115 Derhake Rd · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed 1 bath 1 car detached garage. Seller will make no repairs or provide any inspections or warranties. For faster response time submit Special Sales Contract with proof of funds or preapproval and copy of earnest money check payable to Listing agent Broker. Seller response may be a week or more but usually less, please allow for this in the contract acceptance date. Earnest money should be 3% or $1000 whichever is greater. Addendums and Escrow information will be issued with an accepted offer. Upon acceptance, addendums and cashiers check or money order for earnest money, payable to sellers escrow company, must be delivered to listing agents office within 24 hours. If there are multiple offers, seller can accept or counter any offer they choose, regardless of the order received, presented or countered
Key facts
- 7,535 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Stucco and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($932/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Robinwood Elementary (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #962 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 312 students, 99% FRL); Cross Keys Middle (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #379 of 391 statewide, top 97%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $87k; list at $150k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.22%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Derhake Rd | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $177 | 94 |
| 210 Derhake Rd | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $139 | 93 |
| 1185 Saint Matthew Dr | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 5mo | $128,000 | $162 | 88 |
| 1210 Saint Richard Dr | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 791 (-0%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $145 | 86 |
| 190 Saint Baptista Ln | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+9%) | 4mo | $119,900 | $139 | 55 |
| 630 Saint Christina Ln | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (+9%) | 4mo | $174,900 | $202 | 54 |
| 190 Lynn Meadows Ln | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+9%) | 0mo | $119,900 | $139 | 53 |
| 116 Barto Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 836 (+6%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $138 | 50 |
| 1130 Saint Francois St | 0.63mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 728 (-8%) | 4mo | $89,900 | $123 | 48 |
| 16 Montclair Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 864 (+9%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $116 | 40 |
| 500 S Saint Jacques St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 892 (+13%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $174 | 39 |
| 485 S Saint Jacques St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 890 (+12%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $174 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-17,653
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,808
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63031
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,521/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $78
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $163 | -5% $120 | +0% $78 | +5% $35 | +10% $-7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $25 | +0% $78 | +5% $130 | +10% $183 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $116 | base $78 | +0.5pp $39 | +1.0pp $-1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1600 Washington St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 297 Saint Eugene Ln Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,525 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 135 Saint Maurice Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 50 Lynn Meadows Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 221 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 220 Du Bourg Ln Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,150 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 305 S Lafayette St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,384 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 24 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 36 Connolly Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,149 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 241 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,075 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8507 Tally Ho Dr Hazelwood, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1478 | $1,300 | $0.88 | 45d | 5 | 0.83mi |
| 204 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $850 | $1.12 | 9d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,345 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1004 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,375 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1045 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7025 Richwood Ln Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,375 | $1.47 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 263 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,350 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 260 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,623 | $1.49 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,525 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 23 Quick Dr Apt 2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,175 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 21 Quick Dr Apt 3 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 21 Quick Dr Apt 1 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 167 Reeb Ln Florissant, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 3d | 4 | 1.10mi |
| 1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,461 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 155 Reeb Ln Apt 2 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7437 Hazelcrest Dr Unit H Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 9d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7431 Hazelcrest Dr Hazelwood, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,125 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 10 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,290 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,290 | $1.52 | 9d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 493-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13status $150,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 425-char remark
-
2026-06-09$150,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,521 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,521 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,521
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,280
- − Management
- −$1,280
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,595
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$383
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,196
- Household income
- $70,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1279.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.57%
- Current HPI
- 202.7192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+206.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-29 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-13 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-14 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2022): $1,521 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…