3526 2nd Ave · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION INVESTORS OR BUYERS LOOKING FOR THAT FIXER-UPPER! Cute home available with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Home will require some work but with the right vision someone could transform it into a true beauty. Home being SOLD-AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1966
- Listed 137 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.73%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,632
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -54.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3505 2nd St N | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-0%) | 21mo | $110,000 | $115 | 77 |
| 1589 Carver St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (-0%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $125 | 76 |
| 112 9th St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (+7%) | 14mo | $78,000 | $76 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $38,162
- Equity at exit
- $30,738
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $93,336
- Equity at exit
- $50,571
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35061
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $429
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $471 | -5% $450 | +0% $429 | +5% $409 | +10% $388 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $345 | -5% $387 | +0% $429 | +5% $472 | +10% $514 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $460 | -0.5pp $445 | base $429 | +0.5pp $414 | +1.0pp $398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1565 Miles St Dolomite, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 200 Woodward Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,123 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 216 Pine St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 605 10th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $850 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 400-1 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $1,175 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 436-10 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $890 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 444-12 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $910 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 400-12 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $915 | $1.03 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 424-10 Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,275 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 416-11 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $975 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 424-3 Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 412 Fairfax Dr Unit 436-11 Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $910 | $0.97 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6516 Millard Fuller Rd Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $950 | $0.85 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-03$59,900 Active 276-char remark
Show marketing remark (276 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS OR BUYERS LOOKING FOR THAT FIXER-UPPER! Cute home available with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Home will require some work but with the right vision someone could transform it into a true beauty. Home being SOLD-AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,466
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,072
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,633
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 97% White 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.10%
- Current HPI
- 232.777
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Listed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…