404 W Murray Ln · Sikeston, MO 63801

$75,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 837 sqft · Other public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1950 5,662 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.3/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Well-maintained and move-in ready! This 2-bedroom, 1 bath home offers a flexible bonus room with a potential for a 3rd bedroom, or home office. Pride of ownership is evident throughout, making this property an excellent option for first-time homebuyers, those looking to downsize, or investors seeking a strong addition to their rental portfolio. With its functional layout, comfortable living spaces, and endless potential, this home is ready for its next chapter. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!

Key facts

• 5,662 sq ft lot
• Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Seller may consider concessions; Home is listed as an efficiency

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volt electric service; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall unit cooling
• Interior features: Forced air heating; Wall cooling units

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($890 rent vs $75k).
• Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.0% in Sikeston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#319 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Sikeston R-6 (town): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #243 of 324 in MO (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Sikeston Senior High School (math 40% / reading 48%, grade F, #205 of 521 statewide, top 40%, 1,009 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 61% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 123 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Scott County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.19% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.49%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.00%
• DSCR: 1.67
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.22×
• Total profit: $4,533
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.21×
• Total profit: $25,339
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63801

• Home prices YoY: -11.6%
• Active inventory: 168
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $890 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$16 /mo · $192/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$187
• Net cashflow: $263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $558

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $305	-5% $284	+0% $263	+5% $241	+10% $220
Rent	-10% $192	-5% $227	+0% $263	+5% $298	+10% $333
Rate	-1.0pp $300	-0.5pp $282	base $263	+0.5pp $243	+1.0pp $223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1203 - 1207 Lawrence Sikeston, MO	2.0	1.5	1100	$890	$0.81	44d	1	0.68mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   remarks 506-char remark
3. 2026-06-17
   listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $192 · $16/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $728 · $61/mo
• Expected delta: +$535/yr (+$45/mo · 278.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,680
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$192
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$854
• − Management: −$854
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $2,021
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$485
• After-tax cash flow: $2,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sikeston R-6
• NCES district ID: 2928260
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $36,800
• Composite: 27.85/100
• National rank: #6879
• State rank: #243 of 324 in MO

Livability — Sikeston

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #319
• US rank: #14606

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sikeston, MO
• Population (ZIP): 22,121

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 37,964 people
• By 2030: 36,963 · -2.6%
• By 2040: 34,632 · -8.8%
• By 2050: 32,024 · -15.6%
• By 2075: 25,250 · -33.5%
• By 2100: 18,078 · -52.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Black 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.2% · R 79.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+56.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+29.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -18.54%
• Current HPI: 141.0868
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $192 · +28.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.