1932 Reesedale Rd · Shawsville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and see this charming one level home in the heart of Elliston. This cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom cottage offers a peaceful retreat in a serene setting. It boasts an inviting front porch, perfect for enjoying morning coffee or evening relaxation. This home features a generous sized lot, ample parking, and a new metal roof! This won't last long!
Key facts
- Outdoor living
- 0.89 acre lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1950
- Construction: Year built 1950
- Exterior features: Side porch; Lot roughly 0.89 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric); Heating and cooling present
- Interior features: Built-in microwave oven; Wood doors; Insulated, tilt-in windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Eastern Montgomery Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #966 of 1,108 statewide, top 89%, 385 students, 76% FRL); Eastern Montgomery High (math 72% / reading 77%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 282 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 32% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.49%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,366
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -0.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1932 Reesedale Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (0%) | 0mo | $196,000 | $183 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $125,174
- Equity at exit
- $180,176
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.35×
- Total profit
- $355,606
- Equity at exit
- $388,556
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24087
- Home prices YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,845 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 382-char remark
-
2026-05-01$200,000 Active 382-char remark
-
2024-11-08soldstatus $175,000 Closed 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Come and see this charming one level home in the heart of Elliston. This cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom cottage offers a peaceful retreat in a serene setting. It boasts an inviting front porch, perfect for enjoying morning coffee or evening relaxation. This home features a generous sized lot, ample parking, and a new metal roof! This won't last long!
-
2024-11-08soldstatus $175,000
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Come and see this charming one level home in the heart of Elliston. This cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom cottage offers a peaceful retreat in a serene setting. It boasts an inviting front porch, perfect for enjoying morning coffee or evening relaxation. This home features a generous sized lot, ample parking, and a new metal roof! This won't last long!
-
2024-10-10status Pending 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Come and see this charming one level home in the heart of Elliston. This cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom cottage offers a peaceful retreat in a serene setting. It boasts an inviting front porch, perfect for enjoying morning coffee or evening relaxation. This home features a generous sized lot, ample parking, and a new metal roof! This won't last long!
-
2024-10-02$175,000 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
Come and see this charming one level home in the heart of Elliston. This cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom cottage offers a peaceful retreat in a serene setting. It boasts an inviting front porch, perfect for enjoying morning coffee or evening relaxation. This home features a generous sized lot, ample parking, and a new metal roof! This won't last long!
-
2017-07-19soldstatus $95,000
-
2015-01-21soldstatus $108,125
-
2013-01-22soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $825 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,640 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$815/yr (+$68/mo · 98.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,771
- − Management
- −$1,771
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$252
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$60
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102520
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,618
- Composite
- 53.6/100
- National rank
- #1440
- State rank
- #47 of 131 in VA
Livability — Shawsville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9807
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,948
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,748 people
- By 2030
- 110,301 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 115,652 · +9.4%
- By 2050
- 119,651 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 126,005 · +19.2%
- By 2100
- 129,771 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 47.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+1.3 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+4.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.65%
- Current HPI
- 258.6535
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+415.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $196,000 MLSRV
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-05-01 Listed $200,000 MLSRV
- 2024-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-08 Sold (MLS) $175,000 NRVMLS
- 2024-10-10 Pending — NRVMLS
- 2024-10-02 Listed $175,000 NRVMLS
- 2017-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2015-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $108,125 Public Records
- 2013-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $825 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…