Duplex
None · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$390,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investors take notice Fully rented two-family. Property is situated on a dead-end road. The downstairs unit features a newly remodeled 2-bedroom layout with washer dryer hook ups in unit, and basement access. The upstairs offers a larger 3-bedroom unit. This property is conveniently located near public transportation lines and provides easy access to I-95. Beneficial features include individual electric water heaters for each unit and efficient natural gas heating. Additionally, a generous 3-car garage adds further value, providing ample parking and storage space.
Key facts
- Basement access
- Easy access to i-95
- Dead-end road
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 4 garages; Parking lot; Off-street parking; Unassigned parking; 10 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas hot water with 40-gallon tank
- Home design: Multi-family (2-family) property
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot located on a cul-de-sac; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Hot water heating; Natural gas heating fuel
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Full basement; Attic with walk-up access; 10 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on 1st floor; Washer/Dryer in some units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $343/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $390k).
- Recommended offer: $378k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 46 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,200/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1321% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$66k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $280k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.53%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,840
- List price
- $390,000
- Delta
- 11.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Plymouth St | 0.16mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-1%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $131 | 79 |
| 152 Lamberton St | 0.08mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,080 (-2%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $163 | 78 |
| 45 Frank St | 0.50mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,120 (-0%) | 4mo | $430,000 | $203 | 64 |
| 46 Liberty St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,110 (-1%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $152 | 63 |
| 95 Frank St | 0.43mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,243 (+6%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $172 | 60 |
| 20-22 Hurlburt St | 0.15mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,429 (+14%) | 0mo | $362,500 | $149 | 60 |
| 171 Frank St | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 | 1,975 (-7%) | 10mo | $340,000 | $172 | 60 |
| 93 Spring St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,160 (+2%) | 3mo | $505,000 | $234 | 58 |
| 222 Howard Ave | 0.39mi | 5/3.0 | 2,311 (+9%) | 11mo | $470,000 | $203 | 54 |
| 56 Ann St | 0.75mi | 5/3.0 | 2,067 (-3%) | 6mo | $407,000 | $197 | 51 |
| 44 Lambert St | 0.55mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,256 (+6%) | 11mo | $460,000 | $204 | 46 |
| 81 S Water St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,869 (-12%) | 4mo | $475,000 | $254 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.81% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $252,287
- Equity at exit
- $345,937
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.50×
- Total profit
- $709,933
- Equity at exit
- $740,347
Cash invested: $109,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06519
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 16.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,200 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$425 /mo · $5,096/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$882
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,994 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $2,207 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,200 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,500
- Closing costs
- $11,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Morris St Unit 2nd Fl New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,825 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 36 Cassius St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1872 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 34 Cassius St Unit 36 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 461 Howard Ave Unit 3 New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 37 Center St Unit 2 West Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,300 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 203 Main St Unit 2nd fl West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1967 | $2,400 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 271 Elm St Unit 2 West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 17 Treadwell St West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2814 | $2,450 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 87 Union St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 959 | $5,543 | $5.78 | 3d | 16 | 1.30mi |
| 41 Howe St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $3,750 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 43 Howe St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1995 | $4,995 | $2.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 395 Crown St New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2889 | $7,195 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 280 3rd Ave Unit 2nd fl West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $2,500 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 131 Dwight St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3000 | $6,250 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $390,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $390,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $390,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $390,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $390,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $390,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $390,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $390,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $390,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $390,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $390,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $390,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $390,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $390,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $390,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $390,000 561-char remark
-
2026-05-10$380,000 Active 561-char remark
-
2025-01-28soldstatus $280,000 Closed 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Investors take notice Fully rented two-family. Property is situated on a dead-end road. The downstairs unit features a newly remodeled 2-bedroom layout with washer dryer hook ups in unit, and basement access. The upstairs offers a larger 3-bedroom unit. This property is conveniently located near public transportation lines and provides easy access to I-95. Beneficial features include individual electric water heaters for each unit and efficient natural gas heating. Additionally, a generous 3-car garage adds further value, providing ample parking and storage space.
-
2024-11-01status Under Contract 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Investors take notice Fully rented two-family. Property is situated on a dead-end road. The downstairs unit features a newly remodeled 2-bedroom layout with washer dryer hook ups in unit, and basement access. The upstairs offers a larger 3-bedroom unit. This property is conveniently located near public transportation lines and provides easy access to I-95. Beneficial features include individual electric water heaters for each unit and efficient natural gas heating. Additionally, a generous 3-car garage adds further value, providing ample parking and storage space.
-
2024-10-11$279,000 Active 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Investors take notice Fully rented two-family. Property is situated on a dead-end road. The downstairs unit features a newly remodeled 2-bedroom layout with washer dryer hook ups in unit, and basement access. The upstairs offers a larger 3-bedroom unit. This property is conveniently located near public transportation lines and provides easy access to I-95. Beneficial features include individual electric water heaters for each unit and efficient natural gas heating. Additionally, a generous 3-car garage adds further value, providing ample parking and storage space.
-
2024-10-08historical $279,000 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Investors take notice Fully rented two-family. Property is situated on a dead-end road. The downstairs unit features a newly remodeled 2-bedroom layout with washer dryer hook ups in unit, and basement access. The upstairs offers a larger 3-bedroom unit. This property is conveniently located near public transportation lines and provides easy access to I-95. Beneficial features include individual electric water heaters for each unit and efficient natural gas heating. Additionally, a generous 3-car garage adds further value, providing ample parking and storage space.
-
2003-10-09soldstatus $125,000
-
2003-06-06soldstatus $64,900
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Two family dwelling- offers good income producer some tlc needed- pre qual and addendums needed with all offer
-
2003-01-09$64,900
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Two family dwelling- offers good income producer some tlc needed- pre qual and addendums needed with all offer
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,096 · $425/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,721 · $560/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,625/yr (+$135/mo · 31.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,846
- − Property taxes
- −$5,096
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,032
- − Management
- −$4,032
- − Depreciation
- −$11,345
- Taxable income
- $2,098
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$504
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $49,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1321.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 26% White 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.81%
- Current HPI
- 377.4885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+500.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $390,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $380,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-01-28 Sold (MLS) $280,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-11-01 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2024-10-11 Listed $279,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-10-08 Coming Soon $279,000 Smart MLS
- 2003-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2003-06-06 Sold (MLS) $64,900 Smart MLS
- 2003-01-09 Listed $64,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2023): $5,096 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…