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19249 Marx St
B- Composite 66.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

19249 Marx St · Detroit, MI 48203
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 824 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1940 4,356 sqft lot Est $49k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 19249 Marx Street, a well-maintained Tudor-style single-family home located in one of Detroit's established residential neighborhoods. This older frame home features a charming front-facing gable, stone facade, shingle roof, and good overall curb appeal. The surrounding area consists primarily of single-family homes with fair to good pride of ownership, contributing to a stable neighborhood setting. This is a solid opportunity for both owner-occupant buyers and investors seeking an affordable property in a better-maintained Detroit community. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information.

Key facts

  • Stone façade
  • Tudor-style home
  • Front-facing gable

Tags

TUDOR-STYLE HOMEFRONT-FACING GABLESTONE FAÇADESHINGLE ROOFCURB APPEALSTABLE NEIGHBORHOOD SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Tudor-style single-family home; Residential property built in 1940
  • Construction: Stone and other exterior materials; Shingle roof; Built in 1940
  • Exterior features: 0.1-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Michigan-style basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.48%
Cap rate
21.56%
Cash-on-cash
54.52%
DSCR
3.43
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$48,616
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18877 Fleming St 0.34mi 2/1.0 870 (+6%) 3mo $9,900 $11 73
19235 Fleming St 0.25mi 2/1.0 720 (-13%) 6mo $57,000 $79 63
19164 Dequindre St 0.12mi 3/1.5 (+1) 918 (+11%) 8mo $80,000 $87 62
19308 Lumpkin St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 747 (-9%) 10mo $38,000 $51 60
19210 Cameron St 0.46mi 2/1.0 750 (-9%) 5mo $52,500 $70 60
19656 Mitchell St 0.67mi 2/1.0 814 (-1%) 11mo $33,000 $41 58
18908 Mackay St 0.44mi 2/1.0 724 (-12%) 11mo $32,624 $45 51
18042 Russell St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 851 (+3%) 9mo $45,000 $53 50
20401 Greeley St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 928 (+13%) 1mo $55,000 $59 40
17888 Marx St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 937 (+14%) 2mo $34,000 $36 38
20006 Anglin St 0.69mi 2/1.0 726 (-12%) 12mo $55,000 $76 38
20192 Lumpkin St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 914 (+11%) 12mo $115,000 $126 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.7%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$32,364
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
58.0%
Equity multiple
6.75×
Total profit
$80,317
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,238 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $731/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$635

Break-even live

Break-even rent $435
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $663 -5% $649 +0% $635 +5% $621 +10% $607
Rent -10% $537 -5% $586 +0% $635 +5% $684 +10% $733
Rate -1.0pp $660 -0.5pp $648 base $635 +0.5pp $622 +1.0pp $609

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.23mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 25d 1 0.41mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 0.43mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 17d 1 0.63mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.67mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 0.76mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 0.82mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 17d 1 0.84mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 0.88mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.89mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 44d 1 0.97mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.09mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 2d 1 1.13mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 25d 1 1.17mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 25d 1 1.19mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 1.24mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 22d 1 1.26mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.26mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.26mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 18d 1 1.29mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,364 $5.80 0d 1 1.30mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 25d 1 1.32mi
429 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,595 $1.48 0d 1 1.35mi
27 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 1.0 1.0 568 $1,050 $1.85 15d 1 1.42mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.43mi
155 W George Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 725 $1,000 $1.38 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$731 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$750 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$19/yr (+$2/mo · 2.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,859
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$731
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$7,254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,741
After-tax cash flow
$5,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $731 · -54.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…