025-08-22 Coming Soon $92,900 METROMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…