903 W 8th St · Freeport, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$153,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Embrace the potential of this spacious five-bedroom home, awaiting your personal touch. Situated on a corner lot with convenient alley access to the back driveway, this property offers a blank canvas for your imagination. Enjoy a great location just a short distance from the beach.
Key facts
- Alley access
- Corner lot
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $153k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,205 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Brazosport ISD (suburban): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #305 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 590 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.75%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,819
- List price
- $153,000
- Delta
- -21.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1031 W 7th St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,285 (-9%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $112 | 63 |
| 1503 W 5th St | 0.56mi | 5/2.5 | 2,229 (-11%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $110 | 48 |
| 227 S Front St | 0.65mi | 4/4.5 (-1) | 2,466 (-2%) | 20mo | $500,000 | $203 | 35 |
| 135 Brazos Landing Ct | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,273 (-10%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $99 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,512
- Equity at exit
- $22,813
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $22,395
- Equity at exit
- $13,229
Cash invested: $42,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77541
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 590
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,838 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$802
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,426/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $404 | -5% $361 | +0% $317 | +5% $274 | +10% $231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $172 | -5% $245 | +0% $317 | +5% $390 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $394 | -0.5pp $356 | base $317 | +0.5pp $278 | +1.0pp $237 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,250
- Closing costs
- $4,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $153,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $153,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $153,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $153,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $153,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $153,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $153,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $153,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $153,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $153,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $153,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $153,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $153,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2025-12-12$153,000 Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Embrace the potential of this spacious five-bedroom home, awaiting your personal touch. Situated on a corner lot with convenient alley access to the back driveway, this property offers a blank canvas for your imagination. Enjoy a great location just a short distance from the beach.
-
2020-08-17historical
-
2020-08-10price $130,000
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2020-07-29price $149,900
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2020-07-29$148,500 Active
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2017-07-28soldstatus Sold
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2017-07-17status Pending, Continue to Show
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2017-07-07price $54,800
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2017-07-05status Active
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2017-06-27status Pending, Continue to Show
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2017-05-25price $64,800
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2017-05-03price $74,800
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2017-04-24status Active
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2017-04-06status Pending
-
2017-02-16$84,800 Active
-
2016-04-13historical
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2016-04-06price $75,000
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2016-03-18status Active
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2016-03-16status Option Pending
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2016-03-07$79,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,426 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,800 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- +$374/yr (+$31/mo · 15.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,055
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,570
- − Property taxes
- −$2,426
- − Insurance
- −$1,562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,764
- − Management
- −$1,764
- − Depreciation
- −$4,451
- Taxable income
- $1,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,443/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brazosport ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811190
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,024
- Composite
- 36.84/100
- National rank
- #4557
- State rank
- #305 of 826 in TX
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1205
- US rank
- #21044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, TX
- County
- Brazoria County · 374,982 people
- City population
- 16,996
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,996
- Household income
- $66,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 38% Two or more races 23% Black 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 29%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.12%
- Current HPI
- 265.9301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+93.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-12 Listed $153,000 HARMLS
- 2020-08-17 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2020-08-10 Price Changed $130,000 HARMLS
- 2020-07-29 Price Changed $149,900 HARMLS
- 2020-07-29 Listed $148,500 HARMLS
- 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2017-07-17 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-07-07 Price Changed $54,800 HARMLS
- 2017-07-05 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2017-06-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-05-25 Price Changed $64,800 HARMLS
- 2017-05-03 Price Changed $74,800 HARMLS
- 2017-04-24 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2017-04-06 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-02-16 Listed $84,800 HARMLS
- 2016-04-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2016-04-06 Price Changed $75,000 HARMLS
- 2016-03-18 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2016-03-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-03-07 Listed $79,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,426 · -8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…