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1818 N Maple Ave
B- Composite 65.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$40,000

1818 N Maple Ave · Decatur, IL 62526
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 842 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1920 6,864 sqft lot Est $36k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CASE #132-172433, LD 02/17/2012, SOLD AS IS- UI INSURED, 203K ELIGIBLE. Charming bungalow on a deep lot, mature trees, detached garage and more. on a full unfinished basement. FOR BIDDING AND PROCEDURES call an agent.

Key facts

  • 6,864 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: M-3

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Stone construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Concrete road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Disposal; Gas water heater; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.0% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 90% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $886 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $40k implies a 700% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
23.97%
Cash-on-cash
63.12%
DSCR
3.81
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$36,206
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2050 College St 0.26mi 2/1.0 839 (-0%) 5mo $36,000 $43 83
2148 N Graceland Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 864 (+3%) 3mo $37,000 $43 83
909 W Cushing St 0.28mi 2/1.0 838 (-0%) 5mo $32,000 $38 82
1920 Gebhart Ct 0.20mi 2/1.0 873 (+4%) 4mo $52,000 $60 81
1429 Walnut Grove Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 884 (+5%) 1mo $35,000 $40 74
2064 N Union St 0.42mi 2/1.0 804 (-4%) 0mo $11,500 $14 73
67 Maple Ct 0.36mi 2/1.0 952 (+13%) 1mo $64,500 $68 61
837 W Grand Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 780 (-7%) 7mo $17,501 $22 60
1059 Packard St 0.69mi 2/2.0 837 (-1%) 3mo $76,500 $91 60
68 Maple Ct 0.36mi 2/1.0 720 (-14%) 2mo $65,000 $90 58
1356 Huron St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+11%) 5mo $31,500 $34 54
2238 Water St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (+10%) 5mo $77,500 $84 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.9%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$32,364
Equity at exit
$7,379
10-year hold
IRR
66.7%
Equity multiple
7.93×
Total profit
$77,651
Equity at exit
$5,938

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62526

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,055 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $213/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$589

Break-even live

Break-even rent $309
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2148 N Graceland Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $1,195 $1.38 43d 1 0.23mi
1908 N Union St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 704 $899 $1.28 43d 1 0.37mi
1311 N Walnut Grove Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 781 $1,100 $1.41 43d 1 0.48mi
1245 N Union St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1111 $995 $0.90 43d 1 0.58mi
1045 N Monroe St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1094 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 0.64mi
1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 785 $985 $1.25 43d 1 0.74mi
853 N College St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 43d 1 0.83mi
510 E Pierson Ave Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 895 $1,200 $1.34 43d 1 0.89mi
927 E Harrison Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $675 $0.94 21d 1 1.14mi
1091 N Oakcrest Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 672 $950 $1.41 43d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $40,000 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $40,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-05-18
    listed $40,000 Active
  7. 2013-11-16
    historical
  8. 2012-04-05
    soldstatus $5,000 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    CASE #132-172433, LD 02/17/2012, SOLD AS IS- UI INSURED, 203K ELIGIBLE. Charming bungalow on a deep lot, mature trees, detached garage and more. on a full unfinished basement. FOR BIDDING AND PROCEDURES call an agent.

  9. 2012-02-18
    listed $4,500 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    CASE #132-172433, LD 02/17/2012, SOLD AS IS- UI INSURED, 203K ELIGIBLE. Charming bungalow on a deep lot, mature trees, detached garage and more. on a full unfinished basement. FOR BIDDING AND PROCEDURES call an agent.

  10. 2002-12-29
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$213 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$561 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$347/yr (+$29/mo · 162.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,658
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$213
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,013
− Management
−$1,013
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$6,815
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,636
After-tax cash flow
$5,433/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
30,483
Household income
$49,062
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.21%
Current HPI
182.871
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+788.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $40,000 CIBR
  • 2013-11-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-04-05 Sold (MLS) $5,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-18 Listed $4,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-12-29 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-5.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $213 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…