145 Weiss St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home is being sold in "AS IS" condition
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Community amenities
- First floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story house; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Composite siding; Crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Linoleum; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (one main-level bathroom)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Heating present (see remarks)
- Interior features: Furnished; Attic; Den; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Other (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($582/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (8.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $145k implies a 1349% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.43%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,264
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295 Weimar St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,194 (+8%) | 0mo | $209,000 | $175 | 78 |
| 21 Glenn St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,153 (+4%) | 3mo | $15,000 | $13 | 76 |
| 217 Weiss St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (-10%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $161 | 74 |
| 358 Weimar St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-5%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $190 | 73 |
| 72 Weaver St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+6%) | 4mo | $91,000 | $77 | 72 |
| 287 Fenton St | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+6%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $201 | 71 |
| 286 Barnard St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,201 (+9%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $154 | 70 |
| 405 Weimar St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+8%) | 4mo | $197,500 | $166 | 69 |
| 19 Spann St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-7%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 303 Casimer St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,159 (+5%) | 7mo | $221,500 | $191 | 59 |
| 95 Fernwood Ave | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,137 (+3%) | 6mo | $212,000 | $186 | 51 |
| 102 Pomona Pl | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+12%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $66 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $63,340
- Equity at exit
- $110,660
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.47×
- Total profit
- $181,541
- Equity at exit
- $220,211
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,329 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $149 | -5% $99 | +0% $48 | +5% $-2 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-56 | -5% $-4 | +0% $48 | +5% $101 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $121 | -0.5pp $85 | base $48 | +0.5pp $11 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,075 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 34 Hayden St Unit Back Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1927 Seneca St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 76 Hammerschmidt Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,150 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 23 Indian Orchard Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 61 Princeton Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 298 Cumberland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,200 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $144,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $144,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$144,900 Active
-
2023-07-28historical $1,595
-
2023-07-12$1,595
-
2015-10-30soldstatus $10,000 Closed Sale or Rented 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Home is being sold in "AS IS" condition
-
2015-10-22soldstatus $10,000
-
2015-07-28price $19,900 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Home is being sold in "AS IS" condition
-
2015-07-13$24,900 Active 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
Home is being sold in "AS IS" condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$2,174
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$1,834
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$440
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+481.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $144,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-07-28 Rental Removed $1,595 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-07-12 Listed for Rent $1,595 TURBOTENANT
- 2015-10-30 Sold (MLS) $10,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-28 Price Changed $19,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-07-13 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $275 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…