164 Gill Hall Rd · Jefferson Hills, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.2/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,899
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well Maintained 3 Bedroom Brick Cape Cod w/ Many Updates! Newer Roof & Furnace Updated Windows w/ Warranty Knotty Pine Gameroom Pittsburgh Potty & Shower in Basement Area Level Entry Large Barn Shed in Back Yard A Super Buy!!!
Key facts
- New lighting
- New wiring
- Fully waterproofed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Brick exterior; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Finished walk-out basement; Resale property
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove; Microwave; Dishwasher; Some gas appliances
- Bedrooms: Upper bedroom (13x12); Upper bedroom (9x12); Main/other bedroom area (11x11)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Multi-pane windows with screens; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry room (20x11)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-421 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (32.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (35.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.1% in Jefferson Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#397 in PA, #3,607 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- West Jefferson Hills SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #60 of 539 in PA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $230k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.85%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $391,826
- List price
- $229,899
- Delta
- -41.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Dale St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,212 (+1%) | 15mo | $194,000 | $160 | 68 |
| 324 Tassel Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,225 (+2%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $224 | 62 |
| 395 Christine Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+7%) | 16mo | $330,000 | $258 | 48 |
| 101 Lincoln Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,372 (+15%) | 13mo | $280,000 | $204 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-56,276
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-48,034
- Equity at exit
- $19,877
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15025
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,473 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $-421
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-291 | -5% $-356 | +0% $-421 | +5% $-486 | +10% $-551 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-538 | -5% $-479 | +0% $-421 | +5% $-363 | +10% $-305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-305 | -0.5pp $-363 | base $-421 | +0.5pp $-481 | +1.0pp $-541 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 Village Green Dr Clairton, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $1,604 | $1.53 | 2d | 14 | 0.68mi |
| 100 Garden Gate Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,400 | $1.84 | 2d | 2 | 0.78mi |
| 5833 Curry Rd Apt 1 Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $875 | $0.92 | 8d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,899 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,899 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,899 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,899 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,899 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $229,899 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $229,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$229,900 Active 1702-char remark
-
2026-05-04price $234,999
-
2026-04-27price $239,999
-
2026-04-24price $245,000
-
2026-03-31price $250,000
-
2026-03-24price $260,000
-
2026-03-18price $265,000
-
2026-03-04$269,900 Active
-
2014-07-15soldstatus $118,000
-
2014-07-13price $118,000
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Well Maintained 3 Bedroom Brick Cape Cod w/ Many Updates! Newer Roof & Furnace Updated Windows w/ Warranty Knotty Pine Gameroom Pittsburgh Potty & Shower in Basement Area Level Entry Large Barn Shed in Back Yard A Super Buy!!!
-
2014-07-11price $124,900
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Well Maintained 3 Bedroom Brick Cape Cod w/ Many Updates! Newer Roof & Furnace Updated Windows w/ Warranty Knotty Pine Gameroom Pittsburgh Potty & Shower in Basement Area Level Entry Large Barn Shed in Back Yard A Super Buy!!!
-
2014-07-11soldstatus $118,000
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Well Maintained 3 Bedroom Brick Cape Cod w/ Many Updates! Newer Roof & Furnace Updated Windows w/ Warranty Knotty Pine Gameroom Pittsburgh Potty & Shower in Basement Area Level Entry Large Barn Shed in Back Yard A Super Buy!!!
-
2014-05-01$124,900
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
Well Maintained 3 Bedroom Brick Cape Cod w/ Many Updates! Newer Roof & Furnace Updated Windows w/ Warranty Knotty Pine Gameroom Pittsburgh Potty & Shower in Basement Area Level Entry Large Barn Shed in Back Yard A Super Buy!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,404 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,518 · $293/mo
- Expected delta
- +$114/yr (+$10/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,678
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$3,404
- − Insurance
- −$1,149
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,414
- − Management
- −$1,414
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$9,269
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,225
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Jefferson Hills SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225590
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,796
- Composite
- 53.19/100
- National rank
- #1503
- State rank
- #60 of 539 in PA
Livability — Jefferson Hills
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #3607
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jefferson Hills, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 16,659
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,939
- Household income
- $76,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 572.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.35%
- Current HPI
- 183.858
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.47%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+84.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $229,899 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $229,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $234,999 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $239,999 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $245,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $250,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $260,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $265,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $269,900 West Penn MLS
- 2014-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-13 Price Changed $118,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-07-11 Sold (MLS) $118,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-07-11 Price Changed $124,900 West Penn MLS
- 2014-05-01 Listed $124,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2026): $3,404 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…