10075 Fm 429 · Oak Ridge, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$163,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the potential of this home nestled in the serene countryside of Kaufman. This home offers a unique opportunity for those looking to invest with room for customization. Situated on an expansive lot and includes a versatile outdoor workshop. Take advantage of an ideal canvas for updates and renovations to suit your preferences. The property is being sold as-is. Kaufman is known for its rich history and small-town charm, serving as the county seat of Kaufman County. The city offers a peaceful rural lifestyle while being conveniently located just 34 miles east of Dallas, making for an easy commute. Residents enjoy access to local parks, community events, and a welcoming atmosphere that embodies Texas hospitality. Enjoy a blend of rural tranquility and proximity to city amenities. Embrace the opportunity to create your dream home or investment property in the heart of a growing city. Claim Your Piece of Texas!.
Key facts
- Acreage
- No hoa
- Outdoor living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number 925; Subdivision: J ABLES, 3.0 ACRES, & HOUSE
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking surface; No covered or carport spaces
- Utilities: Co-op water; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1965; One story
- Construction: Year built: 1965
- Exterior features: Approximately 1.324 acres lot; Directions: From downtown Kaufman take Highway 243 east, on FM 429 go north about 2 miles; home will be on the left
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One-level floor plan; One living area; Two total rooms; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No smart home features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $163k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($474/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (4.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.6% in Oak Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#900 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Kaufman ISD (town): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #437 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J R Phillips El (math 32% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 471 students, 78% FRL); Norman J H (math 36% / reading 35%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 989 students, 70% FRL); Kaufman H S (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #643 of 1,632 statewide, top 40%, 1,303 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($161k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.04%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,860
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10075 Fm 429 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 782 (0%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $230 | 85 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-23,829
- Equity at exit
- $24,304
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-17,239
- Equity at exit
- $14,093
Cash invested: $45,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75142
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,563 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$855
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $86 | +0% $40 | +5% $-7 | +10% $-53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-84 | -5% $-22 | +0% $40 | +5% $101 | +10% $163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $122 | -0.5pp $81 | base $40 | +0.5pp $-3 | +1.0pp $-46 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,750
- Closing costs
- $4,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $163,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $163,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $163,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $163,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $163,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $163,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $163,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$165,000 Active
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2025-06-23soldstatus
-
2025-06-20soldstatus Closed 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Discover the potential of this home nestled in the serene countryside of Kaufman. This home offers a unique opportunity for those looking to invest with room for customization. Situated on an expansive lot and includes a versatile outdoor workshop. Take advantage of an ideal canvas for updates and renovations to suit your preferences. The property is being sold as-is. Kaufman is known for its rich history and small-town charm, serving as the county seat of Kaufman County. The city offers a peaceful rural lifestyle while being conveniently located just 34 miles east of Dallas, making for an easy commute. Residents enjoy access to local parks, community events, and a welcoming atmosphere that embodies Texas hospitality. Enjoy a blend of rural tranquility and proximity to city amenities. Embrace the opportunity to create your dream home or investment property in the heart of a growing city. Claim Your Piece of Texas!.
-
2025-06-13status Pending 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Discover the potential of this home nestled in the serene countryside of Kaufman. This home offers a unique opportunity for those looking to invest with room for customization. Situated on an expansive lot and includes a versatile outdoor workshop. Take advantage of an ideal canvas for updates and renovations to suit your preferences. The property is being sold as-is. Kaufman is known for its rich history and small-town charm, serving as the county seat of Kaufman County. The city offers a peaceful rural lifestyle while being conveniently located just 34 miles east of Dallas, making for an easy commute. Residents enjoy access to local parks, community events, and a welcoming atmosphere that embodies Texas hospitality. Enjoy a blend of rural tranquility and proximity to city amenities. Embrace the opportunity to create your dream home or investment property in the heart of a growing city. Claim Your Piece of Texas!.
-
2025-06-10historical Active Option Contract 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Discover the potential of this home nestled in the serene countryside of Kaufman. This home offers a unique opportunity for those looking to invest with room for customization. Situated on an expansive lot and includes a versatile outdoor workshop. Take advantage of an ideal canvas for updates and renovations to suit your preferences. The property is being sold as-is. Kaufman is known for its rich history and small-town charm, serving as the county seat of Kaufman County. The city offers a peaceful rural lifestyle while being conveniently located just 34 miles east of Dallas, making for an easy commute. Residents enjoy access to local parks, community events, and a welcoming atmosphere that embodies Texas hospitality. Enjoy a blend of rural tranquility and proximity to city amenities. Embrace the opportunity to create your dream home or investment property in the heart of a growing city. Claim Your Piece of Texas!.
-
2025-05-26price $180,000 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Discover the potential of this home nestled in the serene countryside of Kaufman. This home offers a unique opportunity for those looking to invest with room for customization. Situated on an expansive lot and includes a versatile outdoor workshop. Take advantage of an ideal canvas for updates and renovations to suit your preferences. The property is being sold as-is. Kaufman is known for its rich history and small-town charm, serving as the county seat of Kaufman County. The city offers a peaceful rural lifestyle while being conveniently located just 34 miles east of Dallas, making for an easy commute. Residents enjoy access to local parks, community events, and a welcoming atmosphere that embodies Texas hospitality. Enjoy a blend of rural tranquility and proximity to city amenities. Embrace the opportunity to create your dream home or investment property in the heart of a growing city. Claim Your Piece of Texas!.
-
2025-04-21price $199,000 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Discover the potential of this home nestled in the serene countryside of Kaufman. This home offers a unique opportunity for those looking to invest with room for customization. Situated on an expansive lot and includes a versatile outdoor workshop. Take advantage of an ideal canvas for updates and renovations to suit your preferences. The property is being sold as-is. Kaufman is known for its rich history and small-town charm, serving as the county seat of Kaufman County. The city offers a peaceful rural lifestyle while being conveniently located just 34 miles east of Dallas, making for an easy commute. Residents enjoy access to local parks, community events, and a welcoming atmosphere that embodies Texas hospitality. Enjoy a blend of rural tranquility and proximity to city amenities. Embrace the opportunity to create your dream home or investment property in the heart of a growing city. Claim Your Piece of Texas!.
-
2025-02-28$205,000 Active 928-char remark
Show marketing remark (928 chars)
Discover the potential of this home nestled in the serene countryside of Kaufman. This home offers a unique opportunity for those looking to invest with room for customization. Situated on an expansive lot and includes a versatile outdoor workshop. Take advantage of an ideal canvas for updates and renovations to suit your preferences. The property is being sold as-is. Kaufman is known for its rich history and small-town charm, serving as the county seat of Kaufman County. The city offers a peaceful rural lifestyle while being conveniently located just 34 miles east of Dallas, making for an easy commute. Residents enjoy access to local parks, community events, and a welcoming atmosphere that embodies Texas hospitality. Enjoy a blend of rural tranquility and proximity to city amenities. Embrace the opportunity to create your dream home or investment property in the heart of a growing city. Claim Your Piece of Texas!.
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2002-04-10soldstatus
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2000-08-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,275 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,275 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,761
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,131
- − Property taxes
- −$3,275
- − Insurance
- −$815
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,501
- − Management
- −$1,501
- − Depreciation
- −$4,742
- Taxable loss
- −$2,202
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$529
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,003/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kaufman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825200
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,081
- Composite
- 33.36/100
- National rank
- #5485
- State rank
- #437 of 826 in TX
Livability — Oak Ridge
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #900
- US rank
- #16164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,301
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 23% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 30%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.48%
- Current HPI
- 261.3091
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-19.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-20 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-06-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-06-10 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-05-26 Price Changed $180,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-21 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2025-02-28 Listed $205,000 NTREIS
- 2002-04-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-08-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,275 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…