CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1300 Lancelot Ln
B Composite 72.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1300 Lancelot Ln · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31220
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,902 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1977 0.33 ac lot $63/sqft · 38% below area Est $193k · 38% under $64/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming tri-level 3 bedroom 2.5 bath home. Located in the Lake Wildwood Subdivision, convenient to shopping and restaurants! Large family room, formal dining room, TWO decks, and TWO garages! You must see this home before its gone! Call list agent to show!

Key facts

  • Spacious rear patio
  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

PRIVATE CUL-DE-SAC LOTSPACIOUS REAR PATIODEDICATED DINING AREACONVENIENT LAUNDRY SPACELOWER-LEVEL LIVING ROOMGATED ENTRANCE WITH SECURITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community amenities: clubhouse, golf, lake, playground, pool, tennis courts
  • HOA & community: Has association; Association fee includes security, swimming, and other amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached and detached garage; Garage with door opener; 2 total parking spaces; Additional outbuilding and second garage
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Propane available; High speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; House; Resale property; Subdivision: Lake Wildwood; Gated community
  • Construction: Built in 1977; Brick and wood siding construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Double pane windows; Lake access (Wildwood Lake); Cul-de-sac lot

Interior

  • Other: Basement finished area; One basement fireplace
  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Stainless steel appliances; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Multi/split levels; Family room and foyer; Living area reported by owner
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Heritage Elementary School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #917 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 564 students, 100% FRL); Weaver Middle School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #439 of 470 statewide, top 94%, 909 students, 100% FRL); Westside High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #421 of 424 statewide, top 100%, 1,025 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
11.85%
Cash-on-cash
19.85%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$193,077
List price
$120,000
Delta
-37.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1315 Excalibur Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 2,041 (+7%) 0mo $230,000 $113 78
1179 Waluhiyi Trl 0.53mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,950 (+2%) 1mo $240,000 $123 66
2186 Natsihi Trl 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,772 (-7%) 11mo $189,900 $107 59
217 Amalie Dr 0.52mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,939 (+2%) 9mo $180,000 $93 58
1337 Nimue Ln 0.24mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,643 (-14%) 9mo $190,000 $116 54
1487 Queen Anns Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,733 (-9%) 2mo $225,000 $130 52
1698 Greentree Pkwy 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,621 (-15%) 4mo $179,900 $111 52
1337 Nimue Ln 0.24mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,643 (-14%) 9mo $190,000 $116 52
1751 Bridle Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,627 (-14%) 8mo $198,000 $122 51
330 Greentree Pkwy 0.72mi 3/2.0 2,148 (+13%) 5mo $320,000 $149 39
104 Fordham Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,720 (-10%) 11mo $250,000 $145 39
592 Lacebark Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,625 (-15%) 9mo $225,000 $138 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$10,708
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$34,654
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31220

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,807 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,542/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$64
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$556

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,104
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $624 -5% $590 +0% $556 +5% $522 +10% $488
Rent -10% $413 -5% $484 +0% $556 +5% $627 +10% $698
Rate -1.0pp $616 -0.5pp $586 base $556 +0.5pp $525 +1.0pp $493

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
989 Will Scarlet Way Macon, GA 3.0 3.0 2016 $2,200 $1.09 14d 1 0.51mi
861 S Plantation Pkwy Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 22d 1 0.92mi
839 N Confederate Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 2187 $1,700 $0.78 22d 1 0.98mi
6229 Thomaston Rd Macon, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1166 $1,550 $1.33 14d 11 1.15mi
403 Bohannon Dr Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1773 $1,895 $1.07 14d 1 1.46mi
6435 Zebulon Rd Macon, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $1,475 $1.35 14d 29 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$64 · $768/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    status $120,000 Under Contract 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $120,000 Back On Market 9 DOM
  9. 2026-05-14
    status Under Contract 1214-char remark
  10. 2026-05-07
    listed $120,000 New 1214-char remark
  11. 2019-01-22
    soldstatus $95,000
  12. 2019-01-18
    soldstatus $95,000 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Charming tri-level 3 bedroom 2.5 bath home. Located in the Lake Wildwood Subdivision, convenient to shopping and restaurants! Large family room, formal dining room, TWO decks, and TWO garages! You must see this home before its gone! Call list agent to show!

  13. 2019-01-18
    soldstatus $95,000
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Charming tri-level 3 bedroom 2.5 bath home. Located in the Lake Wildwood Subdivision, convenient to shopping and restaurants! Large family room, formal dining room, TWO decks, and TWO garages! You must see this home before its gone! Call list agent to show!

  14. 2018-08-23
    listed $105,000 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Charming tri-level 3 bedroom 2.5 bath home. Located in the Lake Wildwood Subdivision, convenient to shopping and restaurants! Large family room, formal dining room, TWO decks, and TWO garages! You must see this home before its gone! Call list agent to show!

  15. 2018-08-23
    listed $105,000
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    Charming tri-level 3 bedroom 2.5 bath home. Located in the Lake Wildwood Subdivision, convenient to shopping and restaurants! Large family room, formal dining room, TWO decks, and TWO garages! You must see this home before its gone! Call list agent to show!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,542 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,542 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,684
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,542
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,735
− Management
−$1,735
− HOA
−$768
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$5,092
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,222
After-tax cash flow
$5,447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
16,494
Household income
$88,434
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
453.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 43% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.61%
Current HPI
198.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.04%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+14.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2019-01-18 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-01-18 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MGMLS
  • 2018-08-23 Listed $105,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-08-23 Listed $105,000 MGMLS

Property tax history

+16.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,542 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…