308 Elmwood Ave · Egg Harbor, NJ
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Was once used as a commercial building which was converted into a 1 bedroom 1 bath unit with single car attached garage. Buildind sold as a shell and needs to be finished. New Bathroom, thermopane vinyl windows and the roof 6 years old. In need of total rehab no heat or water heater.
Key facts
- New stone driveway
- New roof in 2023
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two exterior parking spaces; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: For sale; Age: 25+ years
- Construction: Masonry/Block and vinyl siding/exterior
- Exterior features: Masonry/block and vinyl exterior; Stone driveway; Insulated glass (storms/screens); Lot roughly 50 x 100 (under 1 acre), 50' frontage; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Dining area
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level; Total of 5 rooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: Cathedral ceiling; Slab foundation
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $226k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Egg Harbor Township School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #311 of 472 in NJ (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clayton J. Davenport Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #878 of 1,303 statewide, top 70%, 757 students, 64% FRL); Fernwood Avenue Middle School (math 13% / reading 50%, grade F, #289 of 431 statewide, top 69%, 883 students, 50% FRL); Egg Harbor Township High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #169 of 399 statewide, top 44%, 2,335 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 34% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 363 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $240k implies a 439% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.94%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $360,240
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Essex Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (-4%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $316 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-32,505
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-19,728
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08234
- Home prices YoY
- -6.7%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$393 /mo · $4,721/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $234 | -5% $166 | +0% $98 | +5% $30 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-94 | -5% $2 | +0% $98 | +5% $194 | +10% $289 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $219 | -0.5pp $159 | base $98 | +0.5pp $36 | +1.0pp $-28 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6020 Delilah Rd Egg Harbor Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $2,425 | $2.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,900 Under Contract 73 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $239,900 Under Contract 71 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Under Contract 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Under Contract 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Under Contract 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Under Contract 67 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Under Contract 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Under Contract 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Under Contract 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Under Contract 59 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Under Contract 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Under Contract 53 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Under Contract 52 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $239,900 Under Contract 51 DOM
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2026-04-21historical Under Contract
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2026-04-09$239,900 Active
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2019-10-24soldstatus $44,500
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2015-09-16soldstatus $20,000
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2015-09-08soldstatus $20,000 Sold 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Was once used as a commercial building which was converted into a 1 bedroom 1 bath unit with single car attached garage. Buildind sold as a shell and needs to be finished. New Bathroom, thermopane vinyl windows and the roof 6 years old. In need of total rehab no heat or water heater.
-
2015-08-25historical Under Contract 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Was once used as a commercial building which was converted into a 1 bedroom 1 bath unit with single car attached garage. Buildind sold as a shell and needs to be finished. New Bathroom, thermopane vinyl windows and the roof 6 years old. In need of total rehab no heat or water heater.
-
2015-04-16$34,900 Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Was once used as a commercial building which was converted into a 1 bedroom 1 bath unit with single car attached garage. Buildind sold as a shell and needs to be finished. New Bathroom, thermopane vinyl windows and the roof 6 years old. In need of total rehab no heat or water heater.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,721 · $393/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,347 · $446/mo
- Expected delta
- +$626/yr (+$52/mo · 13.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$4,721
- − Insurance
- −$1,997
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,328
- − Management
- −$2,328
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$2,691
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Egg Harbor Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3404560
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,612
- Composite
- 29.81/100
- National rank
- #6421
- State rank
- #311 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Egg Harbor
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,856
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 13% Black 9% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.76%
- Current HPI
- 319.2948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+587.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $239,900 SJSRMLS
- 2019-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
- 2015-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-08 Sold (MLS) $20,000 SJSRMLS
- 2015-08-25 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2015-04-16 Listed $34,900 SJSRMLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,721 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…