157 Daylily Dr · Elgin, TX 78621

$211,840

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,191 sqft · Land · 48 Days on market

Built 2026 4,835 sqft lot $178/sqft · at area comps Est $221k · at est. $70/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.1/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +9.3/15.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

157 Daylily Drive combines charm, smart design, and added curb appeal thanks to its alley-access lot, placing the focus on a welcoming front elevation in Harvest Ridge, Elgin's award-winning master-planned community. This one-story home features a rear detached shed, rear covered patio, and a thoughtfully designed interior. The open concept L-shaped kitchen highlights Miami White silestone countertops, 42-inch upper cabinets, sleek black appliances, and a charming window just above the single basin sink that adds the perfect amount of warmth into the space. The primary suite offers a walk-in closet, walk-in shower, and silestone vanities. Enjoy other amazing highlights such as natural light throughout the home, and walk-in closets in the secondary bedrooms. Live where community comes to life with resort-style amenities, fishing ponds, pickleball courts, and a full-time Lifestyle Director planning year-round events, plus the convenience of an on-site elementary school just steps away.

Key facts

• Alley-access lot
• Walk-in closet
• Rear detached shed

Tags

• ALLEY-ACCESS LOT
• REAR DETACHED SHED
• REAR COVERED PATIO
• 42-INCH UPPER CABINETS
• SLEEK BLACK APPLIANCES
• WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee of $70); HOA covers common area maintenance and grounds maintenance; Community features include clubhouse, playground, park, trails/paths, sport courts, game room, fishing, kitchen facilities, planned social activities, curbs

Exterior

• Parking: Garage
• Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Public water (Municipal Utility District); Sewer via Municipal Utility District
• Home design: Single-story home; New construction by Brohn Homes; Faces southwest; Slab foundation
• Construction: HardiPlank siding; Blown-in insulation; Spray foam insulation; Composition/shingle roof; Built as new construction
• Exterior features: Private yard; Covered patio; Patio; Back yard fencing (wood); Front yard; Sprinklers (front, rear, side); Level lot; Small trees; Close to clubhouse

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Stone counters; Pantry
• Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air
• Interior features: Entrance foyer; Open floorplan; Pantry; Stone counters; Recessed lighting; Walk-in closet(s); No interior steps; Main level primary
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer hookup; Tankless water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $212k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (2.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $205k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.4% in Elgin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#167 in TX, #4,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Elgin ISD (rural): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #741 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 807 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,841 units permitted in Bastrop County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Bastrop County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $205,484 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.78%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.32%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $220,713
• List price: $211,840
• Delta: -4.02%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.23×
• Total profit: $132,352
• Equity at exit: $190,842

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.6%
• Equity multiple: 7.36×
• Total profit: $377,038
• Equity at exit: $411,559

Cash invested: $59,315 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78621

• Home prices YoY: 7.6%
• Rents YoY: 3.1%
• Active inventory: 807
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,068 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,111
• Tax from tax record: −$102 /mo · $1,219/yr
• Insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$70
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$434
• Net cashflow: $263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,735

Max offer price $211,840

Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,960
• Closing costs: $6,355
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
19405 Bear Grass Dr Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1495	$1,760	$1.18	43d	1	0.77mi
18721 Quiet Range Dr Elgin, TX	3.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1773	$2,085	$1.18	1d	1	0.77mi
18316 Stellers Sea St Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1076	$2,045	$1.90	19d	1	0.84mi
14508 Wahlbergs Way Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1076	$2,045	$1.90	11d	1	0.87mi
13817 County Line Rd Elgin, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	937	$1,890	$2.02	1d	6	0.92mi
18200 Papuan Cv Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1402	$1,900	$1.36	3d	1	0.96mi
101 Bandara Woods Blvd Elgin, TX	3.0	2.0	1499	$1,769	$1.18	15d	1	1.20mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $70 · $840/yr

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $211,840 Active 48 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $211,840 Active 47 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $211,840 Active 46 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $211,840 Active 45 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $211,840 Active 43 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $211,840 Active 39 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $211,840 Active 38 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $211,840 Active 37 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $211,840 Active 34 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $211,840 Active 33 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $211,840 Active 32 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $211,840 Active 31 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $211,840 Active 30 DOM
14. 2026-05-01
    listed $211,840 Active 1004-char remark
15. 2026-04-28
    listed $211,840 Active 998-char remark

    Show marketing remark (998 chars)

    157 Daylily Drive combines charm, smart design, and added curb appeal thanks to its alley-access lot, placing the focus on a welcoming front elevation in Harvest Ridge, Elgin's award-winning master-planned community. This one-story home features a rear detached shed, rear covered patio, and a thoughtfully designed interior. The open concept L-shaped kitchen highlights Miami White silestone countertops, 42-inch upper cabinets, sleek black appliances, and a charming window just above the single basin sink that adds the perfect amount of warmth into the space. The primary suite offers a walk-in closet, walk-in shower, and silestone vanities. Enjoy other amazing highlights such as natural light throughout the home, and walk-in closets in the secondary bedrooms. Live where community comes to life with resort-style amenities, fishing ponds, pickleball courts, and a full-time Lifestyle Director planning year-round events, plus the convenience of an on-site elementary school just steps away.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,219 · $102/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,877 · $323/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,658/yr (+$222/mo · 218.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,817
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,866
• − Property taxes: −$1,219
• − Insurance: −$1,059
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,985
• − Management: −$1,985
• − HOA: −$840
• − Depreciation: −$6,163
• Taxable loss: −$300
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$72
• After-tax cash flow: $3,229/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Elgin ISD
• NCES district ID: 4818360
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $55,176
• Composite: 19.62/100
• National rank: #8749
• State rank: #741 of 826 in TX

Livability — Elgin

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #167
• US rank: #4404

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bastrop County · 68,601 people
• City population: 27,860
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• Population (ZIP): 30,411
• Household income: $98,534
• Rent vs Own: 18.9% rent · 81.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 235.0

Population outlook (Bastrop County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 94,260 people
• By 2030: 101,355 · +7.5%
• By 2040: 115,578 · +22.6%
• By 2050: 129,464 · +37.3%
• By 2075: 168,068 · +78.3%
• By 2100: 194,857 · +106.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 38% Two or more races 19% Black 11% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 38%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 63% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Bastrop

• 2024 margin: R (+18.4) · D 40.2% · R 58.6% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -18.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.4 2020: R+13.8 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+8.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 29.47%
• Current HPI: 416.87
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.12%
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Listed $211,840 Unlock MLS
• 2026-04-28 Listed $211,840 Zillow

Property tax history

-20.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,219 · -40.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.