CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
903 W 8th St
B- Composite 68.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$153,000

903 W 8th St · Freeport, TX 77541
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 188 Days on market
Built 1960 10,497 sqft lot $61/sqft · 22% below area Est $196k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Embrace the potential of this spacious five-bedroom home, awaiting your personal touch. Situated on a corner lot with convenient alley access to the back driveway, this property offers a blank canvas for your imagination. Enjoy a great location just a short distance from the beach.

Key facts

  • Alley access
  • Corner lot
  • 0.24 acre lot

Tags

CORNER LOTALLEY ACCESSSHORT DISTANCE FROM BEACH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $153k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,205 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Brazosport ISD (suburban): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #305 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 590 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.75%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$195,819
List price
$153,000
Delta
-21.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1031 W 7th St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,285 (-9%) 11mo $255,000 $112 63
1503 W 5th St 0.56mi 5/2.5 2,229 (-11%) 6mo $245,000 $110 48
227 S Front St 0.65mi 4/4.5 (-1) 2,466 (-2%) 20mo $500,000 $203 35
135 Brazos Landing Ct 0.66mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,273 (-10%) 20mo $225,000 $99 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-4,512
Equity at exit
$22,813
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$22,395
Equity at exit
$13,229

Cash invested: $42,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77541

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
590
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,838 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$802
Tax from tax record
$202 /mo · $2,426/yr
Insurance
$64
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,436
Max offer price $153,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $404 -5% $361 +0% $317 +5% $274 +10% $231
Rent -10% $172 -5% $245 +0% $317 +5% $390 +10% $462
Rate -1.0pp $394 -0.5pp $356 base $317 +0.5pp $278 +1.0pp $237

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,250
Closing costs
$4,590
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $153,000 Active 188 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $153,000 Active 187 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $153,000 Active 186 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $153,000 Active 185 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $153,000 Active 183 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $153,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $153,000 Active 178 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,000 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $153,000 Active 174 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $153,000 Active 173 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $153,000 Active 172 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $153,000 Active 171 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $153,000 Active 170 DOM
  14. 2025-12-12
    listed $153,000 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Embrace the potential of this spacious five-bedroom home, awaiting your personal touch. Situated on a corner lot with convenient alley access to the back driveway, this property offers a blank canvas for your imagination. Enjoy a great location just a short distance from the beach.

  15. 2020-08-17
    historical
  16. 2020-08-10
    price $130,000
  17. 2020-07-29
    price $149,900
  18. 2020-07-29
    listed $148,500 Active
  19. 2017-07-28
    soldstatus Sold
  20. 2017-07-17
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  21. 2017-07-07
    price $54,800
  22. 2017-07-05
    status Active
  23. 2017-06-27
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  24. 2017-05-25
    price $64,800
  25. 2017-05-03
    price $74,800
  26. 2017-04-24
    status Active
  27. 2017-04-06
    status Pending
  28. 2017-02-16
    listed $84,800 Active
  29. 2016-04-13
    historical
  30. 2016-04-06
    price $75,000
  31. 2016-03-18
    status Active
  32. 2016-03-16
    status Option Pending
  33. 2016-03-07
    listed $79,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,426 · $202/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,800 · $233/mo
Expected delta
+$374/yr (+$31/mo · 15.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,055
− Mortgage interest
−$8,570
− Property taxes
−$2,426
− Insurance
−$1,562
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,764
− Management
−$1,764
− Depreciation
−$4,451
Taxable income
$1,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$364
After-tax cash flow
$3,443/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brazosport ISD
NCES district ID
4811190
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,024
Composite
36.84/100
National rank
#4557
State rank
#305 of 826 in TX

Livability — Freeport

Score
58/100
State rank
#1205
US rank
#21044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeport, TX
County
Brazoria County · 374,982 people
City population
16,996
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,996
Household income
$66,507
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
354.0

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 38% Two or more races 23% Black 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 42%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.12%
Current HPI
265.9301
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $153,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-08-17 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2020-08-10 Price Changed $130,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-07-29 Price Changed $149,900 HARMLS
  • 2020-07-29 Listed $148,500 HARMLS
  • 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2017-07-17 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-07-07 Price Changed $54,800 HARMLS
  • 2017-07-05 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2017-06-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-05-25 Price Changed $64,800 HARMLS
  • 2017-05-03 Price Changed $74,800 HARMLS
  • 2017-04-24 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2017-04-06 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-02-16 Listed $84,800 HARMLS
  • 2016-04-13 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2016-04-06 Price Changed $75,000 HARMLS
  • 2016-03-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2016-03-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-03-07 Listed $79,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,426 · -8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…