3408 Shannon Dr · Violet, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.8/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Dimensions not available. Buyer to verify. 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in Angelique Estates offering approximately 1,598 living sq ft on a 50 x 102 lot. Property is situated in a residential area of Violet with convenient access to local amenities and major roadways. Property sold as-is. Buyer to verify all measurements, zoning, utilities, flood zone, and intended use.
Key facts
- 5,100 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $863 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#269 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 112 units permitted in St. Bernard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Bernard County population projected at +89% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $5k; list at $65k implies a 1092% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.29%
- DSCR
- 3.73
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,405
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -62.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3309 Lakewood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+2%) | 1mo | $222,750 | $137 | 71 |
| 2900 Oak Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+0%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $156 | 68 |
| 3405 Acorn Dr | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 1,575 (-1%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $32 | 68 |
| 3012 Oak Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,505 (-6%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $132 | 66 |
| 3108 Oak Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,513 (-5%) | 12mo | $168,000 | $111 | 59 |
| 2417 Edgar Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-9%) | 9mo | $237,000 | $163 | 48 |
| 2817 Meadow Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (-12%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $171 | 48 |
| 2900 Meadow Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (+6%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $133 | 47 |
| 3421 Moss Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,442 (-10%) | 17mo | $199,000 | $138 | 45 |
| 3500 Meraux Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,769 (+11%) | 18mo | $80,000 | $45 | 42 |
| 3200 Oak Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+13%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $125 | 41 |
| 2901 Lakewood Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,372 (-14%) | 14mo | $187,000 | $136 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $44,518
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 60.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.04×
- Total profit
- $109,868
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70092
- Home prices YoY
- -3.7%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,766 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $863
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $900 | -5% $882 | +0% $863 | +5% $845 | +10% $826 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $724 | -5% $793 | +0% $863 | +5% $933 | +10% $1,003 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $896 | -0.5pp $880 | base $863 | +0.5pp $846 | +1.0pp $829 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 Francis St Violet, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 10002 Claiborne St Violet, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,875 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-31$65,000 Active 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
Dimensions not available. Buyer to verify. 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in Angelique Estates offering approximately 1,598 living sq ft on a 50 x 102 lot. Property is situated in a residential area of Violet with convenient access to local amenities and major roadways. Property sold as-is. Buyer to verify all measurements, zoning, utilities, flood zone, and intended use.
-
2026-03-31$65,000 Active 374-char remark
Show marketing remark (374 chars)
Dimensions not available. Buyer to verify. 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in Angelique Estates offering approximately 1,598 living sq ft on a 50 x 102 lot. Property is situated in a residential area of Violet with convenient access to local amenities and major roadways. Property sold as-is. Buyer to verify all measurements, zoning, utilities, flood zone, and intended use.
-
2017-11-27soldstatus $5,452
-
2000-08-11soldstatus $56,500
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2000-08-09soldstatus $56,500
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2000-05-18$61,000
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2000-05-18$61,000
-
1996-09-30soldstatus $68,000
-
1996-07-05$69,500
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1996-07-05$69,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,173
- − Insurance
- −$1,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,696
- − Management
- −$1,696
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $9,976
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,394
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Violet
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #19722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Violet, LA
- City population
- 6,784
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,784
Population outlook (St. Bernard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,513 people
- By 2030
- 77,768 · +16.9%
- By 2040
- 101,296 · +52.3%
- By 2050
- 125,770 · +89.1%
- By 2075
- 188,160 · +182.9%
- By 2100
- 239,339 · +259.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Iranian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Bernard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.1pp toward D · 2008: -45.4pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.7 2008: R+45.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.36%
- Current HPI
- 218.6728
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-6.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $65,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-31 Listed $65,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $5,452 Public Records
- 2000-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 2000-08-09 Sold (MLS) $56,500 GSREIN
- 2000-05-18 Listed $61,000 GSREIN
- 2000-05-18 Listed $61,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1996-09-30 Sold (MLS) $68,000 GSREIN
- 1996-07-05 Listed $69,500 GSREIN
- 1996-07-05 Listed $69,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+17.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,173 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…