534 E 37th Ave #135 · Lake Station, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2017 Clayton Wakarusa 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with a black kitchen appliance package, gas range, washer/dryer setup, gas furnace, insulated construction, 8' flat ceilings, and standard interior finish upgrades throughout. 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home Model: 95PLH24403AH17S 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms Approx.
Key facts
- Great yard
- Huge living room
- Master bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-839/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $40k (20.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 5.8% in Lake Station — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John I Meister Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #762 of 994 statewide, top 78%, 346 students, 87% FRL); River Forest Middle School (math 10% / reading 26%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 379 students, 87% FRL); River Forest High School (math 12% / reading 52%, grade F, #295 of 369 statewide, top 82%, 532 students, 83% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 41d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.00%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,000
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -30.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3344 Jasper St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+1%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $147 | 77 |
| 114 Beverly Ln | 1.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-1%) | 0mo | $229,900 | $202 | 64 |
| 1001 W 38th Pl | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,202 (+4%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $204 | 63 |
| 318 N Ohio St | 1.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $221 | 57 |
| 205 S Wisconsin St | 1.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-1%) | 0mo | $166,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 1011 Marquette Rd | 1.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,064 (-8%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $183 | 50 |
| 3000 N Lake Park Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+17%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $175 | 40 |
| 140 N Guyer St | 1.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,346 (+17%) | 0mo | $176,000 | $131 | 38 |
| 101 Van Buren Ave | 0.78mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-17%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $173 | 36 |
| 200 N Kelly St | 1.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,387 (+21%) | 0mo | $255,000 | $184 | 35 |
| 2740 Elkhart St | 1.14mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,324 (+15%) | 0mo | $132,000 | $100 | 31 |
| 133 N Delaware St | 1.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+17%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $153 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-9,162
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $886
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active
- Median asking
- $55,000 ($49/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 87 d
- This list price
- 23% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +28.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46342
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 370
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$600
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $-70
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-35 | -5% $-53 | +0% $-70 | +5% $-87 | +10% $-105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-158 | -5% $-114 | +0% $-70 | +5% $-26 | +10% $18 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-45 | -0.5pp $-57 | base $-70 | +0.5pp $-83 | +1.0pp $-96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 W 37th Ave Unit 48 Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 92d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 621 W 39th Pl Hobart, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1050 | $1,540 | $1.47 | 0d | 4 | 0.53mi |
| 416 Van Buren Ave Hobart, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 50d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 333 Neringa Ln Hobart, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $1,780 | $1.76 | 0d | 10 | 0.80mi |
| 2955 DeKalb St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2955 DeKalb St Lake Station, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,100 | $1.40 | 51d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2830 Grand Blvd Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,395 | $1.61 | 46d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2716 Huntington St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,500 | $1.80 | 41d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1229 W 44th Pl Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,350 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3753 Englehart St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 46d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1421 High St Unit 2W Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 69d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 215 East St Unit 3 Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 215 East St Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail $600/mo · $7,200/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-08price $50,000 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
2017 Clayton Wakarusa 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with a black kitchen appliance package, gas range, washer/dryer setup, gas furnace, insulated construction, 8' flat ceilings, and standard interior finish upgrades throughout. 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home Model: 95PLH24403AH17S 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms Approx. 40' home length Single-family floor plan Black appliance package Refrigerator with ice maker Dishwasher Microwave Gas range Washer hookup Dryer setup for gas or electric Downflow gas furnace 8' flat ceilings Arched interior doors Mini blinds and drapes package Carpet and vinyl flooring mix Kitchen faucet with sprayer Laminate backsplash option Fiberglass tub/shower units in baths Framed mirrors Bathroom exhaust fans Linen/medicine cabinet features Exterior door support on both doors Deadbolt locks Exterior lights installed Shingle roof package
-
2026-04-07status Active 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
2017 Clayton Wakarusa 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with a black kitchen appliance package, gas range, washer/dryer setup, gas furnace, insulated construction, 8' flat ceilings, and standard interior finish upgrades throughout. 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home Model: 95PLH24403AH17S 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms Approx. 40' home length Single-family floor plan Black appliance package Refrigerator with ice maker Dishwasher Microwave Gas range Washer hookup Dryer setup for gas or electric Downflow gas furnace 8' flat ceilings Arched interior doors Mini blinds and drapes package Carpet and vinyl flooring mix Kitchen faucet with sprayer Laminate backsplash option Fiberglass tub/shower units in baths Framed mirrors Bathroom exhaust fans Linen/medicine cabinet features Exterior door support on both doors Deadbolt locks Exterior lights installed Shingle roof package
-
2026-04-07price $55,000 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
2017 Clayton Wakarusa 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with a black kitchen appliance package, gas range, washer/dryer setup, gas furnace, insulated construction, 8' flat ceilings, and standard interior finish upgrades throughout. 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home Model: 95PLH24403AH17S 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms Approx. 40' home length Single-family floor plan Black appliance package Refrigerator with ice maker Dishwasher Microwave Gas range Washer hookup Dryer setup for gas or electric Downflow gas furnace 8' flat ceilings Arched interior doors Mini blinds and drapes package Carpet and vinyl flooring mix Kitchen faucet with sprayer Laminate backsplash option Fiberglass tub/shower units in baths Framed mirrors Bathroom exhaust fans Linen/medicine cabinet features Exterior door support on both doors Deadbolt locks Exterior lights installed Shingle roof package
-
2026-04-07historical 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
2017 Clayton Wakarusa 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with a black kitchen appliance package, gas range, washer/dryer setup, gas furnace, insulated construction, 8' flat ceilings, and standard interior finish upgrades throughout. 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home Model: 95PLH24403AH17S 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms Approx. 40' home length Single-family floor plan Black appliance package Refrigerator with ice maker Dishwasher Microwave Gas range Washer hookup Dryer setup for gas or electric Downflow gas furnace 8' flat ceilings Arched interior doors Mini blinds and drapes package Carpet and vinyl flooring mix Kitchen faucet with sprayer Laminate backsplash option Fiberglass tub/shower units in baths Framed mirrors Bathroom exhaust fans Linen/medicine cabinet features Exterior door support on both doors Deadbolt locks Exterior lights installed Shingle roof package
-
2026-03-29price $52,500 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
2017 Clayton Wakarusa 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with a black kitchen appliance package, gas range, washer/dryer setup, gas furnace, insulated construction, 8' flat ceilings, and standard interior finish upgrades throughout. 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home Model: 95PLH24403AH17S 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms Approx. 40' home length Single-family floor plan Black appliance package Refrigerator with ice maker Dishwasher Microwave Gas range Washer hookup Dryer setup for gas or electric Downflow gas furnace 8' flat ceilings Arched interior doors Mini blinds and drapes package Carpet and vinyl flooring mix Kitchen faucet with sprayer Laminate backsplash option Fiberglass tub/shower units in baths Framed mirrors Bathroom exhaust fans Linen/medicine cabinet features Exterior door support on both doors Deadbolt locks Exterior lights installed Shingle roof package
-
2026-02-03$55,000 Active 927-char remark
Show marketing remark (927 chars)
2017 Clayton Wakarusa 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with a black kitchen appliance package, gas range, washer/dryer setup, gas furnace, insulated construction, 8' flat ceilings, and standard interior finish upgrades throughout. 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home Model: 95PLH24403AH17S 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms Approx. 40' home length Single-family floor plan Black appliance package Refrigerator with ice maker Dishwasher Microwave Gas range Washer hookup Dryer setup for gas or electric Downflow gas furnace 8' flat ceilings Arched interior doors Mini blinds and drapes package Carpet and vinyl flooring mix Kitchen faucet with sprayer Laminate backsplash option Fiberglass tub/shower units in baths Framed mirrors Bathroom exhaust fans Linen/medicine cabinet features Exterior door support on both doors Deadbolt locks Exterior lights installed Shingle roof package
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − HOA
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable loss
- −$1,283
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$308
- After-tax cash flow
- $-531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2017 Clayton Wakarusa manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed for a fresh look and improved energy efficiency.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Clean ceiling fans improve air circulation and reduce energy costs. ↑
- Both Install new window treatments — New window treatments can improve energy efficiency and add a fresh look to the home. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- River Forest Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1804620
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,317
- Composite
- 19.65/100
- National rank
- #8738
- State rank
- #268 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lake Station
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #411
- US rank
- #14929
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Station, IN
- County
- Lake County · 484,026 people
- City population
- 12,184
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,224
- Household income
- $75,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.01%
- Current HPI
- 260.2635
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.63%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
-9.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $50,000 Zillow
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $55,000 Zillow
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-07 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $52,500 Zillow
- 2026-02-03 Listed $55,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…