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10209 Lynette Dr
C- Composite 51.71
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

10209 Lynette Dr · Albany, LA 70403
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · SingleFamily · 43 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 1.01 ac lot $132/sqft · 14% below area Est $225k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home with 1-year manufacturer’s limited warranty on over 1 acre in Hammond. Home is currently being set and is anticipated to be completed by the end of April. Photos shown are of a similar finished home and are for reference only. Features include an open floor plan, vinyl plank flooring throughout, and spacious living areas designed for comfort and easy maintenance. Enjoy the charm of country living with plenty of outdoor space. Property is subject to general property maintenance covenants. Manufactured home is compliant with HUD permanent foundation guidelines and is located in Flood Zone X.

Key facts

  • 1.01 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($989/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.5% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#12 in LA, #3,099 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 329 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,018 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.81%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,474
List price
$195,000
Delta
-13.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10209 Lynette Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,475 (0%) 0mo $192,000 $130 100
11078 Doubleday Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,482 (+0%) 8mo $235,000 $159 54
44336 Brown Morris Ln 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,418 (-4%) 20mo $179,500 $127 54
29235 Craig Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,571 (+6%) 18mo $185,000 $118 51
44216 Marshall Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,482 (+0%) 21mo $214,710 $145 44
11035 Kennedy Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+6%) 18mo $217,995 $139 40
11076 Kennedy Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+6%) 21mo $224,400 $143 34
44249 Joe Louis Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,649 (+12%) 20mo $229,300 $139 31
44200 Marshall Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,649 (+12%) 21mo $233,200 $141 25
11068 Kennedy Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,649 (+12%) 22mo $229,100 $139 24
11083 Kennedy Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,649 (+12%) 21mo $231,055 $140 24
44233 Marshall Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,685 (+14%) 20mo $239,475 $142 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-31,057
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-38,597
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70403

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
329
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,810 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,706
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $217 -5% $150 +0% $82 +5% $15 +10% $-52
Rent -10% $-61 -5% $11 +0% $82 +5% $154 +10% $225
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $132 base $82 +0.5pp $32 +1.0pp $-19

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11146 Regency Ave Hammond, LA 3.0 2.0 1564 $1,750 $1.12 24d 1 0.87mi
11176 Merlo Dr Hammond, LA 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,750 $1.34 24d 1 1.05mi
11212 Audubon Dr Hammond, LA 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,750 $1.25 44d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home with 1-year manufacturer’s limited warranty on over 1 acre in Hammond. Home is currently being set and is anticipated to be completed by the end of April. Photos shown are of a similar finished home and are for reference only. Features include an open floor plan, vinyl plank flooring throughout, and spacious living areas designed for comfort and easy maintenance. Enjoy the charm of country living with plenty of outdoor space. Property is subject to general property maintenance covenants. Manufactured home is compliant with HUD permanent foundation guidelines and is located in Flood Zone X.

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 642-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home with 1-year manufacturer’s limited warranty on over 1 acre in Hammond. Home is currently being set and is anticipated to be completed by the end of April. Photos shown are of a similar finished home and are for reference only. Features include an open floor plan, vinyl plank flooring throughout, and spacious living areas designed for comfort and easy maintenance. Enjoy the charm of country living with plenty of outdoor space. Property is subject to general property maintenance covenants. Manufactured home is compliant with HUD permanent foundation guidelines and is located in Flood Zone X.

  3. 2026-05-07
    historical Active Under Contract 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home with 1-year manufacturer’s limited warranty on over 1 acre in Hammond. Home is currently being set and is anticipated to be completed by the end of April. Photos shown are of a similar finished home and are for reference only. Features include an open floor plan, vinyl plank flooring throughout, and spacious living areas designed for comfort and easy maintenance. Enjoy the charm of country living with plenty of outdoor space. Property is subject to general property maintenance covenants. Manufactured home is compliant with HUD permanent foundation guidelines and is located in Flood Zone X.

  4. 2026-04-02
    listed $195,000 Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (642 chars)

    Brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home with 1-year manufacturer's limited warranty on over 1 acre in Hammond. Home is currently being set and is anticipated to be completed by the end of April. Photos shown are of a similar finished home and are for reference only. Features include an open floor plan, vinyl plank flooring throughout, and spacious living areas designed for comfort and easy maintenance. Enjoy the charm of country living with plenty of outdoor space. Property is subject to general property maintenance covenants. Manufactured home is compliant with HUD permanent foundation guidelines and is located in Flood Zone X.

  5. 2026-04-02
    listed $195,000 Active 642-char remark
    Show marketing remark (642 chars)

    Brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home with 1-year manufacturer's limited warranty on over 1 acre in Hammond. Home is currently being set and is anticipated to be completed by the end of April. Photos shown are of a similar finished home and are for reference only. Features include an open floor plan, vinyl plank flooring throughout, and spacious living areas designed for comfort and easy maintenance. Enjoy the charm of country living with plenty of outdoor space. Property is subject to general property maintenance covenants. Manufactured home is compliant with HUD permanent foundation guidelines and is located in Flood Zone X.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,722
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,925
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,738
− Management
−$1,738
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$2,249
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$540
After-tax cash flow
$1,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new 4-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The home is move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and add value.
  • Both Upgrading window treatments — Modern window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and add value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's functionality and add value for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and add value.
  • Both Upgrading window treatments — Modern window treatments can enhance the home's curb appeal and add value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and add value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's functionality and add value for both resale and rental.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tangipahoa Parish
NCES district ID
2201680
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$41,283
Composite
19.94/100
National rank
#8676
State rank
#63 of 98 in LA

Livability — Albany

Score
77/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3099

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tangipahoa Parish · 85,958 people
Metro
Hammond, LA
Population (ZIP)
30,173
Household income
$50,976
Rent vs Own
33.6% rent · 66.4% own
Severe rent burden
1201.0

Population outlook (Tangipahoa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,204 people
By 2030
151,413 · +5.0%
By 2040
164,374 · +14.0%
By 2050
175,427 · +21.7%
By 2075
195,165 · +35.3%
By 2100
201,641 · +39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tangipahoa

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.6% · R 68.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.9pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+32.6 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+30.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.04%
Current HPI
127.4535
Rent YoY
▲ 0.33%
Metro
Hammond, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending GSREIN
  • 2026-05-07 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent GSREIN
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $195,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $195,000 GSREIN

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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