1229 Dale Ave SE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Vacant
Key facts
- Vacant
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 773 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 773 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.92%
- DSCR
- 3.04
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $123,274
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -55.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1433 Gladstone Ave SE | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,388 (-1%) | 2mo | $95,500 | $69 | 69 |
| 1105 Montrose Ave SE | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,203 (-15%) | 3mo | $174,000 | $145 | 52 |
| 1332 Morningside St SE | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,614 (+15%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $74 | 46 |
| 634 Mountain Ave SE | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,354 (-4%) | 19mo | $87,500 | $65 | 44 |
| 1306 Buena Vista Blvd SE | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 16mo | $149,950 | $100 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $28,637
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 49.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $73,342
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24013
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $849/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $589
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 Wise Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,123 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1513 Morningside St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1708 Baldwin Ave NE Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1816 Bennington St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $1,023 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 520 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 635 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 703 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 233 W Cleveland Ave Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 216 Patton Ave NW Unit 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,025 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 355 Highland Ave SW Apt 1 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1119 Franklin Rd SW Unit BensonFranklin 05 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,297 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 430 Day Ave SW Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 43 events
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 773 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 772 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 771 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 770 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 768 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 767 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 765 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 764 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 763 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 759 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 758 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 757 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 756 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 755 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 754 DOM
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2026-05-18price $55,000 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2026-02-06price $72,119 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
-
2026-01-05price $73,590 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
-
2025-11-13price $75,092 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
-
2025-10-08price $76,625 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2025-09-03price $78,189 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2025-08-08price $79,784 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2025-06-20price $81,413 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2025-05-18price $83,074 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2025-04-11price $84,770 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2024-12-20price $86,500 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2024-09-20price $90,000 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
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2024-05-06$110,000 Active 6-char remark
Show marketing remark (6 chars)
Vacant
-
2024-02-29historical
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2024-01-17price $116,624
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2023-12-18price $122,763
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2023-11-21price $123,763
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2023-11-02price $130,277
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2023-10-09price $137,134
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2023-09-15price $144,352
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2023-08-10price $151,950
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2023-07-13$159,950 Active
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2021-04-30soldstatus $240,000
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2004-12-15soldstatus $24,000
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2002-07-20historical
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2002-01-20$39,950
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1995-02-01soldstatus $13,900
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1981-03-05soldstatus $13,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,754
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$849
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,180
- − Management
- −$1,180
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,589
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,581
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,490/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,026
- Household income
- $51,290
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Greek 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.00%
- Current HPI
- 223.42
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+307.4% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $55,000 MLSRV
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $72,119 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $73,590 MLSRV
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $75,092 MLSRV
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $76,625 MLSRV
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $78,189 MLSRV
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $79,784 MLSRV
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $81,413 MLSRV
- 2025-05-18 Price Changed $83,074 MLSRV
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $84,770 MLSRV
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $86,500 MLSRV
- 2024-09-20 Price Changed $90,000 MLSRV
- 2024-05-06 Listed $110,000 MLSRV
- 2024-02-29 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2024-01-17 Price Changed $116,624 MLSRV
- 2023-12-18 Price Changed $122,763 MLSRV
- 2023-11-21 Price Changed $123,763 MLSRV
- 2023-11-02 Price Changed $130,277 MLSRV
- 2023-10-09 Price Changed $137,134 MLSRV
- 2023-09-15 Price Changed $144,352 MLSRV
- 2023-08-10 Price Changed $151,950 MLSRV
- 2023-07-13 Listed $159,950 MLSRV
- 2021-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 2002-07-20 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2002-01-20 Listed $39,950 MLSRV
- 1995-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,900 Public Records
- 1981-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $849 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…