5301 Cosmic Pl · Pahrump, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quaint and cozy in immaculate condition! When you walk into this 3 bed/2 bath split floorplan you will feel right at home! Pride of ownership shows throughout! Master bedroom features a lot of space, access to the backyard and a big walk-in closet. The laundry room has it's own separate sink and the house is even equipped with an R/O system! The 2nd and 3rd bedrooms are good size and ready for your family. This fully fenced property also features a nice sized shed in the back yard. Call me today for your own private viewing! You will not be disappointed!
Key facts
- Covered patio
- 2 car garage
- Dining nook
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount noted
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with inside entrance; Private garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Photovoltaics: none; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Single family property; Resale property; Flat roof
- Construction: Flat roof; Resale construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Private yard; Porch; Patio; Chain link fencing around back yard; Desert landscaping and landscaped grounds; Has view; Faces west
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar/counter; Breakfast nook/eating area; Pantry; Tile countertops; Tile flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary downstairs); Bedrooms include ceiling lights and closets
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with separate tub and separate shower; Double sink
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Blinds and double-pane windows; Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with sink and cabinets; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-336 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (22.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (33.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Manse Elementary School (math 21% / reading 36%, grade F, #214 of 402 statewide, top 53%, 515 students, 100% FRL); Rosemary Clarke Middle School (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #62 of 109 statewide, top 58%, 1,060 students, 100% FRL); Pahrump Valley High School (math 14% / reading 41%, grade F, #74 of 131 statewide, top 56%, 1,362 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 54% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 655 active listings in the ZIP.
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.45%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 12.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $328,355
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -19.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5610 N Linda St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,633 (-1%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $183 | 82 |
| 626 Kimberly Ave | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,506 (-8%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $206 | 48 |
| 5081 Jerry Ave | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,766 (+7%) | 1mo | $435,000 | $246 | 48 |
| 1781 W River Run St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,678 (+2%) | 22mo | $345,000 | $206 | 44 |
| 5081 Riata Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,884 (+14%) | 11mo | $191,000 | $101 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-64,366
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.13×
- Total profit
- $-83,729
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89060
- Home prices YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 655
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,769 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,328/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $-336
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-186 | -5% $-261 | +0% $-336 | +5% $-411 | +10% $-486 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-476 | -5% $-406 | +0% $-336 | +5% $-266 | +10% $-196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-202 | -0.5pp $-268 | base $-336 | +0.5pp $-405 | +1.0pp $-474 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $265,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-17price $265,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $270,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $270,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-03price $270,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $275,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-18price $275,000 973-char remark
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2026-04-20$300,000 Active 973-char remark
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2021-12-20soldstatus $270,000 Closed 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Quaint and cozy in immaculate condition! When you walk into this 3 bed/2 bath split floorplan you will feel right at home! Pride of ownership shows throughout! Master bedroom features a lot of space, access to the backyard and a big walk-in closet. The laundry room has it's own separate sink and the house is even equipped with an R/O system! The 2nd and 3rd bedrooms are good size and ready for your family. This fully fenced property also features a nice sized shed in the back yard. Call me today for your own private viewing! You will not be disappointed!
-
2021-12-20soldstatus $270,000
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Quaint and cozy in immaculate condition! When you walk into this 3 bed/2 bath split floorplan you will feel right at home! Pride of ownership shows throughout! Master bedroom features a lot of space, access to the backyard and a big walk-in closet. The laundry room has it's own separate sink and the house is even equipped with an R/O system! The 2nd and 3rd bedrooms are good size and ready for your family. This fully fenced property also features a nice sized shed in the back yard. Call me today for your own private viewing! You will not be disappointed!
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2021-12-20soldstatus $270,000
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Quaint and cozy in immaculate condition! When you walk into this 3 bed/2 bath split floorplan you will feel right at home! Pride of ownership shows throughout! Master bedroom features a lot of space, access to the backyard and a big walk-in closet. The laundry room has it's own separate sink and the house is even equipped with an R/O system! The 2nd and 3rd bedrooms are good size and ready for your family. This fully fenced property also features a nice sized shed in the back yard. Call me today for your own private viewing! You will not be disappointed!
-
2021-11-17status Pending 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Quaint and cozy in immaculate condition! When you walk into this 3 bed/2 bath split floorplan you will feel right at home! Pride of ownership shows throughout! Master bedroom features a lot of space, access to the backyard and a big walk-in closet. The laundry room has it's own separate sink and the house is even equipped with an R/O system! The 2nd and 3rd bedrooms are good size and ready for your family. This fully fenced property also features a nice sized shed in the back yard. Call me today for your own private viewing! You will not be disappointed!
-
2021-11-14$264,900 Active 560-char remark
Show marketing remark (560 chars)
Quaint and cozy in immaculate condition! When you walk into this 3 bed/2 bath split floorplan you will feel right at home! Pride of ownership shows throughout! Master bedroom features a lot of space, access to the backyard and a big walk-in closet. The laundry room has it's own separate sink and the house is even equipped with an R/O system! The 2nd and 3rd bedrooms are good size and ready for your family. This fully fenced property also features a nice sized shed in the back yard. Call me today for your own private viewing! You will not be disappointed!
-
2016-08-11soldstatus $145,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Nice 3 bed 2 bath conventional home on . 33 of an acre in nice , quiet area. Tile -carpet flooring , tile countertops . arcadia doors to backyard from masterbedroom, bedroom 3 , and out from dining room. Lots of custom cabinets. 2 car finished garage with auto opener. Fully fenced with 5' chain link.
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2016-08-11soldstatus $145,000
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Nice 3 bed 2 bath conventional home on . 33 of an acre in nice , quiet area. Tile -carpet flooring , tile countertops . arcadia doors to backyard from masterbedroom, bedroom 3 , and out from dining room. Lots of custom cabinets. 2 car finished garage with auto opener. Fully fenced with 5' chain link.
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2016-07-31historical Contingent Offer
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Nice 3 bed 2 bath conventional home on . 33 of an acre in nice , quiet area. Tile -carpet flooring , tile countertops . arcadia doors to backyard from masterbedroom, bedroom 3 , and out from dining room. Lots of custom cabinets. 2 car finished garage with auto opener. Fully fenced with 5' chain link.
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2016-07-20$165,000 Active
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Nice 3 bed 2 bath conventional home on . 33 of an acre in nice , quiet area. Tile -carpet flooring , tile countertops . arcadia doors to backyard from masterbedroom, bedroom 3 , and out from dining room. Lots of custom cabinets. 2 car finished garage with auto opener. Fully fenced with 5' chain link.
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2010-11-10soldstatus $99,900 Sold
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2010-10-31status Pending
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2010-07-20Contingent Offer
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2007-03-05soldstatus $239,900
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2007-03-05soldstatus $239,900
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2006-08-18$239,900
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2004-09-28soldstatus $31,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,328 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,564 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$235/yr (+$20/mo · 17.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,328
- − Insurance
- −$2,792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,698
- − Management
- −$1,698
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$8,846
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,123
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nye County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200360
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,447
- Composite
- 22.43/100
- National rank
- #8110
- State rank
- #16 of 17 in NV
Livability — Pahrump
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #9226
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pahrump, NV
- County
- Nye County · 47,491 people
- City population
- 47,491
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,864
- Household income
- $50,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 170.0
Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,727 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 33,952 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 29,393 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 21,122 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 14,400 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% Black 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nye
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.93%
- Current HPI
- 312.3758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+730.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $265,000 GLVAR
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $270,000 GLVAR
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $275,000 GLVAR
- 2026-04-20 Listed $300,000 GLVAR
- 2021-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-20 Sold (MLS) $270,000 GLVAR
- 2021-11-17 Pending — GLVAR
- 2021-11-14 Listed $264,900 GLVAR
- 2016-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-11 Sold (MLS) $145,000 GLVAR
- 2016-07-31 Contingent — GLVAR
- 2016-07-20 Listed $165,000 GLVAR
- 2010-11-10 Sold (MLS) $99,900 GLVAR
- 2010-10-31 Pending — GLVAR
- 2010-07-20 Listed — GLVAR
- 2007-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $239,900 Public Records
- 2007-03-05 Sold (MLS) $239,900 GLVAR
- 2006-08-18 Listed $239,900 GLVAR
- 2004-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $31,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,328 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…