572 Mount Vernon Dr · Arnold, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-In Condition w/ Plenty of Room both inside & Out! Updated Kitchen & Baths * Large eat-in Kitchen w/ Custom Cabinetry w/ Butlers Pantry, Stainless Steel Appliances, Luxury Vinyl Tile Flooring, Vinyl Sliding Door to Covered Deck/Rear & Ceiling Fan over Eating Area * Living Room * 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath * Full, Walkout Finished Lower Level w/ Large Family Room, Play Area (could be converted into Bedroom), Den, Full Bath & Storage Room w/ 11' of Closet * Hardwood Flooring in Living Rm, Hall & Stair Treads (Under Bedroom Carpet also) * Most interior Freshly Painted* 6 Panel Doors * Newer HVAC w/ Humidifier (2006) * 7 Ceiling Fans * Radon Mitigation System * Huge, Level Fenced Rear Yard w/ 14'x12' Covered Deck & 15'x14' Concrete Patio * Low Maint Exterior w/ Vinyl Siding, Newer 40 yr Architectural Shingled Roof (2019) & Vinyl Double-Hung Windows (both sashes tilt-in for EZ cleaning) * Garage w/ Double Wide Driveway * Close to Fox School Campus, Hwy 55 / 141 & Shopping and So MUCH MORE!
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Fenced backyard
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,600 (public records); Above-grade finished area from public records: 888; Below-grade finished area from public records: 712; Basement features include full basement with partial finish, 8+ ft pour, bathroom, egress window, walk-up access, radon mitigation and storage space
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Natural gas connected; Phone available; Electricity, sewer and water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Multi/split levels; House structure type
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio and deck; Front porch; Chain link backyard fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total — three on the main level, one on the lower level
- Flooring: Combination of carpet, tile and wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms — one on the main level, one in the lower level (basement)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Fire alarm
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.7% in Arnold — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#396 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Fox C-6 (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #103 of 324 in MO (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fox Elem. (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #662 of 1,115 statewide, top 60%, 380 students, 40% FRL); Fox Sr. High (math 12% / reading 57%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 1,742 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $250k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.11%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,772
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- 6.44%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 667 Washington Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 900 (+1%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $206 | 76 |
| 2287 Tenbrook Rd | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 900 (+1%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $211 | 74 |
| 477 Keller Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 888 (0%) | 2mo | $184,900 | $208 | 69 |
| 2266 Starling Airport Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+8%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 2283 Cessna Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 920 (+4%) | 9mo | $169,900 | $185 | 66 |
| 834 Weedel Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 900 (+1%) | 8mo | $184,900 | $205 | 65 |
| 490 Spruce Ct | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+8%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $182 | 65 |
| 2279 Cessna Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+8%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 491 Oak Ct | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+8%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $193 | 57 |
| 871 Alan Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 912 (+3%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $230 | 52 |
| 616 Wren Dr | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 984 (+11%) | 9mo | $169,900 | $173 | 48 |
| 844 Sun Vly | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+13%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $220 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-29,038
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-10,795
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63010
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,155 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $181
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $252 | +0% $181 | +5% $111 | +10% $40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $11 | -5% $96 | +0% $181 | +5% $266 | +10% $352 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $307 | -0.5pp $245 | base $181 | +0.5pp $117 | +1.0pp $51 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2303 Ida Dr Arnold, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,895 | $1.72 | 0d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2365 Ida Ln Unit 2365 Arnold, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-14$249,900 Active 1023-char remark
-
2021-11-18soldstatus
-
2021-11-16soldstatus Closed 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Move-In Condition w/ Plenty of Room both inside & Out! Updated Kitchen & Baths * Large eat-in Kitchen w/ Custom Cabinetry w/ Butlers Pantry, Stainless Steel Appliances, Luxury Vinyl Tile Flooring, Vinyl Sliding Door to Covered Deck/Rear & Ceiling Fan over Eating Area * Living Room * 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath * Full, Walkout Finished Lower Level w/ Large Family Room, Play Area (could be converted into Bedroom), Den, Full Bath & Storage Room w/ 11' of Closet * Hardwood Flooring in Living Rm, Hall & Stair Treads (Under Bedroom Carpet also) * Most interior Freshly Painted* 6 Panel Doors * Newer HVAC w/ Humidifier (2006) * 7 Ceiling Fans * Radon Mitigation System * Huge, Level Fenced Rear Yard w/ 14'x12' Covered Deck & 15'x14' Concrete Patio * Low Maint Exterior w/ Vinyl Siding, Newer 40 yr Architectural Shingled Roof (2019) & Vinyl Double-Hung Windows (both sashes tilt-in for EZ cleaning) * Garage w/ Double Wide Driveway * Close to Fox School Campus, Hwy 55 / 141 & Shopping and So MUCH MORE!
-
2021-10-18status Pending 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Move-In Condition w/ Plenty of Room both inside & Out! Updated Kitchen & Baths * Large eat-in Kitchen w/ Custom Cabinetry w/ Butlers Pantry, Stainless Steel Appliances, Luxury Vinyl Tile Flooring, Vinyl Sliding Door to Covered Deck/Rear & Ceiling Fan over Eating Area * Living Room * 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath * Full, Walkout Finished Lower Level w/ Large Family Room, Play Area (could be converted into Bedroom), Den, Full Bath & Storage Room w/ 11' of Closet * Hardwood Flooring in Living Rm, Hall & Stair Treads (Under Bedroom Carpet also) * Most interior Freshly Painted* 6 Panel Doors * Newer HVAC w/ Humidifier (2006) * 7 Ceiling Fans * Radon Mitigation System * Huge, Level Fenced Rear Yard w/ 14'x12' Covered Deck & 15'x14' Concrete Patio * Low Maint Exterior w/ Vinyl Siding, Newer 40 yr Architectural Shingled Roof (2019) & Vinyl Double-Hung Windows (both sashes tilt-in for EZ cleaning) * Garage w/ Double Wide Driveway * Close to Fox School Campus, Hwy 55 / 141 & Shopping and So MUCH MORE!
-
2021-10-15$200,000 Active 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Move-In Condition w/ Plenty of Room both inside & Out! Updated Kitchen & Baths * Large eat-in Kitchen w/ Custom Cabinetry w/ Butlers Pantry, Stainless Steel Appliances, Luxury Vinyl Tile Flooring, Vinyl Sliding Door to Covered Deck/Rear & Ceiling Fan over Eating Area * Living Room * 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath * Full, Walkout Finished Lower Level w/ Large Family Room, Play Area (could be converted into Bedroom), Den, Full Bath & Storage Room w/ 11' of Closet * Hardwood Flooring in Living Rm, Hall & Stair Treads (Under Bedroom Carpet also) * Most interior Freshly Painted* 6 Panel Doors * Newer HVAC w/ Humidifier (2006) * 7 Ceiling Fans * Radon Mitigation System * Huge, Level Fenced Rear Yard w/ 14'x12' Covered Deck & 15'x14' Concrete Patio * Low Maint Exterior w/ Vinyl Siding, Newer 40 yr Architectural Shingled Roof (2019) & Vinyl Double-Hung Windows (both sashes tilt-in for EZ cleaning) * Garage w/ Double Wide Driveway * Close to Fox School Campus, Hwy 55 / 141 & Shopping and So MUCH MORE!
-
2021-10-13historical $200,000 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Move-In Condition w/ Plenty of Room both inside & Out! Updated Kitchen & Baths * Large eat-in Kitchen w/ Custom Cabinetry w/ Butlers Pantry, Stainless Steel Appliances, Luxury Vinyl Tile Flooring, Vinyl Sliding Door to Covered Deck/Rear & Ceiling Fan over Eating Area * Living Room * 3 Bedrooms & Full Bath * Full, Walkout Finished Lower Level w/ Large Family Room, Play Area (could be converted into Bedroom), Den, Full Bath & Storage Room w/ 11' of Closet * Hardwood Flooring in Living Rm, Hall & Stair Treads (Under Bedroom Carpet also) * Most interior Freshly Painted* 6 Panel Doors * Newer HVAC w/ Humidifier (2006) * 7 Ceiling Fans * Radon Mitigation System * Huge, Level Fenced Rear Yard w/ 14'x12' Covered Deck & 15'x14' Concrete Patio * Low Maint Exterior w/ Vinyl Siding, Newer 40 yr Architectural Shingled Roof (2019) & Vinyl Double-Hung Windows (both sashes tilt-in for EZ cleaning) * Garage w/ Double Wide Driveway * Close to Fox School Campus, Hwy 55 / 141 & Shopping and So MUCH MORE!
-
2017-09-27soldstatus
-
2017-09-22soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
sold pre-premiere...
-
2017-08-28$130,000
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
sold pre-premiere...
-
2012-03-21soldstatus
-
2012-03-20soldstatus
-
2012-02-07$99,900
-
1999-05-28soldstatus $87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,274 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,424 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,150/yr (+$96/mo · 90.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,068
- − Management
- −$2,068
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$2,073
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$498
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,674/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fox C-6
- NCES district ID
- 2912300
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,849
- Composite
- 37.54/100
- National rank
- #4392
- State rank
- #103 of 324 in MO
Livability — Arnold
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #396
- US rank
- #17082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arnold, MO
- County
- Jefferson County · 108,544 people
- City population
- 34,478
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,478
- Household income
- $79,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,088 people
- By 2030
- 238,365 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 240,156 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 234,651 · -0.2%
- By 2075
- 214,569 · -8.7%
- By 2100
- 179,697 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% American 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -258.53%
- Current HPI
- 190.586
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+185.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $249,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-11-16 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-18 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-15 Listed $200,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-13 Coming Soon $200,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-09-22 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-28 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-03-20 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-07 Listed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,274 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…