106 Carmichael Way · Daytona Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$238,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location, Location! Great 2BR 2.5 Bath townhome close to I-95, Daytona Beach Airport, Daytona Speedway, schools, shopping and beaches! Zero maintenance living with fresh paint inside and out. New carpet throughout plus new stackable washer/dryer in the convenient upstairs laundry room. Lovely community pool adjacent to the home - even a bass-stocked pond to relax by on your covered lanai. Chef's kitchen features granite counter tops and stainless appliances - come and live at LPGA Grande Champion in sunny Daytona Beach! Seller is a licensed real estate sales associate in the state of Florida.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Stainless appliances
- Covered lanai
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $238k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($564/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $238k).
- Recommended offer: $209k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in FL, #867 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D-.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.85%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.99% appreciation · 5.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-19,067
- Equity at exit
- $46,342
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $23,511
- Equity at exit
- $39,717
Cash invested: $66,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32124
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,248
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,011/yr
- Insurance
- −$99
- HOA
- −$265
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $47
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,500
- Closing costs
- $7,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Wentworth Grande Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1288 | $2,100 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 604 Champion Ridge Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1761 | $2,299 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2220 Green Valley St Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1139 Belle Isle Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $2,195 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5135 Magnolia Palm Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 119 Village Park Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,459 | $2.01 | 23d | 3 | 1.01mi |
| 1122 Cabot Cliffs Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $3,200 | $2.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $265 · $3,180/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $238,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $238,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $238,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $238,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $238,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $238,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $238,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $238,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 618-char remark
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $238,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $239,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-04-04price $239,000 601-char remark
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
Location, Location! Great 2BR 2.5 Bath townhome close to I-95, Daytona Beach Airport, Daytona Speedway, schools, shopping and beaches! Zero maintenance living with fresh paint inside and out. New carpet throughout plus new stackable washer/dryer in the convenient upstairs laundry room. Lovely community pool adjacent to the home - even a bass-stocked pond to relax by on your covered lanai. Chef's kitchen features granite counter tops and stainless appliances - come and live at LPGA Grande Champion in sunny Daytona Beach! Seller is a licensed real estate sales associate in the state of Florida.
-
2026-01-02$245,000 Active 601-char remark
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
Location, Location! Great 2BR 2.5 Bath townhome close to I-95, Daytona Beach Airport, Daytona Speedway, schools, shopping and beaches! Zero maintenance living with fresh paint inside and out. New carpet throughout plus new stackable washer/dryer in the convenient upstairs laundry room. Lovely community pool adjacent to the home - even a bass-stocked pond to relax by on your covered lanai. Chef's kitchen features granite counter tops and stainless appliances - come and live at LPGA Grande Champion in sunny Daytona Beach! Seller is a licensed real estate sales associate in the state of Florida.
-
2010-02-08soldstatus $3,829,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,011 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,011 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,332
- − Property taxes
- −$3,011
- − Insurance
- −$1,190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,321
- − Management
- −$2,321
- − HOA
- −$3,180
- − Depreciation
- −$6,924
- Taxable loss
- −$3,264
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$783
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Daytona Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #867
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daytona Beach, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- City population
- 67,539
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,409
- Household income
- $92,616
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 54.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Mexico, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.99%
- Current HPI
- 311.7456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.46%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-93.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-02 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $3,829,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,011 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…