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1620 Smyrna Rd
D Composite 41.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$139,900

1620 Smyrna Rd · Keachi, LA 71046
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,063 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 2008 0.78 ac lot Est $140k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this quiet country cottage featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on a peaceful, tree-lined property. Relax on the beautiful front porch and enjoy the serene views and manicured landscaping that give this home its inviting charm. Inside, you’ll find fresh updates throughout, including new paint, new flooring, a new dishwasher, along with a HVAC system for added comfort and efficiency. A brand-new roof offers peace of mind, while the newly fenced yard provides space for pets, play, or entertaining. The open living and kitchen area creates an easy flow for everyday living, and the spacious yard offers the perfect setting to enjoy country living at its best. Move-in ready and fu

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Brand-new roof
  • Fresh updates

Tags

FRONT PORCHMANICURED LANDSCAPINGFRESH UPDATESNEW DISHWASHERNEW HVAC SYSTEMBRAND-NEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel ID available; Listing is for sale and active
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage; Property is listed as real estate owned
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: City water; Septic; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; Not attached to another property; Built in 2008; Rural subdivision
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Chain link fencing; Many trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Electric system; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Open floorplan with decorative lighting; High-speed Internet available; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-536/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (5.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (26.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#317 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Desoto Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #21 of 98 in LA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in De Soto Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • De Soto County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $140k implies a 3801% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,144 (26.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.37%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,316
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1620 Smyrna Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,063 (0%) 0mo $139,900 $132 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$13,960
Equity at exit
$62,905
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$53,633
Equity at exit
$96,944

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71046

Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $810/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,088
Max offer price $132,016
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $35 -5% $-5 +0% $-45 +5% $-84 +10% $-124
Rent -10% $-126 -5% $-85 +0% $-45 +5% $-4 +10% $37
Rate -1.0pp $26 -0.5pp $-9 base $-45 +0.5pp $-81 +1.0pp $-118

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-11
    listed $139,900 Active
  3. 2007-09-21
    soldstatus $3,586

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$810 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$810 · $68/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,377
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$810
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$990
− Management
−$990
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$3,019
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$725
After-tax cash flow
$189/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desoto Parish
NCES district ID
2200510
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$40,201
Composite
34.75/100
National rank
#5130
State rank
#21 of 98 in LA

Livability — Keachi

Score
57/100
State rank
#317
US rank
#21617

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
791

Population outlook (De Soto County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,142 people
By 2030
28,546 · +1.4%
By 2040
29,357 · +4.3%
By 2050
30,239 · +7.5%
By 2075
33,412 · +18.7%
By 2100
35,428 · +25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · De Soto

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.5) · D 31.8% · R 67.3%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -35.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.5 2020: R+24.8 2016: R+21.5 2012: R+13.8 2008: R+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3801.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $139,900 NTREIS
  • 2007-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $3,586 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $810 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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