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327 Houston St
D Composite 43.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

327 Houston St · Winfield, KS 67156
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,237 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1940 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Covered back patio
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFCOVERED BACK PATIOLARGE YARDCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family onsite built; One level
  • Construction: Composition roof; Cellar and crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link and wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Disposal; Cellar
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($804/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (10.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#111 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Winfield (rural): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #138 of 169 in KS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Irving Elem (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #593 of 684 statewide, top 89%, 262 students, 77% FRL); Winfield Middle School (math 16% / reading 29%, grade F, #130 of 219 statewide, top 61%, 499 students, 54% FRL); Winfield High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 688 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 41 units permitted in Cowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cowley County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; list at $135k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,577 (10.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.13%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-17,621
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-9,896
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67156

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,457/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,121
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $143 -5% $105 +0% $67 +5% $29 +10% $-9
Rent -10% $-28 -5% $19 +0% $67 +5% $115 +10% $162
Rate -1.0pp $135 -0.5pp $101 base $67 +0.5pp $32 +1.0pp $-4

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2300 Saint James Ct Winfield, KS 1.0–3.0 1.0 800 $1,312 $1.64 25d 1 0.86mi
1900 Elaine Dr Winfield, KS 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 758 $1,020 $1.35 25d 9 1.43mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,457 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,904 · $159/mo
Expected delta
+$447/yr (+$37/mo · 30.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,469
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,457
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,467
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$352
After-tax cash flow
$1,156/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winfield
NCES district ID
2013050
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,463
Composite
20.99/100
National rank
#8462
State rank
#138 of 169 in KS

Livability — Winfield

Score
72/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#6223

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Winfield, KS
City population
14,183
Population (ZIP)
14,183

Population outlook (Cowley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,984 people
By 2030
34,410 · -1.6%
By 2040
33,265 · -4.9%
By 2050
32,421 · -7.3%
By 2075
31,488 · -10.0%
By 2100
30,276 · -13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cowley

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 29.0% · R 69.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.92%
Current HPI
184.3198
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+181.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $135,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $115,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-01 Listing Removed SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-24 Listed $49,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-20 Listed $69,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-17 Listed $69,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,457 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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