4515 Leschak Ln · Wildwood, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +5.3/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +1.0/15.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$434,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Immaculate Jasmine Designer - Shows Like New! Located in the desirable Village of DeLuna, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath concrete block and stucco Jasmine Designer offers exceptional curb appeal and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Situated on an offset homesite with elevated rock landscaping beds, the property presents a pristine exterior along with a 2-car garage plus an extended golf cart garage, complete with insulated garage doors and an automatic garage screen. A leaded glass front entry welcomes you into the foyer, opening to a bright open-concept floor plan featuring a stylish combination of luxury vinyl flooring in the main l
Key facts
- Screened lanai
- 6,300 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: CDD present; Homestead exemption indicated; Irrigation equipment installed; Directions available
- Financial info: Total monthly association fees reported as $204; Total annual association fees reported as $2,448; Other annual assessment reported
- HOA & community: Has HOA (optional fees); Association amenities include clubhouse, golf course, pickleball courts, pool, recreation facilities; Community features include community mailbox, deed restrictions, dog park, golf carts allowed, pool; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Golf cart garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Public utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Southwest facing; Completed condition; Residential zoning
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on public records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear screened porch; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Landscaped lot; Paved, public-maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water filtration system
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one-level)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Split bedroom plan; Programmable thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Double-pane windows; Inside utility room
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $434k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-965 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (39.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (34.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $264k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $46k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$75k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($408k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.52%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $379,698
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4371 Shannon Loop | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,557 (-1%) | 7mo | $390,000 | $250 | 78 |
| 4280 Canova Draney Loop | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,519 (-3%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $224 | 75 |
| 3449 Keith Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (-5%) | 2mo | $440,000 | $295 | 70 |
| 3359 Brianna Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+1%) | 8mo | $400,000 | $253 | 68 |
| 4280 Gale Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 1mo | $322,000 | $224 | 67 |
| 3422 Randi Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (-5%) | 10mo | $364,500 | $244 | 66 |
| 4416 Homan Loop | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-10%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $233 | 66 |
| 4694 Monica St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+4%) | 12mo | $345,000 | $212 | 65 |
| 4654 Ramsell Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (-6%) | 15mo | $335,000 | $228 | 60 |
| 4788 Rostas Way | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (-3%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $330 | 59 |
| 4414 Cameo Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,547 (-1%) | 12mo | $339,000 | $219 | 56 |
| 4156 Nadira Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,794 (+14%) | 5mo | $435,000 | $242 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $175,341
- Equity at exit
- $391,432
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.64×
- Total profit
- $565,044
- Equity at exit
- $844,138
Cash invested: $121,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32163
- Home prices YoY
- 9.8%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,853 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,279
- Tax from tax record
- −$556 /mo · $6,667/yr
- Insurance
- −$181
- HOA
- −$204
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$599
- Net cashflow
- $-965
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,625
- Closing costs
- $13,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3359 Brianna Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $3,100 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3412 Melissa Ln The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,200 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2910 Monument Way The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $2,600 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $204 · $2,448/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-03-17$434,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,667 · $556/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,667 · $556/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,339
- − Property taxes
- −$6,667
- − Insurance
- −$2,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,739
- − Management
- −$2,739
- − HOA
- −$2,448
- − Depreciation
- −$12,640
- Taxable loss
- −$19,507
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,682
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,901/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #8500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wildwood, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 21,568
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,549
- Household income
- $96,775
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.47%
- Current HPI
- 229.0075
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $434,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+170.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,667 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…