2224 Golden Falcon Dr · Ruskin, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome nestled within the sought-after gated community of Hawks Point in Ruskin. Offering a low-maintenance lifestyle with resort-style amenities, this home is perfect for buyers seeking comfort, security, and convenience in one of Hillsborough County's most desirable master-planned communities. The open-concept main floor flows seamlessly from the living area to the kitchen and dining space, creating an ideal layout for both everyday living and entertaining. A convenient half bath is located downstairs for guests.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Community amenities
- Resort style pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.3% in Ruskin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cypress Creek Elementary School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,491 of 2,144 statewide, top 70%, 957 students, 63% FRL); Shields Middle School (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 1,867 students, 68% FRL); Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 703 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 34d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.08%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,102
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -12.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5143 White Chicory Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (-8%) | 0mo | $288,000 | $198 | 72 |
| 1004 Cristelle Jean Dr | 0.79mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (+2%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 212 27th St SE | 1.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,690 (+7%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $136 | 53 |
| 1210 Casa Bonita Ave | 1.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,658 (+5%) | 2mo | $80,100 | $48 | 48 |
| 221 Sunset Crest Ct | 1.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+11%) | 0mo | $299,000 | $171 | 45 |
| 5266 Colony Vista Dr | 1.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,707 (+8%) | 0mo | $376,893 | $221 | 44 |
| 1420 Delano Trent St | 0.86mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,626 (+3%) | 11mo | $299,990 | $184 | 44 |
| 5038 Cyan Loop Dr | 0.89mi | 3/2.5 | 1,790 (+13%) | 0mo | $346,499 | $194 | 42 |
| 910 Brenton Leaf Dr | 1.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-18%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $193 | 37 |
| 1045 Brenton Leaf Dr | 0.97mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-18%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $155 | 33 |
| 1023 Chandler Snowden Ct | 0.89mi | 3/2.0 | 1,359 (-14%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $199 | 32 |
| 211 Shell Creek Ct | 1.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,877 (+19%) | 6mo | $410,000 | $218 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-30,374
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-32,307
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 4 under contract
- Median asking
- $237,400 ($147/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 20 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33570
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 703
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,394 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$213
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $310 | -5% $234 | +0% $158 | +5% $82 | +10% $6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-31 | -5% $63 | +0% $158 | +5% $253 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $269 | -0.5pp $214 | base $158 | +0.5pp $101 | +1.0pp $43 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5025 White Chicory Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $3,000 | $1.55 | 73d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1827 Harbour Blue St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,995 | $1.48 | 73d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5001 White Chicory Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,076 | $1.07 | 42d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1966 Hawks View Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $3,200 | $1.65 | 42d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4906 White Chicory Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $2,449 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1941 Hawks View Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2098 | $2,614 | $1.25 | 28d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5524 Rainwood Meadows Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,505 | $1.29 | 35d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5524 Rainwood Meadows Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,320 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 234 Star Shell Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1880 | $1,996 | $1.06 | 71d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 966 Kelly Fern Loop Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,935 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 962 Kelly Fern Loop Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1826 | $2,260 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1019 Kelly Fern Loop Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $2,350 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5109 Butterfly Shell Dr Apollo Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 28d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2025 Broad Winged Hawk Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1948 | $2,249 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2052 Harris Hawk Ave Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1826 | $2,260 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2458 Dovesong Trace Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $2,195 | $1.30 | 60d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2340 Harris Hawk Ave Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,049 | $1.44 | 73d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1762 Broad Winged Hawk Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1899 | $2,400 | $1.26 | 67d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1606 Delano Trent St Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2102 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 73d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2389 Harris Hawk Ave Unit Labs Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1913 | $2,460 | $1.29 | 35d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 903 Zone Tailed Hawk Pl Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,200 | $1.14 | 73d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1309 Alhambra Crest Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2010 | $2,150 | $1.07 | 9d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1609 Carson White Ln Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1808 | $2,090 | $1.16 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1724 Broad Winged Hawk Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $2,099 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1740 Chatham Green Cir Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 52d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 107 Slipper Key Rd Apollo Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1994 | $2,250 | $1.13 | 31d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 811 15th St NE Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1870 | $2,076 | $1.11 | 63d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1411 Delano Trent St Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $2,055 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1409 Delano Trent St Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $1,800 | $1.45 | 54d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1823 Atlantic Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1944 | $1,500 | $0.77 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 837 Chatham Walk Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 73d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1113 Brenton Leaf Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $1,985 | $1.44 | 69d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 727 Cristelle Jean Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,955 | $1.43 | 30d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 403 Royal Empress Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $2,500 | $1.31 | 27d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 720 Chatham Walk Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,860 | $1.32 | 34d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2516 Sunray Venus Way Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $2,200 | $1.35 | 38d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 946 Royal Empress Dr Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,203 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1221 Barclay Wood Dr Ruskin, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2169 | $2,260 | $1.04 | 9d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2655 Buttercup Lucine Ln Ruskin, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 60d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2665 Buttercup Lucine Ln Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1634 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 28d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Total acreage: 0.04 acresLot size approximately 0.04 acres (about 164 sq meters)No lease restrictions indicatedUnfurnished
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment $1,203Tax year 2025 noted
- HOA & community
- HOA required (Hawks Point Ph N Twnhms)Association fee $640 quarterly (approximately $213.33/month)Association fee includes: OtherCommunity allows petsCDD present
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerPublic utilities
- Home design
- TownhouseResidential propertyTwo-storyFaces southEntry level information not provided
- Construction
- Stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt on public records area of 1578 (building area)
- Exterior features
- Other exterior featuresAsphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansThermostat
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry closet
HOA detail $213/mo · $2,556/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $220,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $220,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $220,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $220,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $220,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $220,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $220,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $220,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $220,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $220,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $220,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $220,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $220,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $220,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $220,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-16pricedays on market $220,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $230,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $230,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $230,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $230,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $230,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $230,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $230,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $230,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $230,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $230,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-02pricedays on market $230,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $239,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $239,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $239,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $239,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $239,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $239,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $239,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$239,900 Active 16 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,730
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,300
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,298
- − Management
- −$2,298
- − HOA
- −$2,556
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$1,546
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained townhouse in a desirable gated community offers a low-maintenance lifestyle with modern updates and a good condition score.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ruskin
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #6879
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ruskin, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
- City population
- 33,319
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,319
- Household income
- $72,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.10%
- Current HPI
- 277.8257
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.90%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-10.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-16 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-07-02 Price Changed $230,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
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