21 Colonial · Rancho Mirage, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Panoramic Mountain and Double Fairway views - This beautiful FURNISHED Doral plan (located on fee simple property-you own the land) has 4 bedrooms and 4 baths which includes a CASITA with its own private entrance!. 22 SOLAR Panels (seller states electric bill is zero and credits are generated back the grid) , - Newer high efficiency dual-pane windows, New Water Heater. Enter the property through a beautifully landscaped private gated courtyard with access to a spacious backyard, one of the LARGEST in the community! Enjoy unrestricted breathtaking views through the frame-less Kitchen windows overlooking the 6th green of the Westin Pete Dye Resort Course. The amazing, remodeled kitchen features New Stainless Appliances, stunning cabinetry, and an abundance of quartz counter space with tons of storage. The living room includes a fireplace which opens nicely to the dining room and patio area for easy entertainment. Additionally, one of the community pools/spas is located approx. 100ft away from the home! In the main home there are 2 primary ensuites with an additional guest bedroom and bath on the main level – DON’T FORGET THE CASITA! Additional features – home is equipped with 7 mini-splits each with their own controls which provide an efficient, heating, and cooling solution, 3 car-garage with direct access, oversized driveway, inside laundry and so much more! HOA Includes – Exterior/Roof maintenance, grounds maintenance, trash, cable internet, guard gated, and 4 community pools. Just a short golf cart ride to both Mission Hills Clubhouse and Westin Resort. Golf, Fitness, Tennis and Pickleball memberships available – ask for details.
Key facts
- Double fairway views
- Spacious backyard
- Fee simple property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath condo listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $652k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $647k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $647k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.0% in Rancho Mirage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,065 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 529 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,474/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $325k; list at $699k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 4→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.64%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $886,773
- List price
- $699,000
- Delta
- -15.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-125,125
- Equity at exit
- $104,223
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-109,427
- Equity at exit
- $60,437
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92270
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 529
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,474 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$525 /mo · $6,297/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$900
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,360
- Net cashflow
- $-267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Colonial Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2005 | $3,600 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 42 Colonial Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2005 | $3,600 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 65 La Costa Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2736 | $10,500 | $3.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 51 Pebble Beach Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1806 | $6,000 | $3.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 45 Pebble Beach Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3200 | $3,950 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 25 Buckingham Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3332 | $5,800 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 464 Sunningdale Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1751 | $6,000 | $3.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4 Bentley Rd Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3068 | $6,500 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5 Victoria Falls Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3427 | $4,500 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 81 Claret Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2329 | $4,995 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 22 San Leandro Ct Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2563 | $5,500 | $2.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 38 Burgundy Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2726 | $4,500 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 829 Inverness Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2527 | $11,000 | $4.35 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 69 San Marino Cir Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2601 | $3,795 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 136 Royal Saint Georges Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3349 | $13,000 | $3.88 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 134 Royal Saint Georges Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3598 | $12,000 | $3.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 162 Saint Thomas Pl Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2477 | $6,000 | $2.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 913 Inverness Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2690 | $6,800 | $2.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 714 Inverness Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2227 | $3,500 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 108 Clearwater Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2815 | $4,200 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 70895 Ironwood Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2575 | $7,995 | $3.10 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 20 Via Bella Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2367 | $3,995 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 18 Via Bella Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2333 | $5,200 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 21 Via Bella Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2331 | $3,900 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 35018 Mission Hills Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3066 | $7,500 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 35018 Mission Hills Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3066 | $7,500 | $2.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 36726 Jasmine Ln Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2539 | $14,000 | $5.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 645 Hospitality Dr Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2727 | $4,300 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 70955 Sunny Ln Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3623 | $17,500 | $4.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 253 Loch Lomond Rd Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2452 | $11,900 | $4.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 267 Loch Lomond Rd Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3038 | $13,000 | $4.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 34 Paris Way Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2101 | $6,000 | $2.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 278 Loch Lomond Rd Rancho Mirage, CA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2471 | $12,000 | $4.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1 Picasso Ct Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2450 | $5,200 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 96 Via Bella Rancho Mirage, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3006 | $13,000 | $4.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $900 · $10,800/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashelectricinternetcablelandscapingroofpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $699,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $699,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $699,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $699,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $699,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $749,000 1689-char remark
Show marketing remark (1689 chars)
Panoramic Mountain and Double Fairway views - This beautiful FURNISHED Doral plan (located on fee simple property-you own the land) has 4 bedrooms and 4 baths which includes a CASITA with its own private entrance!. 22 SOLAR Panels (seller states electric bill is zero and credits are generated back the grid) , - Newer high efficiency dual-pane windows, New Water Heater. Enter the property through a beautifully landscaped private gated courtyard with access to a spacious backyard, one of the LARGEST in the community! Enjoy unrestricted breathtaking views through the frame-less Kitchen windows overlooking the 6th green of the Westin Pete Dye Resort Course. The amazing, remodeled kitchen features New Stainless Appliances, stunning cabinetry, and an abundance of quartz counter space with tons of storage. The living room includes a fireplace which opens nicely to the dining room and patio area for easy entertainment. Additionally, one of the community pools/spas is located approx. 100ft away from the home! In the main home there are 2 primary ensuites with an additional guest bedroom and bath on the main level – DON’T FORGET THE CASITA! Additional features – home is equipped with 7 mini-splits each with their own controls which provide an efficient, heating, and cooling solution, 3 car-garage with direct access, oversized driveway, inside laundry and so much more! HOA Includes – Exterior/Roof maintenance, grounds maintenance, trash, cable internet, guard gated, and 4 community pools. Just a short golf cart ride to both Mission Hills Clubhouse and Westin Resort. Golf, Fitness, Tennis and Pickleball memberships available – ask for details.
-
2026-03-07$799,000 Active 1689-char remark
Show marketing remark (1689 chars)
Panoramic Mountain and Double Fairway views - This beautiful FURNISHED Doral plan (located on fee simple property-you own the land) has 4 bedrooms and 4 baths which includes a CASITA with its own private entrance!. 22 SOLAR Panels (seller states electric bill is zero and credits are generated back the grid) , - Newer high efficiency dual-pane windows, New Water Heater. Enter the property through a beautifully landscaped private gated courtyard with access to a spacious backyard, one of the LARGEST in the community! Enjoy unrestricted breathtaking views through the frame-less Kitchen windows overlooking the 6th green of the Westin Pete Dye Resort Course. The amazing, remodeled kitchen features New Stainless Appliances, stunning cabinetry, and an abundance of quartz counter space with tons of storage. The living room includes a fireplace which opens nicely to the dining room and patio area for easy entertainment. Additionally, one of the community pools/spas is located approx. 100ft away from the home! In the main home there are 2 primary ensuites with an additional guest bedroom and bath on the main level – DON’T FORGET THE CASITA! Additional features – home is equipped with 7 mini-splits each with their own controls which provide an efficient, heating, and cooling solution, 3 car-garage with direct access, oversized driveway, inside laundry and so much more! HOA Includes – Exterior/Roof maintenance, grounds maintenance, trash, cable internet, guard gated, and 4 community pools. Just a short golf cart ride to both Mission Hills Clubhouse and Westin Resort. Golf, Fitness, Tennis and Pickleball memberships available – ask for details.
-
2025-04-09historical
-
2025-01-27price $849,000
-
2024-11-27$890,000 Active
-
2007-02-24historical
-
2006-10-23$649,000
-
2000-06-02soldstatus $325,000
-
2000-04-04historical
-
2000-01-03$338,975
-
1989-11-09soldstatus $263,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,297 · $525/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,297 · $525/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥114°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,687
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$6,297
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,215
- − Management
- −$6,215
- − HOA
- −$10,800
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable loss
- −$14,824
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,558
- After-tax cash flow
- $352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rancho Mirage
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1065
- US rank
- #25255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rancho Mirage, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 17,563
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,563
- Household income
- $107,364
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 498.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.99%
- Current HPI
- 282.2957
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.72%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+184.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $749,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $799,000 CRMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $849,000 CRMLS
- 2024-11-27 Listed $890,000 CRMLS
- 2007-02-24 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2006-10-23 Listed $649,000 GPSMLS
- 2000-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 2000-04-04 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2000-01-03 Listed $338,975 GPSMLS
- 1989-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $263,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,297 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…