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106 Carmichael Way
D+ Composite 49.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$238,000

106 Carmichael Way · Daytona Beach, FL 32124
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 167 Days on market
Built 2016 1,932 sqft lot $265/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location! Great 2BR 2.5 Bath townhome close to I-95, Daytona Beach Airport, Daytona Speedway, schools, shopping and beaches! Zero maintenance living with fresh paint inside and out. New carpet throughout plus new stackable washer/dryer in the convenient upstairs laundry room. Lovely community pool adjacent to the home - even a bass-stocked pond to relax by on your covered lanai. Chef's kitchen features granite counter tops and stainless appliances - come and live at LPGA Grande Champion in sunny Daytona Beach! Seller is a licensed real estate sales associate in the state of Florida.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Stainless appliances
  • Covered lanai

Tags

COMMUNITY POOLBASS STOCKED PONDCOVERED LANAICHEF'S KITCHENGRANITE COUNTER TOPSSTAINLESS APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $238k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($564/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $238k).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in FL, #867 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D-.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.85%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.99% appreciation · 5.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-19,067
Equity at exit
$46,342
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$23,511
Equity at exit
$39,717

Cash invested: $66,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32124

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,418 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,248
Tax from tax record
$251 /mo · $3,011/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$265
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,358
Max offer price $238,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,500
Closing costs
$7,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Wentworth Grande Dr Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1288 $2,100 $1.63 23d 1 0.04mi
604 Champion Ridge Dr Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1761 $2,299 $1.31 14d 1 0.27mi
2220 Green Valley St Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1540 $2,300 $1.49 23d 1 0.54mi
1139 Belle Isle Ln Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1429 $2,195 $1.54 14d 1 0.62mi
5135 Magnolia Palm Dr Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1487 $2,250 $1.51 11d 1 0.65mi
119 Village Park Dr Daytona Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 725 $1,459 $2.01 23d 3 1.01mi
1122 Cabot Cliffs Dr Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1432 $3,200 $2.23 14d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$265 · $3,180/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $238,000 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $238,000 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $238,000 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $238,000 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $238,000 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $238,000 Active 159 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $238,000 Active 158 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $238,000 Active 157 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 618-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $238,000 Active 156 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $239,000 Active 153 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,000 Active 152 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,000 Active 151 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,000 Active 150 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 149 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 148 DOM
  17. 2026-04-04
    price $239,000 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Location, Location! Great 2BR 2.5 Bath townhome close to I-95, Daytona Beach Airport, Daytona Speedway, schools, shopping and beaches! Zero maintenance living with fresh paint inside and out. New carpet throughout plus new stackable washer/dryer in the convenient upstairs laundry room. Lovely community pool adjacent to the home - even a bass-stocked pond to relax by on your covered lanai. Chef's kitchen features granite counter tops and stainless appliances - come and live at LPGA Grande Champion in sunny Daytona Beach! Seller is a licensed real estate sales associate in the state of Florida.

  18. 2026-01-02
    listed $245,000 Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    Location, Location! Great 2BR 2.5 Bath townhome close to I-95, Daytona Beach Airport, Daytona Speedway, schools, shopping and beaches! Zero maintenance living with fresh paint inside and out. New carpet throughout plus new stackable washer/dryer in the convenient upstairs laundry room. Lovely community pool adjacent to the home - even a bass-stocked pond to relax by on your covered lanai. Chef's kitchen features granite counter tops and stainless appliances - come and live at LPGA Grande Champion in sunny Daytona Beach! Seller is a licensed real estate sales associate in the state of Florida.

  19. 2010-02-08
    soldstatus $3,829,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,011 · $251/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,011 · $251/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,015
− Mortgage interest
−$13,332
− Property taxes
−$3,011
− Insurance
−$1,190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,321
− Management
−$2,321
− HOA
−$3,180
− Depreciation
−$6,924
Taxable loss
−$3,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$783
After-tax cash flow
$1,347/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Daytona Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#867

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Daytona Beach, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
67,539
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,409
Household income
$92,616
Rent vs Own
5.8% rent · 94.2% own
Severe rent burden
54.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Mexico, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.99%
Current HPI
311.7456
Rent YoY
▲ 5.46%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-93.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $3,829,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,011 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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