4812 Avenue · Birmingham, AL 35208

$49,999

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 825 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market

Built 1940 6,969 sqft lot Est $67k · 25% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.3/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Don’t miss this inviting home featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. The main living area offers a welcoming space for relaxing or entertaining, while the kitchen provides everyday functionality with easy flow to the dining area. Enjoy the front porch for morning coffee or evening relaxation, plus a wood deck in the back that is perfect for outdoor dining, grilling, or entertaining. One or more photo(s) was virtually staged.

Key facts

• Wood deck
• Main living area
• Front porch

Tags

• MAIN LIVING AREA
• FRONT PORCH
• WOOD DECK

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size approximately 0.16 acres; Located in subdivision Ivanhoe

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway parking
• Utilities: Public water; Underground utilities; Internet availability unknown
• Home design: Existing property; Single-story living areas (rooms listed at level 1); Siding: vinyl
• Construction: Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Front porch; Open deck; No pool; No patio; No garden/patio; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Electric oven; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub/shower combo
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Vinyl floors; Ceilings: see remarks; Wood-burning fireplace with insert in the living room; No additional interior features listed
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on the main level; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry space described as 'other' (see remarks)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
• Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,249 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.96% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.92%
• Cash-on-cash: 34.40%
• DSCR: 2.53
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $66,825
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4813 Terrace M	0.04mi	2/1.0	842 (+2%)	12mo	$80,000	$95	85
5321 Avenue K	0.33mi	2/1.0	792 (-4%)	8mo	$30,100	$38	71
5115 Avenue P	0.29mi	2/1.0	760 (-8%)	12mo	$24,900	$33	63
5800 Court	0.54mi	2/1.0	860 (+4%)	6mo	$83,700	$97	62
1272 Pineview Rd	0.72mi	2/1.0	816 (-1%)	9mo	$60,000	$74	57
1341 44th St	0.30mi	3/1.0 (+1)	892 (+8%)	13mo	$88,052	$99	57
4944 Court G	0.72mi	2/1.0	869 (+5%)	1mo	$21,000	$24	56
5848 Court Q	0.71mi	2/1.0	800 (-3%)	12mo	$45,000	$56	52
940 47th St	0.48mi	3/1.0 (+1)	916 (+11%)	5mo	$49,000	$53	50
5700 Avenue P	0.49mi	3/1.0 (+1)	936 (+14%)	7mo	$109,000	$116	44
1428 35th St	0.67mi	2/1.0	930 (+13%)	13mo	$75,061	$81	37
5857 Court Q	0.75mi	2/1.0	720 (-13%)	10mo	$60,000	$83	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 34.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.56×
• Total profit: $21,846
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 43.8%
• Equity multiple: 6.11×
• Total profit: $71,582
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35208

• Home prices YoY: -18.1%
• Rents YoY: 7.2%
• Active inventory: 126
• Price-to-rent: 4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $980 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$90 /mo · $1,077/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$206
• Net cashflow: $401

Break-even live

Break-even rent $472

Max offer price $49,999

Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $430	-5% $415	+0% $401	+5% $387	+10% $373
Rent	-10% $324	-5% $363	+0% $401	+5% $440	+10% $479
Rate	-1.0pp $426	-0.5pp $414	base $401	+0.5pp $388	+1.0pp $375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	768	$750	$0.98	45d	1	0.12mi
1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,200	$1.09	25d	1	0.41mi
5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	888	$1,000	$1.13	45d	1	0.44mi
5714 Court M Unit 5720 Birmingham, AL	1.0	1.0	600	$700	$1.17	45d	1	0.49mi
1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	899	$1,037	$1.15	45d	1	0.50mi
5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1029	$1,250	$1.21	45d	1	0.50mi
5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1082	$1,200	$1.11	20d	1	0.51mi
920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	1070	$895	$0.84	4d	1	0.52mi
5725 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	957	$1,073	$1.12	25d	1	0.53mi
1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1068	$1,195	$1.12	45d	1	0.55mi
1045 57th St Birmingham, AL	1.0	1.0	700	$775	$1.11	45d	1	0.55mi
5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	700	$950	$1.36	45d	1	0.55mi
5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	756	$775	$1.03	45d	1	0.56mi
1429 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	1036	$850	$0.82	17d	1	0.56mi
5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1116	$1,250	$1.12	45d	1	0.58mi
4724 Court R Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	1016	$895	$0.88	16d	1	0.59mi
1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	1061	$1,050	$0.99	45d	1	0.59mi
1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.5	1069	$950	$0.89	45d	1	0.61mi
5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	700	$900	$1.29	45d	1	0.61mi
813 46th St Fairfield, AL	2.0	1.0	1100	$825	$0.75	12d	1	0.64mi
1306 35th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,173	$1.07	4d	1	0.67mi
931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.5	1048	$995	$0.95	4d	1	0.67mi
5820 Court Q Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	902	$1,200	$1.33	45d	1	0.70mi
1340 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1116	$1,075	$0.96	45d	1	0.70mi
1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	1103	$1,025	$0.93	45d	1	0.70mi
5832 Court Q Birmingham, AL	3.0	1.0	912	$950	$1.04	46d	1	0.71mi
4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	962	$950	$0.99	45d	1	0.72mi
1528 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	972	$1,073	$1.10	45d	1	0.75mi
1309 41st St Fairfield, AL	3.0	1.0	1070	$1,200	$1.12	45d	1	0.77mi
5503 Myron Massey Blvd Fairfield, AL	3.0	2.0	1119	$1,200	$1.07	45d	1	0.81mi
621 Valley Rd Fairfield, AL	2.0	1.0	935	$900	$0.96	45d	1	0.83mi
4813 Court S Birmingham, AL	3.0	2.0	1118	$1,125	$1.01	45d	1	0.85mi
1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	744	$800	$1.08	45d	1	0.87mi
1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	800	$750	$0.94	4d	1	0.92mi
1532 31st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	839	$850	$1.01	45d	1	0.96mi
708 40th St Fairfield, AL	2.0	1.0	788	$650	$0.82	45d	1	1.00mi
2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	990	$975	$0.98	46d	1	1.01mi
612 26th St SW Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	988	$825	$0.84	45d	1	1.02mi
410 54th St Fairfield, AL	2.0	1.0	1068	$700	$0.66	4d	1	1.05mi
1501 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL	2.0	1.0	772	$800	$1.04	25d	1	1.07mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $49,999 Pending 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-10
   days on market $49,999 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-06-09
   days on market $49,999 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-06-08
   days on market $49,999 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-06-07
   days on market $49,999 Active 16 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $49,999 Active 12 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $49,999 Active 11 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $49,999 Active 10 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $49,999 Active 9 DOM
10. 2026-05-22
    listed $49,999 Active
11. 2022-08-26
    price $790
12. 2021-05-18
    soldstatus $7,237,964

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,077 · $90/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,077 · $90/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,758
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$1,077
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$941
• − Management: −$941
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $4,294
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,031
• After-tax cash flow: $3,785/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Birmingham City
• NCES district ID: 0100390
• Math proficiency: 4% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $31,988
• Composite: 9.49/100
• National rank: #9850
• State rank: #116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #78
• US rank: #10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Birmingham, AL
• County: Jefferson County · 527,445 people
• City population: 210,422
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• Population (ZIP): 13,412
• Household income: $38,561
• Rent vs Own: 35.8% rent · 64.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 573.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 669,185 people
• By 2030: 669,694 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 661,388 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 643,086 · -3.9%
• By 2075: 577,267 · -13.7%
• By 2100: 474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -33.99%
• Current HPI: 153.414
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.24%
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

-99.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
• 2026-05-22 Listed $49,999 Greater Alabama MLS
• 2022-08-26 Price Changed $790 RENT.
• 2021-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $7,237,964 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,077 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.