16465 NE 22nd Ave #118 · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.82%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$142,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful, spacious 1 bedroom 1 bathroom condo. This unit has just been remodeled and freshly painted. Excellent location, canal front, located on first floor of building. Must see!
Key facts
- $500 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed (dogs OK)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $500 covering amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Guest parking available; 1 covered parking space
- Security: Secured elevator
- Home design: Attached property; 7-story building; Entry on level 1
- Construction: Block construction; Year built: Unknown
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: First-floor entry; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $142k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $142k).
- Recommended offer: $129k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fulford Elementary School (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,596 of 2,144 statewide, top 75%, 461 students, 64% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,074 students, 67% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1879 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($982 loan paydown + $748 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $109k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.89%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $23,400
- Equity at exit
- $45,013
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $59,318
- Equity at exit
- $57,225
Cash invested: $39,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1879
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$745
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,713/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$644
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $545 | -5% $505 | +0% $464 | +5% $424 | +10% $384 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $222 | -5% $343 | +0% $464 | +5% $585 | +10% $707 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $536 | -0.5pp $501 | base $464 | +0.5pp $428 | +1.0pp $390 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,500
- Closing costs
- $4,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $142,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $142,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $142,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $142,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $142,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $142,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $142,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $142,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $142,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $142,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $142,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $142,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $142,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $142,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $142,000
-
2026-03-26price $145,000
-
2026-03-20$150,000 Active
-
2024-07-20historical $1,550
-
2024-07-03$1,550
-
2021-11-30soldstatus $109,000
-
2021-02-11soldstatus $109,000 Closed 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Beautiful, spacious 1 bedroom 1 bathroom condo. This unit has just been remodeled and freshly painted. Excellent location, canal front, located on first floor of building. Must see!
-
2021-01-12status Pending 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Beautiful, spacious 1 bedroom 1 bathroom condo. This unit has just been remodeled and freshly painted. Excellent location, canal front, located on first floor of building. Must see!
-
2020-10-28$125,000 Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Beautiful, spacious 1 bedroom 1 bathroom condo. This unit has just been remodeled and freshly painted. Excellent location, canal front, located on first floor of building. Must see!
-
2020-10-05soldstatus $94,000
-
2020-09-18soldstatus $94,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Condominium located minutes from the Aventura Mall. Close to highways, beaches, shopping and fabulous restaurants. The property is a great home or may be used for rental income. The master bedroom is oversized with two entries to the master bathroom. Building is located adjacent to a quiet serine lake.
-
2020-04-27$110,900 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Condominium located minutes from the Aventura Mall. Close to highways, beaches, shopping and fabulous restaurants. The property is a great home or may be used for rental income. The master bedroom is oversized with two entries to the master bathroom. Building is located adjacent to a quiet serine lake.
-
2013-01-14historical
-
2012-09-11$50,000
-
2007-01-28soldstatus $127,000
-
1995-09-11soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,713 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,713 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 82% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,954
- − Property taxes
- −$2,713
- − Insurance
- −$5,828
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,942
- − Management
- −$2,942
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$4,131
- Taxable income
- $4,262
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,023
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+491.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $142,000 MARMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $145,000 MARMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $150,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-20 Rental Removed $1,550 MARMLS
- 2024-07-03 Listed for Rent $1,550 MARMLS
- 2021-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-11 Sold (MLS) $109,000 MARMLS
- 2021-01-12 Pending — MARMLS
- 2020-10-28 Listed $125,000 MARMLS
- 2020-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-18 Sold (MLS) $94,000 Beaches MLS
- 2020-04-27 Listed $110,900 Beaches MLS
- 2013-01-14 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2012-09-11 Listed $50,000 Beaches MLS
- 2007-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
- 1995-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,713 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…