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2906-2908 Andrews St Duplex
C Composite 58.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

2906-2908 Andrews St · Rockford, IL 61101
4 bd · 2.4 ba · 924 sqft · MultiFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1960 Average condition Est $195k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

As-is duplex with huge income potential, ready to be rented. One unit features 3 bedrooms and has been modestly updated, while the other unit offers 2 bedrooms. Hardwood floors and laminate flooring run throughout. Spacious 2-car garage provides potential for additional income. Situated on a quiet, large corner lot with a fenced yard. All-brick exterior with the roof replaced in 2015. Don’t miss this opportunity—this one will go fast. Perfect for both new and experienced investors looking for a strong long-term investment.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Fenced yard
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSLAMINATE FLOORINGFENCED YARDALL-BRICK EXTERIORCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Home design: Duplex (Residential income property); 2-unit layout
  • Construction: Brick construction; 924 sq ft finished below grade
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $185k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $197/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kennedy Middle School (math 3% / reading 2%, grade F, #660 of 665 statewide, top 100%, 380 students, 0% FRL); Auburn High School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,936 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,116/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1170% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $185,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.11%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,964
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2906-2908 Andrews St 0.00mi 5/2.5 (+1) 924 (0%) 1mo $195,000 $211 94

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-4,906
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$28,100
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61101

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
14.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,116 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $521 -5% $457 +0% $393 +5% $329 +10% $265
Rent -10% $226 -5% $310 +0% $393 +5% $477 +10% $560
Rate -1.0pp $486 -0.5pp $440 base $393 +0.5pp $345 +1.0pp $296

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3016 School St Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1090 $1,400 $1.28 45d 1 0.11mi
2011 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 45d 1 0.56mi
3834 Preston St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 14d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $185,000 Active
  3. 2025-11-22
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  4. 2025-11-21
    historical
  5. 2025-11-19
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,392
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,031
− Management
−$2,031
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$1,885
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$452
After-tax cash flow
$4,265/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This two-unit property has average condition and moderate rehab needs, with updates to the kitchen and bathroom providing the highest ROI.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate kitchen countertops — laminate countertops need replacement
  • Moderate bathroom vanity — wooden vanity could be replaced with a more modern option

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both replace bathroom vanity — a modern vanity would enhance the bathroom's appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace curtains — new curtains would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen countertops · laminate countertops need replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom vanity · wooden vanity could be replaced with a more modern option Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both replace bathroom vanity — a modern vanity would enhance the bathroom's appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace curtains — new curtains would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,318
Household income
$46,163
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.58%
Current HPI
204.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $185,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-11-22 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-19 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…