853 SW 2nd St #207 · Miami, FL 33130

$239,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 627 sqft · Condo public records · 32 Days on market

Built 2004 $440/mo HOA · 11% of rent ↓ 12% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Appreciation +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled condo unit in an amazing location. One bedroom, 1.5 bathrooms. A must-see, this unit is impeccable and ready for move-in—one reserved parking space underneath the building, protected from the outside elements. Washer & dryer included, located inside the unit.

Key facts

• Inside the unit
• Remodeled condo unit
• $440 HOA

Tags

• REMODELED CONDO UNIT
• RESERVED PARKING SPACE
• WASHER AND DRYER INCLUDED
• INSIDE THE UNIT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $240k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $857 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $240k).
• Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,968/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 5231% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $232,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.65% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.94%
• DSCR: 2.02
• GRM: 5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.79% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.25×
• Total profit: $16,928
• Equity at exit: $48,947

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.79×
• Total profit: $53,070
• Equity at exit: $44,097

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33130

• Home prices YoY: -0.5%
• Rents YoY: -0.5%
• Active inventory: 639
• Price-to-rent: 5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,968 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,258
• Tax from tax record: −$53 /mo · $633/yr
• Insurance: −$100
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$440
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$833
• Net cashflow: $857

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,883

Max offer price $239,900

Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $59,975
• Closing costs: $7,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $440 · $5,280/yr
• Likely covers: cable
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-28
   soldstatus $225,000
2. 2026-02-27
   status Pending
3. 2026-01-26
   listed $239,900 Active
4. 2026-01-23
   historical
5. 2026-01-15
   price $239,900
6. 2025-11-25
   price $249,900
7. 2025-10-28
   listed $255,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $633 · $53/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,991 · $166/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,358/yr (+$113/mo · 214.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $47,615
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,438
• − Property taxes: −$633
• − Insurance: −$6,318
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,809
• − Management: −$3,809
• − HOA: −$5,280
• − Depreciation: −$6,979
• Taxable income: $7,348
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,764
• After-tax cash flow: $8,524/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #177
• US rank: #2724

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Miami, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• City population: 827,308
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 34,964
• Household income: $61,009
• Rent vs Own: 83.2% rent · 16.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 5231.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 44% White 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 24% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 60% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
• Languages at home: 23% English-only · Spanish 70% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.79%
• Current HPI: 344.7752
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.53%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-11.8% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
• 2026-02-27 Pending — MARMLS
• 2026-01-26 Listed $239,900 MARMLS
• 2026-01-23 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2026-01-15 Price Changed $239,900 MARMLS
• 2025-11-25 Price Changed $249,900 MARMLS
• 2025-10-28 Listed $255,000 MARMLS

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $633 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.