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252 Newbury #58
B+ Composite 75.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

252 Newbury #58 · Peabody, MA 01960
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 830 sqft · Manufactured · 17 Days on market
Built 1975 Good condition Est $208k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NICELY UPDATED UNIT SET ON LARGE CORNER LOT IN A VERY DESIRABLE PARK. .NEWER FURNACE, OIL TANK, KITCHEN CABINETS AND MUCH MORE. .. LARGE MUD ROOM ADDITION. FULL SIZE WASHER AND DRYER STORAGE SHED WITH ELECTRICITY PARK RENT ONLY 270 A MONTH INCLUDES, TAXES, WATER AND SEWER, TRAH REMOVAL AND COMMON AREA MAINTENANCE . A PLEASURE TO SHOW 1975 SKYLINE 64X12 PLUS ADDITION, SERIAL NUMBER 0110-6797

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Large corner lot
  • Kitchen cabinets

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOTNEWER FURNACEKITCHEN CABINETSLARGE MUD ROOM ADDITION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community offers access to public transportation, shopping, medical facility, laundromat, highway access, house of worship, and public school; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved off-street parking; 2 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Mobile home; Corner, level lot; Public road frontage
  • Construction: Approximately built (year per owner); Irregular foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; On-site storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (approximately 11' x 12'); Second bedroom on the first floor (approximately 10' x 9')
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Dual cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $970 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.4% in Peabody — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#44 in MA, #2,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
  • Peabody (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #233 of 302 in MA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,126 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.59%
Cash-on-cash
22.47%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$207,500
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
252 Newbury #1 0.04mi 2/1.0 880 (+6%) 1mo $290,000 $330 87
251 Newbury #1 0.09mi 2/1.0 840 (+1%) 9mo $235,000 $280 87
251 Newbury #7 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 840 (+1%) 7mo $265,000 $315 78
261 Newbury St Unit 88C 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (+1%) 11mo $209,999 $250 78
261 Newbury Unit 82c 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 850 (+2%) 8mo $120,000 $141 72
286 Newbury #52 0.28mi 2/1.0 900 (+8%) 4mo $165,000 $183 70
261 Newbury Unit 123 C 0.27mi 2/1.0 780 (-6%) 10mo $115,000 $147 69
261 Newbury Unit 33B 0.27mi 2/1.5 900 (+8%) 5mo $150,000 $167 68
278 Newbury St #66 0.22mi 2/1.0 768 (-8%) 13mo $219,000 $285 66
286 Newbury #110 0.27mi 2/2.0 925 (+11%) 1mo $275,000 $297 64
252 Newbury #38 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 720 (-13%) 18mo $150,000 $208 56
261 Newbury Unit 94C 0.26mi 2/1.0 720 (-13%) 15mo $8,000 $11 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$23,496
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$67,932
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01960

Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,845 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,774/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$597
Net cashflow
$970

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,617
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,097 -5% $1,033 +0% $970 +5% $906 +10% $842
Rent -10% $745 -5% $857 +0% $970 +5% $1,082 +10% $1,194
Rate -1.0pp $1,063 -0.5pp $1,017 base $970 +0.5pp $922 +1.0pp $873

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
286 Newbury St Unit 114 Peabody, MA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 44d 1 0.28mi
1000 Crane Brook Way Peabody, MA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1137 $3,184 $2.80 0d 25 0.42mi
128 Newbury St Peabody, MA 3.0 1.0–2.0 955 $3,554 $3.72 0d 14 1.23mi
180 Newbury St Danvers, MA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $3,342 $3.33 0d 9 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricestatusdays on market $184,900 Price Changed 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 400-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 New 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    remarks 368-char remark
  13. 2026-06-04
    listed $199,900 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,137
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,774
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,731
− Management
−$2,731
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$9,241
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,218
After-tax cash flow
$9,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with updated interiors and systems. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior and new flooring would further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and overall appearance.
  • Both Update flooring — Fresh carpet or hardwood flooring can significantly increase appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and overall appearance.
  • Both Update flooring — Fresh carpet or hardwood flooring can significantly increase appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peabody
NCES district ID
2509360
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$64,022
Composite
31.23/100
National rank
#6033
State rank
#233 of 302 in MA

Livability — Peabody

Score
79/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#2070

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peabody, MA
County
Essex County · 632,995 people
City population
54,474
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
54,474
Household income
$96,501
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
2570.0

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
840,920 people
By 2030
872,201 · +3.7%
By 2040
927,918 · +10.3%
By 2050
970,206 · +15.4%
By 2075
1,077,993 · +28.2%
By 2100
1,103,053 · +31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Russian 6% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Essex

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.2% · R 38.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
0.0pp no change · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -565.60%
Current HPI
285.9699
Rent YoY
▼ -0.91%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $199,900 MLS PIN

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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