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7658 Linwood Rd
D Composite 43.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$284,900

7658 Linwood Rd · Tuckers Crossroads, TN 37090
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,686 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 398 Days on market
Built 1935 1.50 ac lot $169/sqft · 41% below area Est $481k · 41% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

"COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL" Just off the I40 exit at Linwood - Joins Ritchason Equipment on the backside! Speculators & Investors need to take a look - Old home place was originally built for a school - Some of the 14' ceilings have been lowered - Home needs lots of work but the floors are stable and it could serve many purposes such as a bed & breakfast, daycare and much more - This property has a working septic system installed in 1960, natural gas and city water! Bring your flashlights to view, electricity is not on - This is an Estate so selling as is with no seller paid repairs or price reduction after inspections! Crazy "lowball" offers will not be considered!

Key facts

  • City water
  • Natural gas
  • 1.5 acre lot

Tags

WORKING SEPTIC SYSTEMNATURAL GASCITY WATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wilson County (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #10 of 139 in TN (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Tuckers Crossroads Elementary (math 33% / reading 31%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 381 students, 0% FRL); Lebanon High School (math 10% / reading 45%, grade F, #102 of 332 statewide, top 31%, 1,844 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wilson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,927 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wilson County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 398 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,201 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 398 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.79%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$480,822
List price
$284,900
Delta
-40.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.7%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-60,554
Equity at exit
$42,480
10-year hold
IRR
-27.2%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-88,844
Equity at exit
$24,633

Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37090

Home prices YoY
-19.0%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,342 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,494
Tax est. 1.5%
$356 /mo · $4,274/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$-119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,492
Max offer price $267,725
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $78 -5% $-20 +0% $-119 +5% $-217 +10% $-316
Rent -10% $-304 -5% $-211 +0% $-119 +5% $-26 +10% $66
Rate -1.0pp $25 -0.5pp $-46 base $-119 +0.5pp $-193 +1.0pp $-268

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,225
Closing costs
$8,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $284,900 Active 398 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $284,900 Active 395 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $284,900 Active 394 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $284,900 Active 393 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $284,900 Active 392 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $284,900 Active 390 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $284,900 Active 386 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $284,900 Active 385 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $284,900 Active 384 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $284,900 Active 379 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $284,900 Active 378 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $284,900 Active 377 DOM
  13. 2026-05-15
    price $284,900 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    "COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL" Just off the I40 exit at Linwood - Joins Ritchason Equipment on the backside! Speculators & Investors need to take a look - Old home place was originally built for a school - Some of the 14' ceilings have been lowered - Home needs lots of work but the floors are stable and it could serve many purposes such as a bed & breakfast, daycare and much more - This property has a working septic system installed in 1960, natural gas and city water! Bring your flashlights to view, electricity is not on - This is an Estate so selling as is with no seller paid repairs or price reduction after inspections! Crazy "lowball" offers will not be considered!

  14. 2026-02-08
    price $289,900 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    "COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL" Just off the I40 exit at Linwood - Joins Ritchason Equipment on the backside! Speculators & Investors need to take a look - Old home place was originally built for a school - Some of the 14' ceilings have been lowered - Home needs lots of work but the floors are stable and it could serve many purposes such as a bed & breakfast, daycare and much more - This property has a working septic system installed in 1960, natural gas and city water! Bring your flashlights to view, electricity is not on - This is an Estate so selling as is with no seller paid repairs or price reduction after inspections! Crazy "lowball" offers will not be considered!

  15. 2025-11-15
    price $294,900 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    "COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL" Just off the I40 exit at Linwood - Joins Ritchason Equipment on the backside! Speculators & Investors need to take a look - Old home place was originally built for a school - Some of the 14' ceilings have been lowered - Home needs lots of work but the floors are stable and it could serve many purposes such as a bed & breakfast, daycare and much more - This property has a working septic system installed in 1960, natural gas and city water! Bring your flashlights to view, electricity is not on - This is an Estate so selling as is with no seller paid repairs or price reduction after inspections! Crazy "lowball" offers will not be considered!

  16. 2025-05-19
    listed $299,900 Active 701-char remark
    Show marketing remark (701 chars)

    "COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL" Just off the I40 exit at Linwood - Joins Ritchason Equipment on the backside! Speculators & Investors need to take a look - Old home place was originally built for a school - Some of the 14' ceilings have been lowered - Home needs lots of work but the floors are stable and it could serve many purposes such as a bed & breakfast, daycare and much more - This property has a working septic system installed in 1960, natural gas and city water! Bring your flashlights to view, electricity is not on - This is an Estate so selling as is with no seller paid repairs or price reduction after inspections! Crazy "lowball" offers will not be considered!

  17. 2025-01-01
    historical 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (677 chars)

    Located within a stones throw of the Linwood Road exit in the desirable Tuckers Crossroads community. Approximetely 6 miles from the nearest Lebanon exit on I-40, this 1.7 acre property with 282ft of road frontage has potential for many uses! The adjoining property has been approved for commercial use with a sewer exemption for A1 (agricultural). List of allowable uses upon appeal for A1 include but are not limited to: barber or beauty shop, bead and breakfast, church, commercial animal facility, daycare center and medical clinics. Property also has existing natural gas. Buy in the path of progress! For a complete list of uses, look in the documents section of listing.

  18. 2024-08-29
    price $299,000 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (677 chars)

    Located within a stones throw of the Linwood Road exit in the desirable Tuckers Crossroads community. Approximetely 6 miles from the nearest Lebanon exit on I-40, this 1.7 acre property with 282ft of road frontage has potential for many uses! The adjoining property has been approved for commercial use with a sewer exemption for A1 (agricultural). List of allowable uses upon appeal for A1 include but are not limited to: barber or beauty shop, bead and breakfast, church, commercial animal facility, daycare center and medical clinics. Property also has existing natural gas. Buy in the path of progress! For a complete list of uses, look in the documents section of listing.

  19. 2024-07-29
    listed $349,900 Active 677-char remark
    Show marketing remark (677 chars)

    Located within a stones throw of the Linwood Road exit in the desirable Tuckers Crossroads community. Approximetely 6 miles from the nearest Lebanon exit on I-40, this 1.7 acre property with 282ft of road frontage has potential for many uses! The adjoining property has been approved for commercial use with a sewer exemption for A1 (agricultural). List of allowable uses upon appeal for A1 include but are not limited to: barber or beauty shop, bead and breakfast, church, commercial animal facility, daycare center and medical clinics. Property also has existing natural gas. Buy in the path of progress! For a complete list of uses, look in the documents section of listing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,104
− Mortgage interest
−$15,959
− Property taxes
−$4,274
− Insurance
−$1,424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,248
− Management
−$2,248
− Depreciation
−$8,288
Taxable loss
−$6,337
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,521
After-tax cash flow
$97/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilson County
NCES district ID
4704550
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$68,429
Composite
38.33/100
National rank
#4225
State rank
#10 of 139 in TN

Livability — Tuckers Crossroads

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Tuckers Crossroads, TN
County
Wilson County · 144,921 people
Metro
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Population (ZIP)
19,774
Household income
$84,299
Rent vs Own
26.2% rent · 73.8% own
Severe rent burden
227.0

Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
160,409 people
By 2030
176,099 · +9.8%
By 2040
206,769 · +28.9%
By 2050
235,383 · +46.7%
By 2075
302,144 · +88.4%
By 2100
343,710 · +114.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilson

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.1) · D 29.4% · R 69.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.6pp · 2024: -40.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.1 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+44.3 2012: R+41.6 2008: R+36.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.98%
Current HPI
341.0402
Rent YoY
▼ -0.26%
Metro
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $284,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-08 Price Changed $289,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-15 Price Changed $294,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-19 Listed $299,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-29 Price Changed $299,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-29 Listed $349,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $523 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…