Triplex
3463 S Grand Blvd · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Key facts
- 3,497 sq ft lot
- Built 1912
- Listed 62 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $874 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $291/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $306k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,644/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $325k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.53%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,772
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- 37.26%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3530 Michigan Ave | 0.46mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 2,406 (-2%) | 5mo | $139,900 | $58 | 59 |
| 2920 Miami St | 0.60mi | 8/2.0 (-1) | 2,346 (-4%) | 20mo | $155,000 | $66 | 44 |
| 3744 Michigan Ave | 0.58mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 2,160 (-12%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $65 | 34 |
| 3421 Osage St | 0.68mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 2,744 (+12%) | 7mo | $219,000 | $80 | 29 |
| 4027 Bamberger Ave | 0.73mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 2,080 (-15%) | 11mo | $209,900 | $101 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $9,990
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $110,137
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63118
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 22.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,644 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,976/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$765
- Net cashflow
- $874
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | — | $3,645 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $1,215 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $1,215 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $1,215 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,644 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $325,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-18$325,000 Active
-
2026-04-18historical $325,000
-
2023-03-31historical
-
2022-11-22price $250,000
-
2022-08-30status Active
-
2022-04-20historical
-
2022-04-20status Active
-
2022-04-19historical
-
2022-01-02status Active
-
2021-12-06historical
-
2021-06-16$225,000 Active
-
2021-06-01historical
-
2021-05-27soldstatus $165,000
-
2014-11-05soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,976 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,152 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,176/yr (+$98/mo · 59.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$1,976
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,498
- − Management
- −$3,498
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $5,471
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,313
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,179/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,913
- Household income
- $57,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1495.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.51%
- Current HPI
- 171.5963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.89%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+460.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Listed $325,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $325,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-31 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-22 Price Changed $250,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-30 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-20 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-20 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-19 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-02 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-06 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-16 Listed $225,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-01 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2014-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+53.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,976 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…