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54 Nunnally Pl
D- Composite 37.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$385,000

54 Nunnally Pl · Villa Rica, GA 30180
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,354 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 2005 0.40 ac lot $164/sqft · 14% below area Est $448k · 14% under $91/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Meticulously maintained and thoughtfully designed, this charming home welcomes you with timeless style and modern comfort. A spacious eatin kitchen serves as the heart of the home, complete with a Butler's pantry offering abundant custom cabinetry and countertop space-an ideal blend of function and Southern hospitality. Throughout the main level, 10ft ceilings and characterfilled living spaces create an inviting atmosphere that feels instantly like home. The openconcept family room is bright and airy, featuring 3/4inch solid oak hardwood floors, large windows overlooking the serene, wooded backyard, and a gorgeous, vented woodburning fireplace that anchors the room-perfect for cozy evenings or lively gatherings. Solid oak hardwoods continue through the foyer, hallway, and flex room, adding warmth and continuity. Host with ease in the formal dining room. A generous mainlevel bedroom, thoughtfully positioned beside a full bath, provides an ideal retreat for overnight guests or multigenerational living. Upstairs, you'll find three generous bedrooms and two full baths, including a beautiful owner's suite with tray ceilings and a spacious walkin closet. A large bonus room provides exceptional flexibility, making it perfect for a media room, guest suite. The unfinished basement offers outstanding storage and endless potential for future expansion. Outside, the stunning backyard becomes your private retreat, complete with a lovely deck ideal for relaxing, grilling, or entertaining. A rare and valuable feature of this property is its twogarage setup: a spacious twocar garage on the main level plus a second driveway leading to an additional basementlevel garage-perfect for extra vehicles, a boat, or recreational equipment. From its thoughtful details to its timeless design, this home exudes Southern grace paired with modern comfort.

Key facts

  • Wooded backyard
  • Formal dining room
  • Mainlevel flex space

Tags

EATIN KITCHENOVERSIZED CUSTOM CABINETRYOPENCONCEPT FAMILY ROOMWOODED BACKYARDFORMAL DINING ROOMMAINLEVEL FLEX SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $385k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-405 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $314k (18.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (35.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $248k (35.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: New Georgia Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 427 students, 49% FRL); Carl Scoggins Sr. Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 760 students, 47% FRL); South Paulding High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,911 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $113k; list at $385k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $247,986 (35.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.50%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$448,498
List price
$385,000
Delta
-14.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39 Stockton Pl 0.16mi 4/3.0 2,450 (+4%) 0mo $439,900 $180 86
50 Worthington Dr 0.13mi 4/2.5 2,458 (+4%) 7mo $490,000 $199 79
67 Nunnally Pl 0.03mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,511 (+7%) 4mo $420,900 $168 77
685 Hanover Dr 0.43mi 4/3.5 2,346 (-0%) 2mo $510,000 $217 75
917 Sundown Pt 0.17mi 4/2.0 2,250 (-4%) 8mo $437,990 $195 73
87 Colonial Ter 0.53mi 4/4.0 2,337 (-1%) 0mo $440,000 $188 70
592 Hanover Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,386 (+1%) 4mo $385,000 $161 70
448 Hanover Dr 0.21mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,181 (-7%) 10mo $398,900 $183 63
33 New Kent Ct 0.48mi 4/2.5 2,608 (+11%) 3mo $430,000 $165 55
300 Peggy Cole Bridge Rd 0.59mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,148 (-9%) 10mo $315,000 $147 44
64 Colonial Ter 0.53mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,010 (-15%) 4mo $440,846 $219 43
49 Masters Dr 0.54mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,018 (-14%) 4mo $399,900 $198 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.5%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-89,738
Equity at exit
$57,405
10-year hold
IRR
-21.8%
Equity multiple
-0.09×
Total profit
$-117,748
Equity at exit
$33,288

Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30180

Home prices YoY
-12.8%
Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
669
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,480 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,019
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
Insurance
$160
HOA
$91
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$-405

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,992
Max offer price $313,529
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-187 -5% $-296 +0% $-405 +5% $-514 +10% $-623
Rent -10% $-600 -5% $-503 +0% $-405 +5% $-307 +10% $-209
Rate -1.0pp $-211 -0.5pp $-307 base $-405 +0.5pp $-504 +1.0pp $-606

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,250
Closing costs
$11,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
97 Dunston Way Villa Rica, GA 5.0 4.0 3000 $2,681 $0.89 0d 1 0.42mi
138 Cotton Tail Ln Villa Rica, GA 3.0 2.0 1663 $1,865 $1.12 45d 1 1.03mi
44 Meriwether Ln Villa Rica, GA 4.0 2.5 1801 $1,990 $1.10 3d 1 1.05mi
8 Borland Rd Villa Rica, GA 4.0 2.5 2132 $2,249 $1.05 12d 1 1.11mi
20 Susie Creek Ln Villa Rica, GA 3.0 2.0 1606 $2,000 $1.25 45d 1 1.30mi
423 Hopi Ln Villa Rica, GA 4.0 2.5 3374 $2,400 $0.71 45d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$91 · $1,092/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    price $385,000 1864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1864 chars)

    Meticulously maintained and thoughtfully designed, this charming home welcomes you with timeless style and modern comfort. A spacious eatin kitchen serves as the heart of the home, complete with a Butler's pantry offering abundant custom cabinetry and countertop space-an ideal blend of function and Southern hospitality. Throughout the main level, 10ft ceilings and characterfilled living spaces create an inviting atmosphere that feels instantly like home. The openconcept family room is bright and airy, featuring 3/4inch solid oak hardwood floors, large windows overlooking the serene, wooded backyard, and a gorgeous, vented woodburning fireplace that anchors the room-perfect for cozy evenings or lively gatherings. Solid oak hardwoods continue through the foyer, hallway, and flex room, adding warmth and continuity. Host with ease in the formal dining room. A generous mainlevel bedroom, thoughtfully positioned beside a full bath, provides an ideal retreat for overnight guests or multigenerational living. Upstairs, you'll find three generous bedrooms and two full baths, including a beautiful owner's suite with tray ceilings and a spacious walkin closet. A large bonus room provides exceptional flexibility, making it perfect for a media room, guest suite. The unfinished basement offers outstanding storage and endless potential for future expansion. Outside, the stunning backyard becomes your private retreat, complete with a lovely deck ideal for relaxing, grilling, or entertaining. A rare and valuable feature of this property is its twogarage setup: a spacious twocar garage on the main level plus a second driveway leading to an additional basementlevel garage-perfect for extra vehicles, a boat, or recreational equipment. From its thoughtful details to its timeless design, this home exudes Southern grace paired with modern comfort.

  2. 2026-03-26
    price $400,000 1864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1864 chars)

    Meticulously maintained and thoughtfully designed, this charming home welcomes you with timeless style and modern comfort. A spacious eatin kitchen serves as the heart of the home, complete with a Butler's pantry offering abundant custom cabinetry and countertop space-an ideal blend of function and Southern hospitality. Throughout the main level, 10ft ceilings and characterfilled living spaces create an inviting atmosphere that feels instantly like home. The openconcept family room is bright and airy, featuring 3/4inch solid oak hardwood floors, large windows overlooking the serene, wooded backyard, and a gorgeous, vented woodburning fireplace that anchors the room-perfect for cozy evenings or lively gatherings. Solid oak hardwoods continue through the foyer, hallway, and flex room, adding warmth and continuity. Host with ease in the formal dining room. A generous mainlevel bedroom, thoughtfully positioned beside a full bath, provides an ideal retreat for overnight guests or multigenerational living. Upstairs, you'll find three generous bedrooms and two full baths, including a beautiful owner's suite with tray ceilings and a spacious walkin closet. A large bonus room provides exceptional flexibility, making it perfect for a media room, guest suite. The unfinished basement offers outstanding storage and endless potential for future expansion. Outside, the stunning backyard becomes your private retreat, complete with a lovely deck ideal for relaxing, grilling, or entertaining. A rare and valuable feature of this property is its twogarage setup: a spacious twocar garage on the main level plus a second driveway leading to an additional basementlevel garage-perfect for extra vehicles, a boat, or recreational equipment. From its thoughtful details to its timeless design, this home exudes Southern grace paired with modern comfort.

  3. 2026-02-04
    listed $405,000 New 1864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1864 chars)

    Meticulously maintained and thoughtfully designed, this charming home welcomes you with timeless style and modern comfort. A spacious eatin kitchen serves as the heart of the home, complete with a Butler's pantry offering abundant custom cabinetry and countertop space-an ideal blend of function and Southern hospitality. Throughout the main level, 10ft ceilings and characterfilled living spaces create an inviting atmosphere that feels instantly like home. The openconcept family room is bright and airy, featuring 3/4inch solid oak hardwood floors, large windows overlooking the serene, wooded backyard, and a gorgeous, vented woodburning fireplace that anchors the room-perfect for cozy evenings or lively gatherings. Solid oak hardwoods continue through the foyer, hallway, and flex room, adding warmth and continuity. Host with ease in the formal dining room. A generous mainlevel bedroom, thoughtfully positioned beside a full bath, provides an ideal retreat for overnight guests or multigenerational living. Upstairs, you'll find three generous bedrooms and two full baths, including a beautiful owner's suite with tray ceilings and a spacious walkin closet. A large bonus room provides exceptional flexibility, making it perfect for a media room, guest suite. The unfinished basement offers outstanding storage and endless potential for future expansion. Outside, the stunning backyard becomes your private retreat, complete with a lovely deck ideal for relaxing, grilling, or entertaining. A rare and valuable feature of this property is its twogarage setup: a spacious twocar garage on the main level plus a second driveway leading to an additional basementlevel garage-perfect for extra vehicles, a boat, or recreational equipment. From its thoughtful details to its timeless design, this home exudes Southern grace paired with modern comfort.

  4. 2025-11-17
    historical
  5. 2025-11-17
    historical
  6. 2025-09-01
    listed $434,900 Active
  7. 2025-09-01
    listed $434,900 New
  8. 2005-04-12
    soldstatus $113,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,119 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,542 · $295/mo
Expected delta
+$2,423/yr (+$202/mo · 216.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,758
− Mortgage interest
−$21,566
− Property taxes
−$1,119
− Insurance
−$1,925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,381
− Management
−$2,381
− HOA
−$1,092
− Depreciation
−$11,200
Taxable loss
−$11,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,857
After-tax cash flow
$-1,998/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paulding County
NCES district ID
1304020
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$61,447
Composite
36.0/100
National rank
#4784
State rank
#33 of 174 in GA

Livability — Villa Rica

Score
65/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#13182

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carroll County · 124,888 people
City population
43,013
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
43,013
Household income
$88,514
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
853.0

Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,714 people
By 2030
186,082 · +5.9%
By 2040
204,414 · +16.3%
By 2050
217,040 · +23.5%
By 2075
236,980 · +34.9%
By 2100
238,314 · +35.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
German 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Paulding

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
2008→2024 swing
+14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.97%
Current HPI
321.1874
Rent YoY
▲ 2.42%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+239.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $385,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $400,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $405,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $434,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $434,900 FMLS
  • 2005-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $113,300 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,119 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…