19 Annette Ln · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sunny and Bright Townhouse with view of the Country Club Golf Course. Lovely and spacious kitchen, bay window and skylight, deck, 30 x 12 room in crawl space and double carport. In the last few years they put in new cam lighting, primary bath remodel, updated the kitchen with granite counters, new composite decking and new water line to the townhouse. OZ bike park & Back 40 bike trail are close by along with all the Bella Vista amenities.
Key facts
- Primary bath remodel
- Spacious kitchen
- Bay window
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community pool
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (BV POA); Association fees: $40 monthly and $90 monthly; HOA covers grounds maintenance, snow removal, and trash; Community amenities include biking, golf, park, pool, and trails/paths
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 2 covered spaces; No driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-story; Residential property; Has a view; Entry level: Main
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Built 25+ years ago
- Exterior features: Patio; City lot near park and clubhouse; Views; Public paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the main level (10.3 x 12.0); Bedroom on the main level (13.8 x 10.3)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-14/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (0.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 838 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $240k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.02%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $217,792
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Dogwood Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,313 (-1%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $164 | 86 |
| 5 Mellor Ln | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,390 (+5%) | 6mo | $238,000 | $171 | 81 |
| 38 Dogwood Dr | 0.06mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,280 (-4%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $180 | 72 |
| 25 Nantucket Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-2%) | 12mo | $169,500 | $130 | 70 |
| 26 Annette Ln | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+13%) | 4mo | $212,000 | $141 | 68 |
| 4 Nantucket Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (-12%) | 6mo | $239,000 | $204 | 67 |
| 13 Nantucket Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+13%) | 7mo | $222,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 35 Dogwood Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,456 (+10%) | 7mo | $199,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 21 Mellor Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+12%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 23 Nantucket Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+13%) | 11mo | $217,500 | $145 | 60 |
| 26 Norwood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (-6%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $228 | 58 |
| 23 Dogwood Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,152 (-13%) | 8mo | $216,900 | $188 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-38,992
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-34,157
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72715
- Home prices YoY
- -6.6%
- Active inventory
- 838
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,982 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $943/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$130
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $-1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $135 | -5% $67 | +0% $-1 | +5% $-69 | +10% $-137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-158 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-1 | +5% $77 | +10% $155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $120 | -0.5pp $60 | base $-1 | +0.5pp $-63 | +1.0pp $-127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Annette Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 27 Shropshire Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1822 | $2,250 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 26 Purfleet Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,575 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4 Tilbury Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1742 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9 Purfleet Dr Unit 1366492P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $3,392 | $2.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $130 · $1,560/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $240,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $240,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$240,000 Active
-
2006-10-25soldstatus $100,000
-
2003-11-04soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $943 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,536 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$593/yr (+$49/mo · 62.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,788
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$943
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,903
- − Management
- −$1,903
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$4,147
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$995
- After-tax cash flow
- $981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 107.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.53%
- Current HPI
- 304.946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+166.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $240,000 NWARMLS
- 2006-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2003-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $943 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…