1200 N Church · Layton, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.3/30.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Built 1975
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered open parking
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary (potable) water connected
- Home design: Mobile home; Built and currently standing; Residential use
- Construction: Flat roof
- Exterior features: Covered deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Free-standing range/oven; Refrigerator included; Laminate flooring; Slab foundation (no basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $30k (38.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (38.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in UT, #457 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
- Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: King School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #474 of 585 statewide, top 83%, 511 students, 33% FRL); Central Davis Jr High (math 43% / reading 42%, grade D-, #56 of 138 statewide, top 41%, 1,009 students, 29% FRL); Northridge High (math 24% / reading 43%, grade F, #106 of 171 statewide, top 62%, 1,954 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 67% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.52%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -47.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-18,795
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.57×
- Total profit
- $-35,880
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84041
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 342
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,722 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$1,150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $-134
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1656 N 400 W Layton, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 848 | $1,584 | $1.87 | 14d | 10 | 1.06mi |
| 250 N Adamswood Rd Layton, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $1,755 | $2.11 | 14d | 9 | 1.10mi |
| 540 W 1425 N Layton, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 600 | $1,475 | $2.46 | 13d | 8 | 1.11mi |
| 1225 E Gentile St Layton, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 789 | $1,426 | $1.81 | 13d | 2 | 1.17mi |
| 105 S Main St Layton, UT | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $2,300 | $2.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 488 Elm St Layton, UT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 60 S Main St Layton, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $1,550 | $1.77 | 14d | 3 | 1.27mi |
| 460 E Elm St Unit 3 Layton, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 105 S Fairfield Rd Layton, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,496 | $1.86 | 14d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 1814 N 700 W Layton, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,734 | $2.07 | 14d | 10 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,150 · $13,800/yr
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$49,900 Active
-
2006-03-21historical
-
2005-10-13$19,999
-
2005-04-21soldstatus 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2005-01-13$24,000 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2003-02-28historical
-
2002-04-09$32,000
-
2001-04-23soldstatus
-
2000-12-09$34,900
-
2000-11-25historical
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2000-10-17$25,000
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1994-07-29soldstatus
-
1994-05-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,654
- − Management
- −$1,654
- − HOA
- −$13,800
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable loss
- −$1,683
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davis District
- NCES district ID
- 4900210
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,511
- Composite
- 40.59/100
- National rank
- #3698
- State rank
- #28 of 80 in UT
Livability — Layton
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #457
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Layton, UT
- County
- Davis County · 341,755 people
- City population
- 83,689
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,180
- Household income
- $89,604
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1058.0
Population outlook (Davis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 399,271 people
- By 2030
- 430,528 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 493,485 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 555,187 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 688,589 · +72.5%
- By 2100
- 769,646 · +92.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Davis
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.0% · R 60.8% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.4pp toward D · 2008: -42.3pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+27.5 2016: R+23.3 2012: R+61.8 2008: R+42.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.00%
- Current HPI
- 307.2627
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.30%
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+99.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $49,900 WFRMLS
- 2006-03-21 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2005-10-13 Listed $19,999 WFRMLS
- 2005-04-21 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2005-01-13 Listed $24,000 WFRMLS
- 2003-02-28 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2002-04-09 Listed $32,000 WFRMLS
- 2001-04-23 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2000-12-09 Listed $34,900 WFRMLS
- 2000-11-25 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2000-10-17 Listed $25,000 WFRMLS
- 1994-07-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-05-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $31,878 · +50.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…